What is Paul W Flynn's strike rate?

Paul W Flynn has won 112 of 1,248 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul W Flynn do best at?

Sligo by strike rate: 8 wins from 38 runners (21.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Paul W Flynn?

Robert Whearty, with 175 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (10.9%).

Is Paul W Flynn in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Paul W Flynn's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 1,247 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Paul W Flynn

1,248 runners in the last 5 seasons · 132 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.2% of 321 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

112–1,248

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,248

312 (25%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=1,247 · 0.94 incl. margin

−246.13

£1 level stake

n=1,248 at SP · −19.7%

£1.39m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18). New recruits from other yards win at 12% first time out (58 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,248 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.2% 28.7% when favourite Robert Whearty: 10.9% from 175 New recruits: 12.1% Claiming riders: 9.7% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (21.1%, n=38) and Dundalk (AW) (15.9%, n=232) — all clear of the yard's 9% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.1% (n=58, Fair A/E 2.52), but debutants struggle at 3.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 2.09). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.82 and +20.00 to a £1 stake over 179 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Robert Whearty rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.9%, A/E 1.51) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (15.8%, n=234). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway (Jul 2011, £156,600). The stable star of the record: Little Queenie (IRE) — 8 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.2%+2.2

n=179 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +20.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.1%+3.1

n=58 · A/E 2.52 · £1 +24.50

Debutants · first career start

3.5%−5.5

n=57 · A/E 2.09 · £1 −38.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8%−1.0

n=50 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −8.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.2%−1.8

n=97 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −35.17

When favourite

28.7%

n=101 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −7.07

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.7%+0.7

n=513 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −69.79

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.0

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Sligo 21.1% vs 9% · n=38

At Dundalk (AW) 15.9% vs 9% · n=232

On Standard (AW) going 15.8% vs 9% · n=234

With C&D winners 15.2% vs 9% · n=165

With Luke McAteer 2.8% vs 9% · n=107

With Colin Keane 16.3% vs 9% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 883 86 9.7% −81.16

Hurdle 264 13 4.9% −178.17

Chase 90 12 13.3% +15.20

NH Flat 11 1 9.1% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 428 39 9.1% −9.34

Soft 318 16 5% −155.63

Standard (AW) 234 37 15.8% −24.74

Good to Soft 152 13 8.6% −32.92

Heavy 93 4 4.3% −34.50

Good to Firm 23 3 13% +11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 232 37 15.9% −22.74

Curragh 97 4 4.1% −57.00

Navan 96 7 7.3% −43.50

Leopardstown 92 8 8.7% +4.83

Roscommon 67 4 6% −39.75

Gowran Park 62 2 3.2% −53.00

Cork 58 3 5.2% −20.50

Naas 55 3 5.5% −1.00

Galway 55 2 3.6% −35.50

Fairyhouse 47 6 12.8% +59.83

Limerick 42 5 11.9% −15.17

Ballinrobe 41 3 7.3% −18.00

Sligo 38 8 21.1% +13.87

Punchestown 37 2 5.4% −16.50

Killarney 36 3 8.3% +61.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 128 32 25% 1.17 −20.24

2nd–3rd fav 197 31 15.7% 1.11 −17.39

4th–6th fav 295 29 9.8% 1.27 −9.50

7th+ in betting 628 20 3.2% 1.22 −199.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Little Queenie (IRE)from John C McConnell 44 8 19 22 Jul 26

Rappell (IRE) 35 5 13 9 Oct 26

Golden Sandbanks (GB)from Iain Jardine 34 7 13 29 Jul 24

Nibras Rainbow (IRE)from Ismail Mohammed 33 3 14 20 Oct 26

Jazz Forever (IRE)from M Halford 33 1 5 9 Oct 26

Forlio (GB)from Edward Bethell 30 3 6 21 Sep 26

Clever Currency (IRE)from Patrick Neville · then Michael Bell 30 2 8 11 Jun 24

Jurality (GB)from D J Bunyan 29 1 9 23 Oct 26

Scott Lang (IRE)from Adrian Murray 29 2 10 26 Apr 25

The Big Chap (IRE) 29 7 14 1 Feb 25

Feature This (IRE)then Ian Patrick Donoghue 29 5 8 20 Sep 24

Timourid (IRE)from James McAuley · then Denis Gerard Hogan 28 4 7 20 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 132 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (2) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian McGuinness (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

17481097119671410

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Whearty

14% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.51

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Whearty 175 19 10.9% −24.51

Luke McAteer 107 3 2.8% −66.00

Leigh Roche 75 7 9.3% +75.00

Dylan Browne McMonagle 72 11 15.3% +69.25

Benjamin P Kennedy 55 2 3.6% −37.75

Kevin Sexton 53 3 5.7% −35.00

Colin Keane 49 8 16.3% +12.91

W J Lee 39 4 10.3% −20.00

Ciara Flynn 38 3 7.9% −16.00

Danny Gilligan 36 5 13.9% −11.34

J M Sheridan 35 3 8.6% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

236

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.09m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 27 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Moon Dice (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (grade A) Galway · Jul 2011 · Grade A

£156,600

Drunken Sailor (IRE) — Arthur's Day Handicap Galway · Jul 2009

£42,315

Timourid (IRE) — Novibet Guineas Festival Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2023

£29,500

Notable horses

Little Queenie (IRE) Archie Boy (IRE) Try Again (IRE) Golden Sandbanks (GB) The Ring Is King (IRE) The Big Chap (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elzaam (AUS) 5.6% · 4–72

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,530 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 327.

Policy Maker (IRE) 12.3% · 8–65

Progeny have won 9% of 1,251 runs since 2010 (144 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 200. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 127.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 12.9% · 8–62

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,639 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 327.

Camacho (GB) 17.4% · 8–46

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Gleneagles (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,573 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.

Vadamos (FR) 0% · 0–39

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,112 runs since 2020 (222 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 160.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,359 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,359 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2007 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caffu Zafeen (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 100/30

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Willofthepeople (IRE)J: Ben Kennedy Winter Festival 28th & 29th November 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 66/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Whatsin The Stars (IRE)J: Nina Doherty Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Jurality (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Soldier Saint (IRE)J: Ben Kennedy Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 11/2

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Nibras Rainbow (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 11th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Dark Summit (GB)J: J M Sheridan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 2nd 16/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Glamazon (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 13th 20/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Nibras Rainbow (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 15th 12/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Whatsin The Stars (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 100/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Nibras Rainbow (IRE)J: Leigh Roche DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 11th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Soldier Saint (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 6th 7/2F

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Jurality (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran 6th 11/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Pourquoi Poi (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 100/30

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) I Ready (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap6f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 22/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jazz Forever (IRE)J: Jack Kearney View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 6/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Rappell (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 11/2

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lady Quigley (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 250/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lady's Court (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 12/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Soldier Saint (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 4th 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Paul W Flynn's strike rate?: Paul W Flynn has won 112 of 1,248 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul W Flynn do best at?: Sligo by strike rate: 8 wins from 38 runners (21.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul W Flynn?: Robert Whearty, with 175 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (10.9%).
Is Paul W Flynn in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul W Flynn's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 1,247 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.