Michael Kenneally
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (43 rides).
The record is strongest at Punchestown (16.7%, n=36), clear of the rider's 9.5% baseline. It is weakest at Clonmel (2.3% over 43 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.9% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.10). John Patrick Ryan supplies 18% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (13.3%, n=173). The record reads poorly on Good going — 5.9% over 136 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bective Stud, Tea Rooms & Apartments Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2025, £59,000).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2023→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 493 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 493 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 December 2023 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 0, 2 did not run) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Michael Kenneally's strike rate?
- Michael Kenneally has won 47 of 493 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Michael Kenneally do best at?
- Punchestown by strike rate: 6 wins from 36 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Michael Kenneally ride most for?
- John Patrick Ryan, with 91 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (9.9%).
- Is Michael Kenneally in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Michael Kenneally's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 492 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.