A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating77↓ 17lb off peak
7763–94
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating85Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Wetherby, 6 Dec 2008Official rating 77at the last run, 25 Apr 2010
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 6 figures · best 85A · median 75.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 28 Oct 2025
Good to Firm
2
76C
73.5
—
Good to Soft
2
75C
72.5
—
Soft
1
—
—
—
Good
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 28 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m
3
85C
75
—
2m1f – 2m4f
2
85A
80.5
—
2m5f – 3m
1
—
—
—
Of 13 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (7).
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 13 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Picea (GB)
Progeny in our archive have won 0% of 18 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Good to Firm
1
0
0%
0
0 from 2
Good
6
0
0%
0
0 from 4
Good to Soft
7
0
0%
0
0 from 5
Soft
4
0
0%
0
0 from 2
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
1m5f – 2m
5
0
0%
0
0 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f
7
0
0%
0
0 from 5
2m5f – 3m
5
0
0%
0
0 from 4
Over 3m
1
0
0%
0
0 from 1
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Mary Macblain (GB) (Damister)
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Crosby Dancer (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m1f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Crosby Dancer (GB)).
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Luce Bay (GB) has yet to win, from 13 archived starts between 2007 and 2010.
Who trained Luce Bay?
Luce Bay (GB) was trained by Richard Phillips on the most recent run on record, at Wetherby on 25 April 2010.
Who is Luce Bay's sire?
Luce Bay (GB) is by Picea (GB) out of Mary Macblain (GB), whose sire is Damister.
What is Luce Bay's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 25 April 2010. The highest on record is 94.
What is Luce Bay's sire's record?
Picea (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 0% of 18 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses), Flat and jumps together. A small sample.
Who are Luce Bay's siblings?
Out of Mary Macblain (GB), Luce Bay (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Crosby Dancer (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Crosby Dancer (GB)). The wins came over 2m1f. As at Oct 2026.
Luce Bay (GB)·0–13·SR 0%
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