What is Liam Harrison's strike rate?

Liam Harrison has won 84 of 835 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Liam Harrison do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Liam Harrison ride most for?

Fergal O'Brien, with 404 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (11.1%).

Is Liam Harrison in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Liam Harrison's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 834 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Liam Harrison

835 rides in the last 5 seasons · 400 individual horses

As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

84–835

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=835

225 (27%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=834 · 0.74 incl. margin

−44.77

£1 level stake

n=835 at SP · −5.4%

£1.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (84 rides). Rides mostly for Fergal O'Brien — 48% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 835 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 30 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 29.1% when favourite Fergal O'Brien: 11.1% from 404 LTO winners: 14.3% Claiming: 10.7% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (16.9%, n=77) and Stratford (18.2%, n=33) — all clear of the rider's 10.1% baseline. It is weakest at Ludlow (0% over 37 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=84, Fair A/E 0.71), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.9% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.86). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 10.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −21.53 to a £1 stake over 242 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Fergal O'Brien supplies 48% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 0.81). The standout partner of the record: Titan Discovery (GB) — 5 wins from 12 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.7%−2.4

n=363 · A/E 0.79 · £1 +33.11

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+4.2

n=84 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −21.22

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.5%−2.6

n=228 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −66.95

When favourite

29.1%

n=79 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −25.29

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.7%+0.6

n=242 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −21.53

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.9%−5.2

n=102 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −27.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.1

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ludlow 0% vs 10.1% · n=37

At Chepstow 1.7% vs 10.1% · n=58

With Robbie Llewellyn 16.9% vs 10.1% · n=118

At Worcester 16.9% vs 10.1% · n=77

At Stratford 18.2% vs 10.1% · n=33

With Dan Skelton 2.6% vs 10.1% · n=39

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 520 50 9.6% +33.78

Chase 232 26 11.2% −46.29

NH Flat 83 8 9.6% −32.26

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 384 39 10.2% +50.48

Good to Soft 268 25 9.3% −45.23

Soft 127 15 11.8% −14.29

Heavy 38 1 2.6% −35.80

Good to Firm 17 4 23.5% +1.07

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 77 13 16.9% +173.34

Uttoxeter 61 7 11.5% −17.33

Chepstow 58 1 1.7% −54.00

Huntingdon 53 8 15.1% −6.37

Market Rasen 47 6 12.8% +10.45

Hereford 41 2 4.9% −37.23

Ludlow 37 0 0% −37.00

Southwell 37 2 5.4% −9.09

Stratford 33 6 18.2% −7.79

Bangor-on-Dee 29 4 13.8% −8.97

Cheltenham 28 3 10.7% −5.50

Wincanton 25 1 4% −20.50

Taunton 24 2 8.3% −10.00

Kempton 22 0 0% −22.00

Warwick 22 1 4.5% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 356 24 6.7% −32.64

Class 5 275 40 14.5% +10.09

Class 3 105 12 11.4% −9.22

Class 2 77 8 10.4% +9.00

Class 1 21 0 0% −21.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 99 27 27.3% 0.84 −27.63

2nd–3rd fav 196 26 13.3% 0.75 −63.14

4th–6th fav 288 19 6.6% 0.80 −54.50

7th+ in betting 252 12 4.8% 1.55 +100.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.7% completed · 752 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 232 74.1% 8 6 45 1 0

Hurdle 520 86.5% 14 5 48 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pull Again Green (IRE) 21 3 7 6 Mar 26

No Tackle (GB) 16 3 6 21 Oct 26

Politacus (IRE) 14 3 6 11 Jun 26

Titan Discovery (GB) 12 5 7 25 Feb 26

New Found Fame (IRE) 11 2 4 21 Apr 25

Carrigeen Kampala (IRE) 11 5 6 31 Aug 24

The Gray Ghost (IRE) 10 1 2 14 Mar 26

Oslo (GB) 10 2 5 27 Sep 25

Moonshine Spirit (GB) 9 0 1 17 Oct 25

Captain Cattistock (GB) 9 3 5 17 Apr 24

Glorious Zoff (IRE) 9 1 3 16 Dec 23

Karakoy (GB) 8 0 0 21 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 400 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

13961477181136569

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardFergal O'Brien

48% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 0.81

TrainerRWSR£1

Fergal O'Brien 404 45 11.1% −105.01

Robbie Llewellyn 118 20 16.9% +51.30

Kerry Lee 53 3 5.7% −37.30

Dan Skelton 39 1 2.6% −36.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

135

Archived wins

£1.44m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 35 wins

Titan Discovery (GB) — Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£33,820

Captain Cattistock (GB) — bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Feb 2022 · Class 2

£26,575

Punctuation (GB) — Abersoch Land And Sea Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2023 · Class 2

£25,720

Notable horses

Titan Discovery (GB) Carrigeen Kampala (IRE) Pull Again Green (IRE) Gortroe Joe (IRE) Top Cloud (GB) No Tackle (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,862 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,846 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,943 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Mahler (GB) 20.8% · 5–24

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,856 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Telescope (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,904 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 105. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 283.

Pether's Moon (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23

Progeny have won 13.2% of 907 runs since 2008 (106 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,130 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,130 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 July 2018 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Strong Run (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Mount Vines Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran UR 9/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford John Galt (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 13/2

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mags Ocean (GB)T: Dan Skelton Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Site Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 66/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Freetobe (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Lucy's 40th Birthday Celebration Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham John Barbour (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 25/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Willow Tide (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien bettingsites.co.uk Get Paid By Uk Betting Sites Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 11/8F

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Potter (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Rose Of Knocknamoe (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran F 66/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester No Tackle (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Denemethy (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Pertemps Network Jean & Paul Lucas Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran F 4/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 50/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Baltray (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 16/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Minella Blizzard (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Dragonbet Backing Welsh Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 250/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Solar Jet (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 300/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Serious Challenge (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 16th 22/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield John Galt (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Mowden Park Rfc Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/2F

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Midnight Lexi (GB)T: Dan Skelton F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 150/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 28/1

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace Dominic Hill Accountants & Thorne Civil Engineers Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 9/2

10 Sep 26 Worcester Farhh Echo (IRE)T: D J Jeffreys CopyBet Bog Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Liam Harrison's strike rate?: Liam Harrison has won 84 of 835 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liam Harrison do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Liam Harrison ride most for?: Fergal O'Brien, with 404 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (11.1%).
Is Liam Harrison in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liam Harrison's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 834 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.