What is Warren Marston's strike rate?

Warren Marston has won 71 of 839 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Warren Marston do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Warren Marston ride most for?

Martin Keighley, with 288 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (13.2%).

What is Warren Marston's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 837 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Warren Marston

839 rides in the lifetime window · 298 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2011 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

71–839

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=839

232 (28%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=837 · 0.79 incl. margin

−284.04

£1 level stake

n=839 at SP · −33.9%

£581k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 210 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 839 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 22.4% when favourite Martin Keighley: 13.2% from 288 Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Huntingdon (14.3%, n=49), clear of the rider's 8.5% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5% (n=258, Fair A/E 0.87). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −79.75 to a £1 stake over 167 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Martin Keighley supplied 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.2% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well beyond 3m (25%, n=32). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Singer & Friedlander Handicap Chase at Uttoxeter (Feb 2005, £29,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.7%−2.8

n=229 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −112.59

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9%+0.5

n=78 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −41.96

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.4%−3.1

n=167 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −79.75

When favourite

22.4%

n=58 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −21.42

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−8.5

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

5%−3.5

n=258 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −109.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−0.8

n=13 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Beyond 3m 25% vs 8.5% · n=32

At Chepstow 0% vs 8.5% · n=35

With C&D winners 16.7% vs 8.5% · n=36

With Richard Phillips 3% vs 8.5% · n=134

With Martin Keighley 13.2% vs 8.5% · n=288

At Huntingdon 14.3% vs 8.5% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 575 43 7.5% −201.84

Chase 158 20 12.7% −29.61

NH Flat 106 8 7.5% −52.59

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 295 23 7.8% −112.12

Good to Soft 209 18 8.6% −78.58

Soft 172 18 10.5% −43.34

Heavy 82 5 6.1% −51.50

Good to Firm 74 6 8.1% +0.00

Standard (AW) 7 1 14.3% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 67 6 9% −28.00

Towcester 64 6 9.4% −14.17

Huntingdon 49 7 14.3% +2.38

Hereford 45 4 8.9% −16.00

Stratford 40 4 10% +7.50

Worcester 37 1 2.7% −30.00

Chepstow 35 0 0% −35.00

Southwell 34 2 5.9% +12.00

Market Rasen 30 4 13.3% +3.50

Kempton 30 3 10% −12.25

Fontwell 28 1 3.6% −21.50

Bangor-on-Dee 26 2 7.7% −19.25

Cheltenham 25 3 12% +3.00

Plumpton 24 1 4.2% −7.00

Warwick 24 3 12.5% −8.34

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 402 29 7.2% −175.96

Class 5 180 16 8.9% −43.25

Class 3 156 19 12.2% −6.74

Class 6 57 6 10.5% −20.09

Class 1 25 1 4% −19.00

Class 2 18 0 0% −18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 71 14 19.7% 0.71 −30.42

2nd–3rd fav 171 27 15.8% 1.01 −25.12

4th–6th fav 248 20 8.1% 1.03 −60.50

7th+ in betting 349 10 2.9% 0.96 −168.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.1% completed · 733 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 158 75.9% 5 5 27 1 0

Hurdle 575 85% 8 5 72 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King Ozzy (IRE) 16 1 4 2 Jan 11

Bedizen (GB) 14 2 7 20 Feb 11

Brimham Boy (GB) 13 2 6 13 Mar 11

Any Currency (IRE) 13 2 8 24 Oct 10

Wolf Moon (IRE) 12 4 5 23 Apr 11

Wychwoods Legend (GB) 12 2 5 27 Mar 10

Sky Calling (GB) 12 2 6 15 Jul 09

Marleno (GER) 10 1 3 13 Apr 11

King Jack (GB) 10 1 3 24 Feb 11

Rodrigo Gonzales (IRE) 10 3 3 22 Nov 10

Won More Night (GB) 10 0 1 30 Nov 09

Hareem (IRE) 10 0 3 5 Nov 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 298 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10786166201146106

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMartin Keighley

34% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 1.11

TrainerRWSR£1

Martin Keighley 288 38 13.2% −23.62

Richard Phillips 134 4 3% −89.50

Milton Harris 103 12 11.7% −0.83

Pam Sly 82 6 7.3% −38.59

D J Wintle 43 3 7% −16.75

Henrietta C Knight 38 2 5.3% −26.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

151

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.19m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 34 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Whereareyounow (IRE) — Singer & Friedlander Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Feb 2005 · Class 2

£29,000

Mephisto (IRE) — Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) Kelso · Mar 2005 · Class 1

£20,300

Bewleys Berry (IRE) — River Don Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) Doncaster · Jan 2005 · Class 1

£18,150

Notable horses

Dhehdaah (GB) Rodrigo Gonzales (IRE) Wolf Moon (IRE) Delightful Cliche (GB) Giovanna (GB) Rajeh (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 6.3% · 3–48

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Classic Cliche (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.

Midnight Legend (GB) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

King Charlemagne (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.

Presenting (GB) 25% · 4–16

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Supreme Leader (GB) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,768 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,768 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 23 April 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Apr 11 Haydock Havingotascoobydo (IRE)T: Martin Keighley Watch Racing UK On Sky432 'Fixed Brush' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 19f · Good · 10 ran 5th 9/2

23 Apr 11 Haydock Wolf Moon (IRE)T: Martin Keighley Michael Conlon 50th Birthday Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 23f · Good · 6 ran PU 11/2

20 Apr 11 Hereford Drussell (IRE)T: Richard Phillips Pertemps People Development Group Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 7/1

14 Apr 11 Cheltenham Benbane Head (USA)T: Martin Keighley Molson Coors Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/2

13 Apr 11 Cheltenham Marleno (GER)T: Milton Harris Raceodds.com Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 9th 5/1

13 Apr 11 Cheltenham Total Submission (GB)T: Martin Keighley Citipost Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 14 ran 7th 11/1

10 Apr 11 Ascot Spirit Is Needed (IRE)T: Milton Harris Colts & Fillies Club Maiden HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 8/1

09 Apr 11 Aintree Gallox Bridge (GB)T: Milton Harris John Smith's Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2)Class 1 · 17f · Good · 20 ran 17th 100/1

07 Apr 11 Hereford Ukrainian Star (IRE)T: Martin Keighley Bet Mobile At victorchandler.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 17 ran 10th 9/2F

07 Apr 11 Hereford Rageon (IRE)T: Milton Harris Play Casino At victorchandler.com Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 15 ran PU 80/1

07 Apr 11 Hereford Jacko's Boy (GB)T: Martin Keighley Play Casino At victorchandler.com Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 16 ran 11th 8/1

03 Apr 11 Market Rasen Royal And Ancient (IRE)T: Milton Harris Weatherbys Aintree Festival Betting Guide Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 12/1

03 Apr 11 Market Rasen Kayaan (GB)T: Pam Sly Dawn Dobinson's Big 50th Birthday Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 9/1

02 Apr 11 Chepstow Speedy Directa (GER)T: Milton Harris Bridgend Designer Outlet Fashion Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 9/1

02 Apr 11 Chepstow Maucaillou (GER)T: Martin Keighley Play Mecca Bingo On Your iPhone Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 14/1

31 Mar 11 Ludlow Havingotascoobydo (IRE)T: Martin Keighley 12 May Is Ladies Day Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 1st 9/4F

29 Mar 11 Taunton Jaya Bella (IRE)T: Milton Harris Wurzels After Racing - Evening Meeting 12th April Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 20/1

26 Mar 11 Bangor-on-Dee Wolf Moon (IRE)T: Martin Keighley Tommy Shone Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 23f · Good · 14 ran 10th 10/1

25 Mar 11 Newbury Darby's Turn (IRE)T: Richard Phillips Oakley Coachbuilders Novices' Handicap Chase (For The Brown Chamberlin Trophy)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 33/1

24 Mar 11 Southwell Pretty Penny (GB)T: Martin Keighley Southwell-racecourse.co.uk 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Warren Marston's strike rate?: Warren Marston has won 71 of 839 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Warren Marston do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Warren Marston ride most for?: Martin Keighley, with 288 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (13.2%).
What is Warren Marston's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 837 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.