Horse profile
Lakefield Flyer (IRE)
by Affinisea (IRE) out of Hobson's Choice (IRE) (Milan)
26 runs · 19 courses · from Oct 2022
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Stratford & Downpatrick
New yard
Last run 22 Aug 2026 · 5th of 10
Last raced off OR 98
KTB Profile
Lakefield Flyer is a gelding who has won three of 26 starts, all at Class 4 level over 2m1f – 2m4f. Two of those wins came at Downpatrick and one at Stratford, on good to firm, good and good to soft going. His last win was at Stratford in Jun 2026. Aged 8 at his last run in Aug 2026, he finished fifth of 10 at Newton Abbot in a Class 5 handicap hurdle, his first start for Fergal O'Brien.
Based on 26 archived runs · run-style from 15 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically prominent
OR ↓ 15lb off peak
- 3–26Wins / Runs
- 11.5%Strike rate
- 9 (34.6%)Placed
- −10.00£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 1.13Fair A/E n=26 · 0.95 incl. margin
- 113Highest OR
- 57dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating98↓ 15lb off peak
98
93–113
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 119B | 86 | 5 runs · 114 / 74 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 115B | 105 | 2 runs · 115 / 105 |
| Heavy | 2 | 117B | 76.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 119B | 95 | 6 runs · 115 / 95 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 117B | 70 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
Of 26 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 26 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 15 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Prominent 9 (60%) · 1 win
- Held up 4 (27%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (13%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 1,276 runs since Feb 2022 (201 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 457 | 58 | 12.7% | −0.4 | 1 from 14 |
| Good to Soft | 328 | 44 | 13.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 345 | 46 | 13.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 136 | 17 | 12.5% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −13.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 470 | 52 | 11.1% | −2 | 0 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 550 | 75 | 13.6% | +0.5 | 3 from 16 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 213 | 32 | 15% | +1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | +4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Feb 2022 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Hobson's Choice (IRE) (Milan)
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady's Choice (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Buddy's Choice (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 14 | 1 | 7% | −9.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −1.50 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Downpatrick | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.50 |
| Listowel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sedgefield | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 16 | 3 | 19% | +0.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Hanlon | 12 | 2 | 17% | −0.50 |
| Jody McGarvey | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Mr T Hamilton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Liam Harrison | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gavin Brouder | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Harvey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Fenelon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian Hughes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jordan Gainford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Simon Torrens | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 11 | 1 | 9% | −4.50 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.00 |
| None | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.50 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 13 | 3 | 23% | +3.00 |
| Hurdle | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Aug 26+27d | Newton Abbot | Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle Race Held up towards the back - moved into third for a spell before fading on the bend approaching two out - lost more ground nearing the last and beaten well into fifth | 5/10 | 12 | 12-0 | 98 | 115B | 106A | Liam Harrison | 11/2 |
| 26 Jul 26+21d | Uttoxeter | Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) in front briefly early - tracked the pace - dropped away 3 out | 8/10 | 10 | 10-13 | 110 | 95C | 96C | Paddy Hanlon | 11/1 |
| 05 Jul 26+5d | Market Rasen | Tom Halliday Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Sat close to front pack early - driven approaching final fence - kept going same gear to the line - finished third | 3/8 | 3¼ | 11-12 | 98 | 114A | 119A | Paddy Hanlon | 11/4F |
| 30 Jun 26+24d | Stratford | Laura Horsfall Racing Club Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sat close up early - closed on pace-setter approaching final two furlongs - driven into front before the last - held on under pressure to score | 1/5 | 11-6 | 107 | 95C | 118B | Paddy Hanlon | 11/2 | |
| 06 Jun 26+11d | Hexham | Hexham Racecourse Holiday Home & Caravan Park Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Held up at the back - lost touch after 2 out - weakened badly and blundered last - well held at the finish | 7/9 | 24 | 11-9 | 110 | 73C | 89C | Paddy Hanlon | 18/1 |
| 26 May 26+14d | Plumpton | Kalm Club At Grange Festival Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Held third early - pressed for a challenge after the third-last - kept going up the run-in to take second | 2/4 | 21 | 10-11 | 112 | 58C | 111B | Paddy Hanlon | 9/1 |
| 12 May 26+219d | Sligo | Rosses Point Caravan Park Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Sat close up early - third at halfway - hit a rail two out and asked for effort but couldn't quicken in fourth - eased back finishing fifth | 5/15 | 1½ | 11-12 | 97 | 74B | 113A | Gavin Brouder | 11/1 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 05 Oct 25+8d | Killarney | Torc Waterfall Handicap Chase Settled just behind the pace in 2nd - came down at the 3rd | F/7 | — | 11-4 | 112 | — | — | Ben Harvey | 12/1 |
| 27 Sep 25+21d | Listowel | Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase Held up early - down the field before halfway - moved into contention by 3 out - briefly third after the last before dropping back in the straight - faded final furlong to finish 9th | 9/10 | 4 | 10-0 | 113 | — | 90A | Paddy Hanlon | 12/1 |
| 06 Sep 25+12d | Stratford | Wynchwood Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Handy in second spot for most of the way - closed on the front-runner 4 out - well placed still 2 out - driven and edged back to third before the last - held that spot to finish 3rd beaten 5 lengths | 3/6 | 1¾ | 10-4 | 113 | 76B | 114B | Paddy Hanlon | 9/1 |
| 25 Aug 25+33d | Downpatrick | Drop, Lock & Leave Handicap Chase Sat close to pace early - moved in front after 4th - asked for effort 2 out and opened a two length advantage at the last - driven out and battled on up the run-in - overtaken close home and unable to reel in winner | 2/9 | 1½ | 10-13 | 110 | 86A | 121B | Paddy Hanlon | 11/2 |
| 23 Jul 25+9d | Wexford | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase Sat close up early - went in front briefly after the 5th before being overtaken 4 out - dropped away rapidly turning into the straight - scratchy over the second-last then well held to the finish | 7/8 | 5½ | 11-2 | 110 | 68C | 85C | Paddy Hanlon | 6/1 |
| 14 Jul 25+278d | Downpatrick | Downpatrick Racecourse Family Funday Supporters Handicap Chase Set the pace from the off - moving smoothly early - stumbled three out - driven approaching the final two furlongs and kept finding more to the line for the win | 1/7 | 11-0 | 105 | 95A | 123A | Paddy Hanlon | 4/1 | |
| 2024 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 09 Oct 24+16d | Sedgefield | Go Racing With Vickers.Bet Handicap Chase Sat behind pace early - clipped a fence 1st - moved into command 2nd - clumsy again 3rd - blundered 5th - overtaken 2 out - rallied on the run-in but narrowly denied | 2/6 | 1 | 11-7 | 106 | 70B | 117B | Paddy Hanlon | 11/1 |
| 23 Sep 24+371d | Sedgefield | Paxtons No1 CaseIH Dealer In UK&Ireland Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - made progress on the outside approaching 2 out - driven and kept on at one tempo - well held in 9th | 9/12 | 1¼ | 11-1 | 104 | 119B | 103A | Paddy Hanlon | 11/1 |
| 2023 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Sep 23+76d | Listowel | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | F/16 | — | 11-2 | 97 | — | — | Shane Fenelon | 6/1 |
| 04 Jul 23+24d | Stratford | Visit racingtv.com Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 2/5 | 12 | 12-0 | 110 | 101C | 116B | Brian Hughes | 6/1 |
| 10 Jun 23+8d | Bangor-on-Dee | Beck's Handicap Hurdle | 3/4 | 21 | 11-0 | 106 | 77C | 86C | Sean Bowen | 7/2 |
| 02 Jun 23+14d | Down Royal | BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 5/13 | 1¼ | 11-9 | 97 | 116B | 115A | Jody McGarvey | 13/8F |
| 19 May 23+18d | Downpatrick | Remembering Caughoo Beginners Chase | 1/13 | 11-12 | — | — | 116A | Jody McGarvey | 7/2F | |
| 01 May 23+132d | Down Royal | Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 2/18 | ¾ | 11-12 | 93 | 95B | 116A | Jack Foley | 14/1 |
| 2022 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 22+24d | Naas | Tote Navan Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) | 6/6 | 64 | 11-3 | — | — | 107C | Jordan Gainford | 250/1 |
| 26 Nov 22+9d | Gowran Park | PRL Group Novice Hurdle | 6/8 | 4 | 11-5 | — | 36C | 95C | Simon Torrens | 150/1 |
| 17 Nov 22+14d | Clonmel | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle | 11/16 | 11 | 11-8 | — | 117B | 93A | Jonathan Moore | 125/1 |
| 03 Nov 22+26d | Thurles | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race | 6/10 | 8 | 11-10 | — | — | 66C | Mr T Hamilton | 14/1 |
| 08 Oct 22 | Fairyhouse | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race | 2/9 | 5½ | 11-9 | — | — | 78B | Mr T Hamilton | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lakefield Flyer won?
- Lakefield Flyer (IRE) won 3 of 26 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.5%. Placed 9 times in total (34.6% of starts).
- Who trains Lakefield Flyer?
- Lakefield Flyer (IRE) is trained by Fergal O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 22 August 2026.
- Who is Lakefield Flyer's sire?
- Lakefield Flyer (IRE) is by Affinisea (IRE) out of Hobson's Choice (IRE), whose sire is Milan.
- What going does Lakefield Flyer prefer?
- Lakefield Flyer (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Lakefield Flyer's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 22 August 2026. The highest on record is 113.
- What is Lakefield Flyer's sire's record?
- Affinisea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 1,276 runs since Feb 2022 (201 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Lakefield Flyer's siblings?
- Out of Hobson's Choice (IRE), Lakefield Flyer (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.