What is Rowan Scott's strike rate?

Rowan Scott has won 221 of 2,348 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rowan Scott do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 18 wins from 103 rides (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Rowan Scott ride most for?

Nigel Tinkler, with 572 rides since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (8.2%).

Is Rowan Scott in form?

In the last 14 days: 33 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.1%. That is below the baseline of 9.4% since 2022.

What is Rowan Scott's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 2,332 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Rowan Scott

2,348 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,021 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

221–2,348

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=2,348

659 (28%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=2,332 · 0.87 incl. margin

−710.63

£1 level stake

n=2,348 at SP · −30.3%

£3.04m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 470 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (212 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,348 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 9.6% 32.9% when favourite Nigel Tinkler: 8.2% from 572 LTO winners: 17% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (17.5%, n=103), clear of the rider's 9.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17% (n=212, Fair A/E 1.12), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.6% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.79). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 9.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +7.84 to a £1 stake over 303 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 2 from 33 rides in the last 14 days (6.1%, 3.3pts below the 9.4% baseline). Nigel Tinkler supplies 24% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 0.86). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Sky Bet Stayers Handicap at York (Aug 2023, £51,540). The standout partner of the record: Isla Kai (IRE) — 6 wins from 24 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%−1.9

n=947 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −403.19

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17%+7.6

n=212 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −41.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.6%+0.2

n=303 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +7.84

When favourite

32.9%

n=140 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −21.88

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−4.6

n=312 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −159.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.6%−5.8

n=56 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Tristan Davidson 19.6% vs 9.4% · n=102

With Kevin Philippart De Foy 19.2% vs 9.4% · n=73

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 9.4% · n=212

With Charlie Johnston 18.8% vs 9.4% · n=69

At Hamilton 17.5% vs 9.4% · n=103

With Ann Duffield 0% vs 9.4% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 833 87 10.4% −197.57

Good 552 55 10% −176.63

Good to Firm 465 51 11% −46.26

Good to Soft 247 14 5.7% −124.00

Soft 202 11 5.4% −137.92

Heavy 48 3 6.3% −27.25

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 500 42 8.4% −187.65

Southwell (AW) 146 23 15.8% +38.55

Beverley 144 15 10.4% −59.90

Thirsk 123 3 2.4% −50.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 119 16 13.4% −11.13

Redcar 115 11 9.6% −48.93

Doncaster 113 9 8% −2.50

Musselburgh 108 11 10.2% −60.95

York 106 6 5.7% −54.50

Hamilton 103 18 17.5% +80.58

Ayr 96 5 5.2% −72.59

Carlisle 89 4 4.5% −60.00

Ripon 88 8 9.1% −50.62

Catterick 70 8 11.4% −25.50

Pontefract 55 9 16.4% −20.01

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 775 77 9.9% −157.75

Class 5 727 62 8.5% −351.91

Class 4 435 50 11.5% −20.38

Class 2 191 14 7.3% −82.00

Class 3 154 14 9.1% −71.25

Class 1 56 2 3.6% −22.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 178 60 33.7% 1.18 −1.72

2nd–3rd fav 445 84 18.9% 1.14 −3.41

4th–6th fav 797 56 7% 0.87 −247.00

7th+ in betting 928 21 2.3% 0.76 −458.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Squealer (IRE) 24 4 9 21 Jul 26

Ganesha (GB) 24 2 9 21 May 26

Impressor (IRE) 24 2 10 25 Jul 25

Bella Kopella (IRE) 22 3 8 23 Jan 25

Patontheback (IRE) 19 3 9 22 Jul 26

Isla Kai (IRE) 18 2 4 28 Sep 25

Ramon Di Loria (IRE) 17 2 7 20 Jan 26

Lord Roxby (IRE) 16 2 9 23 Apr 26

Theme Park (GB) 16 1 3 3 Aug 25

Captain Vallo (IRE) 16 1 7 2 Aug 25

Urban Road (GB) 16 4 12 14 Mar 25

Our Absent Friends (IRE) 15 3 5 26 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,021 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 33 6.1% · −3.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.1%

5-season base9.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

81312101099119779

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Tinkler

24% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.86

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Tinkler 572 47 8.2% −195.46

Phillip Makin 197 15 7.6% −112.06

Ewan Whillans 161 13 8.1% −59.59

Gemma Tutty 114 10 8.8% −30.38

Alan Brown 106 10 9.4% −19.17

Tristan Davidson 102 20 19.6% +21.44

Roger Fell 88 4 4.5% −46.80

Kevin Philippart De Foy 73 14 19.2% +8.62

Charlie Johnston 69 13 18.8% +61.83

Alice Haynes 57 10 17.5% −7.00

David Loughnane 55 5 9.1% −18.09

Kevin Ryan 54 6 11.1% −3.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

366

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.32m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 71 wins

Forza Orta (IRE) — Sky Bet Stayers Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2023 · Class 2

£51,540

Folk Pageant (GB) — Cherryfield (Croydon) Lester Piggott Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Class 2

£38,655

Desert Falcon (IRE) — Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap Doncaster · Sep 2025 · Class 2

£36,078

Notable horses

Isla Kai (IRE) Set In Stone (IRE) Squealer (IRE) Urban Road (GB) Zig Zag Zyggy (IRE) Woodlands Charm (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.5% · 8–107

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,959 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Mehmas (IRE) 9.4% · 9–96

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,196 runs since 2008 (751 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 4.2% · 3–71

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,633 runs since 2008 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Kodiac (GB) 12.1% · 8–66

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Awtaad (IRE) 10.8% · 7–65

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,877 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.5% from 608. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.1% from 114.

Profitable (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,436 runs since 2008 (358 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,214 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,214 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2013 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bowdens (FR)T: Charlie Johnston All-weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Volenti (IRE)T: Sam England ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 100/30

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Devil's Brigade (IRE)T: Ed Dunlop Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 15/2

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Evanesco (GB)T: Charlie Johnston St Simon Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 9/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Nicely (IRE)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 6/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Azuinthejungle (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Arkat (IRE)T: Roger Varian German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div I)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nikovo (GB)T: Michael Herrington AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 11/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blackjack (GB)T: Alan Brown AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 40/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lopefernza (GB)T: David Loughnane ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sin City (GB)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 6/4

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Maxident (GB)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Racing TV Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 9/4F

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Duran (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/4F

26 Oct 26 Redcar Solar Cooper (GB)T: Mark Walford Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Runninsonofagun (IRE)T: Tristan Davidson Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Jez Bomb (GB)T: Sam England Jumps Looks Better On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 11/2

26 Oct 26 Redcar Eagles Dream (IRE)T: Tristan Davidson Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 20/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Skylar (GER)T: Charlie Johnston Ebf "double Trigger" Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 11/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Olympiacos (FR)T: Charlie Johnston racingtv.com/Freetrial British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 9/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Tolstoy (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rowan Scott's strike rate?: Rowan Scott has won 221 of 2,348 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rowan Scott do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 18 wins from 103 rides (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Rowan Scott ride most for?: Nigel Tinkler, with 572 rides since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (8.2%).
Is Rowan Scott in form?: In the last 14 days: 33 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.1%. That is below the baseline of 9.4% since 2022.
What is Rowan Scott's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 2,332 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.