Horse profile
Louie's Folly (GB)
by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Souila (USA) (Speightstown)
15 runs · 11 courses · from May 2025
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Headgear returns LTO
Last run 15 Aug 2026 · 9th of 9
Last raced off OR 55
KTB Profile
Louie's Folly is a maiden who has failed to win in 15 starts and has placed twice. Her best effort came when second of 11 at Limerick in Mar 2026. She is typically held up, having been ridden with patience in four of seven analysed runs. Her last run, at Lingfield (AW) in Aug 2026, saw her finish 9 of 9 in a Class 6 handicap off an official rating of 55, 49lb below her highest ever mark. Headgear returns LTO.
Based on 15 archived runs · run-style from 14 commented runs since May 2025 · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 49lb off peak
- 0–15Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (13.3%)Placed
- −15.00£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=15 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 104Highest OR
- 25dBetween runs (median)longest 89 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating55↓ 49lb off peak
55
55–104
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 99C | 81.5 | 4 runs · 99 / 86.5 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 99C | 91 | 3 runs · 99 / 92 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 90C | 66.5 | 1 run · — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 97A | 93 | 3 runs · 97 / 93 |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 99B | 93 | 3 runs · 99 / 93 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 14 analysed runs since May 2025
- Held up 6 (43%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 4 (29%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 3 (21%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (7%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.7% of 7,111 runs since Apr 2016 (641 horses).
Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 21 | 4 | 19% | +7.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 784 | 102 | 13% | +1.3 | — |
| Good | 1,872 | 233 | 12.4% | +0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 1,012 | 115 | 11.4% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 1,247 | 143 | 11.5% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 409 | 49 | 12% | +0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,766 | 184 | 10.4% | −1.3 | 0 from 8 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 326 | 21 | 6.4% | −5.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 883 | 79 | 8.9% | −2.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,509 | 334 | 13.3% | +1.6 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,151 | 253 | 11.8% | +0.1 | 0 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 829 | 94 | 11.3% | −0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 340 | 32 | 9.4% | −2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 69 | 17 | 24.6% | +12.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2016 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Souila (USA) (Speightstown)
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Soufina (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soufina (GB) | 2 | 1 | 6f | — |
| Thequietman (GB) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Time Twister (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel King | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Laura Coughlan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Adam Farragher | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gina Mangan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael Kenneally | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Finian Maguire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Philip Donovan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Mitchell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Levey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 15 Aug 26+15d | Lingfield (AW) | Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier) Held up at the back from the outset - unable to land a blow - well beaten in 9th | 9/9 | 4¼ | 9-1 | 55 | 99C | 53C | Laura Coughlan | 150/1 |
| 31 Jul 26+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes Settled towards the back - unable to go with rivals from 3f out - dropped away 2f out - finished 7th | 7/7 | 4 | 9-3 | 60 | 55C | 44C | Laura Coughlan | 125/1 |
| 08 Jul 26+57d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race) restrained at the back - fell away from the 2f marker and was soon off the pace | 8/9 | 2¼ | 8-7 | 64 | 81A | 51A | Gina Mangan | 40/1 |
| 12 May 26+26d | Sligo | DecoClip Construction Company Mares Maiden Hurdle Midfield early - 7th at halfway - moved into 4th approaching 2 out - nudged off stride at the last and faded on the run-in | 6/16 | 1¾ | 10-2 | 102 | 88B | 90A | Michael Kenneally | 3/1J |
| 16 Apr 26+16d | Limerick | Locke Burger Mares Maiden Hurdle Settled in the pack - small error at the 5th - improved position into the straight - asked for effort but couldn't find more approaching 2 out - stayed on same gear to finish 5th | 5/11 | 2¾ | 10-11 | 104 | 97A | 92A | Daniel King | 9/2 |
| 31 Mar 26+25d | Limerick | Ryans Cleaning Fillies Maiden Hurdle Sat behind the pace - drifted right at first fence - slipped back to 5th by halfway - moved up on the rail approaching two out - pushed along before the last then stayed on to snatch second late but never able to challenge the winner | 2/11 | 5 | 11-2 | — | 68A | 106A | Daniel King | 7/4F |
| 06 Mar 26+31d | Dundalk (AW) | BAR 1 Betting Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight In Shop & Online (Q.R.) Handicap Towards back of the pack - nudged along approaching 3f out and moved into contention - plugged on into 4th inside the final furlong but never dangerous | 4/11 | 4¾ | 10-10 | 65 | 92A | 71A | Mr Finian Maguire | 22/1 |
| 03 Feb 26+34d | Fairyhouse | Treo Eile Supporting Racehorse Aftercare Mares Maiden Hurdle Sat handy behind the front group early - into the straight in 5th and pushed along - fourth 2 out unable to close - blundered at the final fence - held on for the same berth without finding more | 4/15 | 1½ | 10-6 | — | 99B | 100A | Philip Donovan | 14/1 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Dec 25+89d | Punchestown | Celebrate The New Year With Tote 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle Held up towards the back - improved into mid-division then 5th - stayed on into 7th two out - couldn't threaten the leading group in 6th approaching the last - finished steadily in 5th | 5/13 | ½ | 10-7 | — | 93B | 112A | Daniel King | 125/1 |
| 03 Oct 25+15d | Southwell (AW) | Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns Handicap Settled in the pack early - pressed for effort 3f out - dropped away 2f out - eventually came home fifth | 5/7 | 4¾ | 8-13 | 66 | 82C | 57C | Jason Hart | 10/1 |
| 18 Sep 25+24d | Pontefract | Racing TV Handicap Up with the early leaders but pulling - dropped to the middle order as the race steadied - pushed along to close on the front horse over 2f out and held second without finding extra inside the final furlong | 2/7 | 5½ | 9-3 | 66 | 122A | 66B | Ray Dawson | 22/1 |
| 25 Aug 25+43d | Southwell (AW) | Southwell Golf Clubhouse Is Open Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in the back group wide of rivals - pushed along with 4f left - some late progress in the closing stages - finished fifth | 5/12 | 7½ | 9-6 | 69 | 91C | 62C | Jack Mitchell | 16/1 |
| 13 Jul 25+44d | Southwell (AW) | Connie White Memorial Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Set the pace early - lost the front spot after two furlongs but stayed in touch - urged forward three out - lost ground in the final furlong to finish fourth | 4/6 | 3¾ | 9-2 | — | 64A | 57B | Adam Farragher | 200/1 |
| 30 May 25+23d | Haydock | Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Slow into rhythm early - slipped to the rear before the turn - well held at the finish | 7/10 | 4¼ | 8-8 | — | 90C | 45C | Adam Farragher | 125/1 |
| 07 May 25 | Kempton (AW) | Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Slow to break - held a mid-pack position throughout - unable to improve position late - finished well beaten in 6th | 6/9 | 9½ | 8-11 | — | 69C | 42C | Sean Levey | 16/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Louie's Folly won?
- Louie's Folly (GB) has yet to win, from 15 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 2 times in total (13.3% of starts).
- Who trains Louie's Folly?
- Louie's Folly (GB) is trained by Fergal O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 15 August 2026.
- Who is Louie's Folly's sire?
- Louie's Folly (GB) is by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Souila (USA), whose sire is Speightstown.
- What is Louie's Folly's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 55, from the run on 15 August 2026. The highest on record is 104.
- What is Louie's Folly's sire's record?
- Nathaniel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.7% of 7,111 runs since Apr 2016 (641 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
- Who are Louie's Folly's siblings?
- Out of Souila (USA), Louie's Folly (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Soufina (GB) (1). The wins came over 6f. As at Nov 2026.