Lucky Policy (IRE)
Lucky Policy never won in 11 starts on turf between Feb 2023 and Aug 2024. The gelding placed twice and reached a best of 2 of 11 at Wexford in Aug 2024. He raced off an official rating of 91 at his last run in the Thorn Plant Hire Handicap Chase at Killarney in Aug 2024 when headgear returned. His highest ever mark was 92.
- 0–11Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (18.2%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 92Highest OR
- 56dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 112
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 112A | 71 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 74B | 64 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 112A | 62 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 64C | 54.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 11 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 1,244 runs since Jan 2008 (143 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +2 | — |
| Good | 394 | 38 | 9.6% | +0.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 197 | 9 | 4.6% | −4.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 407 | 46 | 11.3% | +2.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 171 | 15 | 8.8% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 64 | 4 | 6.3% | −2.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 67 | 4 | 6% | −3.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 83 | 9 | 10.8% | +1.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 365 | 40 | 11% | +1.9 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 566 | 53 | 9.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 125 | 6 | 4.8% | −4.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | −0.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them The Big Chap (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 1m7f–2m3f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Big Chap (IRE) | 31 | 7 | 1m7f–2m3f | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilbeggan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Sexton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Shane Fitzgerald | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Benjamin P Kennedy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sam Ewing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jake Coen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| E Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr S Cavanagh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Keith Donoghue | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hood | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Aug 24+15d | Killarney | Thorn Plant Hire Handicap Chase (0-109) Sat close to the pace early - drifted right at the 2nd - still holding second when fell at the 7th | F/9 | — | 10-10 | 91 | — | — | Sam Ewing | 7/1 |
| 07 Aug 24+12d | Wexford | Wexford Fleadh Cheoil Opportunity Handicap Chase Set the early gallop clear in front - driven out approaching two out then lost the advantage before the final fence - stayed on without finding more up the run-in to finish second | 2/11 | 4¾ | 10-3 | 91 | 112A | 99A | Jake Coen | 12/1 |
| 26 Jul 24+24d | Kilbeggan | MJS Building & Development Handicap Chase (0-95) | 5/13 | 5 | 12-0 | 92 | 74B | 108A | Kevin Sexton | 22/1 |
| 02 Jul 24+16d | Tipperary | Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (0-102) (Div 1) | F/13 | — | 11-5 | 92 | — | — | Kevin Sexton | 33/1 |
| 16 Jun 24+30d | Downpatrick | Randox Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 12/14 | 23 | 11-10 | 89 | 14C | 87C | E Walsh | 16/1 |
| 17 May 24+10d | Kilbeggan | Cooke's Bar And Restaurant Caragh Beginners Chase | 12/14 | 6½ | 11-12 | — | 62C | 92C | Shane Fitzgerald | 50/1 |
| 07 May 24+15d | Ballinrobe | Burleigh Accountancy Group Beginners Chase | 7/14 | 30 | 11-12 | — | 52C | 103C | Shane Fitzgerald | 200/1 |
| 22 Apr 24+382d | Tramore | Gaultier Hunters Chase | 3/10 | 5 | 11-0 | — | 80B | 96A | Mr S Cavanagh | 40/1 |
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Apr 23+31d | Clonmel | Clionas Foundation Opportunity Maiden Hurdle | PU/18 | — | 11-0 | — | — | — | Benjamin P Kennedy | 150/1 |
| 06 Mar 23+22d | Leopardstown | Edmondstown Maiden Hurdle | 11/13 | 1½ | 11-12 | — | 64C | 91C | Keith Donoghue | 200/1 |
| 12 Feb 23 | Navan | Navan Ford & Opel Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 9/15 | 2½ | 11-5 | — | 45C | 86C | Benjamin P Kennedy | 200/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucky Policy won?
- Lucky Policy (IRE) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts between 2023 and 2024. Placed 2 times in total (18.2% of starts).
- Who trained Lucky Policy?
- Lucky Policy (IRE) was trained by Paul W Flynn on the most recent run on record, at Killarney on 22 August 2024.
- Who is Lucky Policy's sire?
- Lucky Policy (IRE) is by Policy Maker (IRE) out of Clairin River (IRE), whose sire is Zaffaran.
- What is Lucky Policy's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 91, from the run on 22 August 2024. The highest on record is 92.
- What is Lucky Policy's sire's record?
- Policy Maker (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 1,244 runs since Jan 2008 (143 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
- Who are Lucky Policy's siblings?
- Out of Clairin River (IRE), Lucky Policy (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: The Big Chap (IRE) (7). The wins came over 1m7f–2m3f. As at Oct 2026.