Horse profile
Mercurial Sea (IRE)
by Affinisea (IRE) out of Cloudante (IRE) (Cloudings)
15 runs · 11 courses · from Feb 2025
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Beaten favourite LTO
Last run 18 Sep 2026 · 5th of 12
Last raced off OR 93
KTB Profile
Mercurial Sea (IRE) is yet to win from 15 starts, though has placed 4 times. Best effort: 2nd of 11 at Downpatrick (IRE) (Jul 2026).
Based on 15 archived runs · run-style from 15 commented runs since Feb 2025 · updated 8 Nov 2026
- 0–15Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 4 (26.7%)Placed
- −15.00£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=15 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 94Highest OR
- 31dBetween runs (median)longest 98 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating93↓ 1lb off peak
93
88–94
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 109
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 133B | 102 | 5 runs · 133 / 103 |
| Soft | 2 | 70A | 68 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 133B | 102 | 5 runs · 133 / 103 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 109B | 93.5 | 2 runs · 109 / 93.5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 70A | 68 | 1 run · — |
Of 15 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2) · did not complete (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 15 analysed runs since Feb 2025
- Prominent 5 (33%) · 0 wins
- Led 5 (33%) · 0 wins
- Held up 4 (27%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (7%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 1,295 runs since Feb 2022 (206 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.7 | — |
| Good | 467 | 60 | 12.8% | −0.5 | 0 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 335 | 46 | 13.7% | +0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 347 | 47 | 13.5% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 136 | 17 | 12.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −13.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 481 | 55 | 11.4% | −1.9 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 558 | 77 | 13.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 9 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 213 | 32 | 15% | +1.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | +3.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Feb 2022 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Cloudante (IRE) (Cloudings)
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million Percent (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Downpatrick (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tramore (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Millar | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Paddy Cleary | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Finn Brickley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr J M Halford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss J Townend | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| John Shinnick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Hood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Sep 26+35d | Downpatrick (IRE) | MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div I) Tracked pace-setter early - lost ground with small error four out - dropped to fourth under pressure then weakened into fifth before the last | 5/12 | 2½ | 11-2 | 93 | 103A | 98A | Carl Millar | 11/4F |
| 14 Aug 26+31d | Tramore (IRE) | I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase Held up towards the back - poor leap at the opening fence - lost touch with the field soon after - well behind from before the 11th and finished a distant last | 8/13 | 5½ | 11-5 | 94 | 78C | 86C | Carl Millar | 14/1 |
| 14 Jul 26+53d | Downpatrick (IRE) | ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle Racing in 2nd early - in front before the last - caught at the last - passed soon after but kept on when driven | 2/11 | 6½ | 11-0 | 88 | 102A | 109A | Paddy Cleary | 7/1 |
| 22 May 26+14d | Downpatrick | Frank And Brian Fitzsimons Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Settled midpack early - up to 5th at halfway - 3rd with four to go - driven approaching two out but made no headway - held no finishing kick and beaten well into 8th | 8/15 | nk | 10-11 | 89 | 109B | 94A | Paddy Cleary | 7/1 |
| 08 May 26+26d | Downpatrick | Angie Orr Still Celebrating Her 70th Birthday Mares Handicap Hurdle Set the gallop early - urged forward approaching 2 out and hard-driven with a rival closing hard by the last - lost the advantage inside the final furlong and a half - had nothing more to give but held the effort to the line | 2/12 | 5 | 9-11 | 88 | 108A | 105A | Paddy Cleary | 11/1 |
| 12 Apr 26+22d | Down Royal | Carsena Bloodstock Mares Maiden Hurdle Set the pace early - sat second through halfway before dropping away 3 out - down to 6th and unable to find more approaching the last | 6/15 | 4 | 10-8 | 90 | 133B | 85A | Carl Millar | 12/1 |
| 21 Mar 26+98d | Navan | Wilkinson Jewellers Of Navan Mares Handicap Hurdle Held up at the back throughout and out of contention | 8/12 | 2½ | 9-7 | 93 | 66A | 80A | Paddy Cleary | 80/1 |
| 2025 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Dec 25+22d | Fairyhouse | William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) Sent clear early - driven up front before losing spot 3 out and quickly emptied - dropped away and eased before the final fence | PU/18 | — | 11-3 | 94 | — | — | Finn Brickley | 66/1 |
| 21 Nov 25+74d | Fairyhouse | Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle Held up rear from the off - no impact on the contest - well beaten in 12th | 12/16 | 30 | 10-7 | — | 30C | 85C | Carl Millar | 50/1 |
| 08 Sep 25+59d | Galway | Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race Shared front spot early - dropped to second after 4f and slipped back approaching 3f out - under pressure in 5th inside final 2f - held on without finding more close home finishing 5th | 5/17 | ½ | 11-2 | — | — | 59C | Mr J M Halford | 18/1 |
| 11 Jul 25+31d | Cork | Racing Again July 25th Fillies Flat Race Handy early - third at halfway - dropped away inside final two furlongs and held late | 8/16 | 3¾ | 11-5 | — | — | 62C | Miss J Townend | 10/1 |
| 10 Jun 25+70d | Sligo | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race Set the early gallop and opened a three length advantage by halfway - driven up front before being overtaken a furlong out - urged again but unable to match the winner's finish - moved into third inside the final 100 yards and stayed on at the same speed | 3/15 | ½ | 10-13 | — | 85B | 109A | Mr J M Halford | 40/1 |
| 01 Apr 25+30d | Limerick | Limerick Maiden Hurdle Sat behind the front group early - up to 3rd but unable to make headway before 2 out - stayed on one speed to finish third | 3/16 | 21 | 10-9 | — | 96B | 90A | John Shinnick | 100/1 |
| 02 Mar 25+25d | Leopardstown | QuinnBet (Pro/Am) Flat Race Tracked the pace early - third at halfway then edged closer turning in - dropped away fast inside the last two furlongs to finish well back | 8/9 | 3¼ | 10-3 | — | 70A | 78A | Finn Brickley | 50/1 |
| 05 Feb 25 | Fairyhouse | Book Your Fairyhouse Hospitality Maiden Hurdle Settled towards the back of the pack early - hit the fourth with an awkward jump - up to 8th by halfway - clipped one three out then driven but unable to close - came down at the final fence | F/13 | — | 10-9 | — | — | — | Carl Millar | 125/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Mercurial Sea won?
- Mercurial Sea (IRE) has yet to win, from 15 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 4 times in total (26.7% of starts).
- Who trains Mercurial Sea?
- Mercurial Sea (IRE) is trained by Nigel Thomas Slevin, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 18 September 2026.
- Who is Mercurial Sea's sire?
- Mercurial Sea (IRE) is by Affinisea (IRE) out of Cloudante (IRE), whose sire is Cloudings.
- What is Mercurial Sea's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 93, from the run on 18 September 2026. The highest on record is 94.
- What is Mercurial Sea's sire's record?
- Affinisea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 1,295 runs since Feb 2022 (206 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Mercurial Sea's siblings?
- Out of Cloudante (IRE), Mercurial Sea (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.