Richard Phillips
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=111, Fair A/E 0.35). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −107.76 to a £1 stake over 215 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Finn Lambert rides 33% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7% vs 5%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (8.8%, n=34) and in Class 3 (8.8%, n=34). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 31 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.31 across 58 runners (1.7% strike, −24.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Giovanna (GB) — 7 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,050 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,050 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 3 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Richard Phillips's strike rate?
- Richard Phillips has won 22 of 438 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richard Phillips do best at?
- Uttoxeter by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 runners (3.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Richard Phillips?
- Finn Lambert, with 143 runners since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7%).
- What is Richard Phillips's Fair A/E?
- 0.78, from 437 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.