What is Fearghal Davis's strike rate?

Fearghal Davis has won 79 of 1,235 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Fearghal Davis do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Fearghal Davis ride most for?

Nicky Richards, with 289 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (9.7%).

What is Fearghal Davis's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 1,232 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Fearghal Davis

1,235 rides in the lifetime window · 476 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2013 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

79–1,235

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=1,235

284 (23%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=1,232 · 0.68 incl. margin

−677.21

£1 level stake

n=1,235 at SP · −54.8%

£541k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 210 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (85 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,235 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 30.3% when favourite Nicky Richards: 9.7% from 289 LTO winners: 12.9% Claiming: 7.4% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=85, Fair A/E 0.73), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=286, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −291.54 to a £1 stake over 428 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Nicky Richards supplied 23% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.7% vs 6.4%, A/E 0.93). The record read poorly in Class 6 — 0% over 79 rides, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.14 across 101 rides (1% strike, −97.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 40% Better Off On Betfair SP 'Prelude' Hurdle at Market Rasen (Sep 2010, £25,048). The standout partner of the record was Benmadigan (IRE) — 7 wins from 33 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.4%−2.0

n=428 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −291.54

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.9%+6.5

n=85 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −24.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.8%−3.6

n=286 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −244.59

When favourite

30.3%

n=76 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −8.08

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.4%+1.0

n=719 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −323.28

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.1%−1.3

n=332 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −177.79

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

18.2%+11.8

n=11 · A/E 2.83 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Brian Ellison 21.2% vs 6.4% · n=52

With Evelyn Slack 14.9% vs 6.4% · n=87

On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 6.4% · n=85

In Class 6 0% vs 6.4% · n=79

With Mike Sowersby 0% vs 6.4% · n=60

In NH Flat races 1% vs 6.4% · n=101

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 801 52 6.5% −401.20

Chase 333 26 7.8% −178.51

NH Flat 101 1 1% −97.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 431 27 6.3% −219.61

Soft 263 17 6.5% −140.16

Good to Soft 262 15 5.7% −154.25

Good to Firm 157 12 7.6% −79.17

Heavy 115 7 6.1% −80.52

Standard (AW) 4 1 25% −0.50

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 143 9 6.3% −63.22

Kelso 119 8 6.7% −78.62

Wetherby 106 9 8.5% −59.87

Newcastle 101 5 5% −72.17

Perth 89 2 2.2% −80.34

Hexham 87 6 6.9% −50.88

Carlisle 82 8 9.8% −23.90

Catterick 77 6 7.8% −29.25

Ayr 76 4 5.3% −42.50

Market Rasen 68 3 4.4% −36.20

Musselburgh 61 3 4.9% −36.00

Cartmel 34 1 2.9% −29.50

Doncaster 30 4 13.3% −4.13

Uttoxeter 25 1 4% −21.25

Bangor-on-Dee 22 3 13.6% +0.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 645 44 6.8% −342.04

Class 5 283 20 7.1% −143.17

Class 3 161 11 6.8% −92.00

Class 6 79 0 0% −79.00

Class 2 42 2 4.8% −11.00

Class 1 23 2 8.7% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 99 30 30.3% 1.16 −0.58

2nd–3rd fav 203 20 9.9% 0.65 −89.63

4th–6th fav 377 22 5.8% 0.82 −146.00

7th+ in betting 556 7 1.3% 0.44 −441.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.2% completed · 1,134 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 333 73% 19 29 39 1 2

Hurdle 801 86% 13 21 74 4 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Benmadigan (IRE) 33 7 12 30 Aug 12

Malin Bay (IRE) 16 3 10 25 Sep 13

Lahib The Fifth (IRE) 16 1 7 7 May 11

I'm Your Man (GB) 15 1 5 4 Mar 09

Stoneriggs Merc (IRE) 15 2 7 16 Jan 09

Hartforth (GB) 13 0 5 4 Mar 13

Mitchell's Way (GB) 12 1 3 13 Jan 13

Palomar (USA) 12 2 4 4 Nov 11

Moon Melody (GER) 12 0 3 23 May 09

Premier Dane (IRE) 10 0 3 28 Apr 11

Prioryjo (GB) 10 0 2 8 Dec 09

Barney (IRE) 10 3 5 7 May 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 476 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

578759506956

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNicky Richards

23% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Nicky Richards 289 28 9.7% −85.73

Evelyn Slack 87 13 14.9% −24.37

Micky Hammond 70 6 8.6% −35.25

Henry Hogarth 67 4 6% −23.38

Alan Swinbank 65 6 9.2% −22.15

Mike Sowersby 60 0 0% −60.00

Brian Ellison 52 11 21.2% +22.34

Andrew Crook 45 2 4.4% −31.00

I McMath 38 0 0% −38.00

Rayson Nixon 36 2 5.6% +8.25

Jean McGregor 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£654k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Palomar (USA) — 40% Better Off On Betfair SP 'Prelude' Hurdle (Handicap) Market Rasen · Sep 2010 · Class 2

£25,048

Marsh Warbler (GB) — Coral Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Chepstow · Jan 2011 · Grade 1

£19,954

Neptune Equester (GB) — bet365 Handicap Chase (Listed) Wetherby · Oct 2010 · Listed

£11,402

Notable horses

Benmadigan (IRE) Palomar (USA) Barney (IRE) Simply Ned (IRE) Malin Bay (IRE) King Daniel (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 15.9% · 10–63

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Overbury (IRE) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Minster Son (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.

Oscar (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Silver Patriarch (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,438 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,438 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 February 2005 to 30 November 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Nov 13 Newcastle Gorey Lane (IRE)T: John Norton Coopers' Marquees Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 13 ran F 16/1

28 Nov 13 Uttoxeter Villa Royale (GB)T: David O'Meara Tba Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran UR 20/1

21 Nov 13 Market Rasen Gorey Lane (IRE)T: John Norton Phs Besafe Arc Gear Workwear Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 6 ran PU 11/4J

11 Oct 13 Carlisle Simply Ned (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Gen II Training Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16f · Good · 9 ran F 13/2

04 Oct 13 Hexham Spiekeroog (GB)T: David O'Meara Bhest Racing To School Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

25 Sep 13 Perth Malin Bay (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Bookmakers Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 20/1

28 Aug 13 Worcester Malin Bay (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Follow Us On Twitter At WorcesterRaces Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23f · Good · 4 ran 4th 4/1

26 Aug 13 Cartmel Smooth Handle (GB)T: Danielle McCormick Wicks Waste Services Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran PU 50/1

24 Aug 13 Cartmel Almutaham (USA)T: Nicky Richards Hadwins Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 12 ran 10th 10/1

20 Jul 13 Cartmel Malin Bay (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Totepool.com Cumbria Crystal Trophy Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 22f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 10/1

14 Jul 13 Perth Thehoodlum (GB)T: Jean McGregor Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 50/1

14 Jul 13 Perth Askalott (IRE)T: Jean McGregor Drew Russell 65th Birthday Celebration Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 40/1

14 Jul 13 Perth The Bold Lord (IRE)T: Alan Swinbank Totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 25/1

07 Jul 13 Market Rasen Kukurudu (IRE)T: Simon West Donnoble.co.uk Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran BD 16/1

03 Jul 13 Perth Malin Bay (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Robert McConnell Scots Guards Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 10/3F

30 Jun 13 Uttoxeter Snow Alert (GB)T: John Norton bet365.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 66/1

09 Jun 13 Perth Malin Bay (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

09 Jun 13 Perth Askalott (IRE)T: Jean McGregor Fugro Subsea Services Novices' Chase (For The Silver Cup)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 80/1

30 May 13 Wetherby Latest Fashion (IRE)T: Christopher Wilson Read Hayley Turner Every Friday racinguk.com Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 16/1

27 May 13 Cartmel True Pleasure (IRE)T: James Bethell Watch Racing UK On Sky 432 Mares' Novices' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Fearghal Davis's strike rate?: Fearghal Davis has won 79 of 1,235 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Fearghal Davis do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Fearghal Davis ride most for?: Nicky Richards, with 289 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (9.7%).
What is Fearghal Davis's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 1,232 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.