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Trainer profile

Nigel Thomas Slevin

335 runners in the last 5 seasons · 53 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
16–335
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=335
59 (18%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=335 · 0.83 incl. margin
+46.33
£1 level stake
n=335 at SP · +13.8%
£207k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 335 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.1% Carl Millar: 6% from 50 Claiming riders: 6.2%
The read

Carl Millar rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (10.3%, n=39) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (9.4%, n=32). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 40 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Takeachancejimmy (IRE) — 7 wins from 63 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.1%+0.3
n=79 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%−0.6
n=24 · A/E 1.82 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.8%+0.0
n=21 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.2%+1.4
n=194 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −55.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 10.3% vs 4.8% · n=39
On Heavy going 0% vs 4.8% · n=40
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 4.8% · n=37
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 9.4% vs 4.8% · n=32
With a new jockey booking 2.3% vs 4.8% · n=173
At Dundalk (AW) 1.9% vs 4.8% · n=52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 139 7 5% +123.83
Hurdle 117 5 4.3% −48.50
NH Flat 50 3 6% −11.00
Chase 29 1 3.4% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 112 5 4.5% −78.67
Soft 92 6 6.5% +192.00
Standard (AW) 52 1 1.9% −41.00
Heavy 40 0 0% −40.00
Good to Soft 39 4 10.3% +14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 52 1 1.9% −41.00
Fairyhouse 28 1 3.6% −2.00
Navan 21 1 4.8% −15.00
Sligo 19 2 10.5% +3.00
Downpatrick 19 1 5.3% −13.50
Punchestown 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Gowran Park 16 1 6.3% +185.00
Bellewstown 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 13 0 0% −13.00
Down Royal 13 3 23.1% +23.33
Ballinrobe 13 1 7.7% −3.50
Kilbeggan 13 0 0% −13.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Thurles 8 1 12.5% +18.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 1 12.5% 0.69 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 30 5 16.7% 1.24 +0.83
4th–6th fav 88 6 6.8% 1.09 −8.50
7th+ in betting 209 4 1.9% 0.91 +56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Takeachancejimmy (IRE) 21 1 2 8 Oct 25
Single Edition (IRE)then James M Barcoe 19 1 5 28 May 25
Politicise (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness · then Cian Collins 18 1 4 10 May 24
Diamondinthemud (IRE) 18 1 6 10 Oct 23
Mercurial Sea (IRE) 15 0 4 18 Sep 26
Five Zeros (IRE) 15 3 5 26 Jun 23
Mutadaawel (IRE)from Anthony McCann 14 0 1 19 Nov 23
Mehmar (IRE)from Jamie Osborne · then Jack Jones 13 0 1 22 Jul 26
Fizzle Rock (IRE) 12 1 3 23 Oct 26
Cola Blaze (IRE) 10 1 1 12 May 26
Times A Wastin (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 10 0 2 11 Jul 25
Gormanston (IRE) 10 0 0 1 Nov 23
All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2) and Matthew J Smith (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
90041108150330
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCarl Millar
15% of all rides
6% SR · A/E 1.09
RiderRWSR£1
Carl Millar 50 3 6% −6.00
Robbie Colgan 33 1 3% +168.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
34
Archived wins
£448k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 7 wins
Takeachancejimmy (IRE) — Get Galway Ready With Tote.ie Handicap Ballinrobe · Jul 2022
£12,980
Takeachancejimmy (IRE) — KPMG Handicap Ballinrobe · Jul 2021
£12,390
Mr Boss Man (IRE) — Like Kilbeggan Races On Facebook Handicap Chase (0-123) Kilbeggan · Jun 2017
£12,320
Notable horses
Takeachancejimmy (IRE) Five Zeros (IRE) Ecliptic Moon (IRE) Gormanston (IRE) Fizzle Rock (IRE) Private Policy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Art Connoisseur (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 7% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 212. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.2% from 169.
Mehmas (IRE) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,169 runs since 2008 (750 horses).
Getaway (GER) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,934 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.
Buratino (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,881 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.
Camelot (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,701 runs since 2008 (755 horses).
Affinisea (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,267 runs since 2008 (199 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 681 · newest first

The latest 50 of 681 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2016 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Missouri Snow (IRE)J: Carl Millar Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Certavi Et Vici (IRE)J: Mr Finn Buckley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 13/2
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Valerie O (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Fillies Optional Claiming Race7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 200/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Fizzle Rock (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Private Policy (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 4th 7/2F
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Fizzle Rock (IRE)J: Carl Millar Ryans Cleaning Handicap Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran F 50/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) An Lachin Beag (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 5/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Missouri Snow (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 50/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Bossman About (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 17th 200/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Private Policy (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 1st 7/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Valerie O (IRE)J: James Ryan Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 5 ran 5th 200/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Certavi Et Vici (IRE)J: Mr Finn Buckley Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 100/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Valerie O (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 17 ran 16th 300/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Fizzle Rock (IRE)J: Carl Millar Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase18f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Mercurial Sea (IRE)J: Carl Millar MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div I)18f · Good · 12 ran 5th 11/4F
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) An Lachin Beag (IRE)J: Mr Finn Buckley Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 4th 9/1
04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Fizzle Rock (IRE)J: Carl Millar Midland Veterinary Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran UR 125/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) The Bossman About (IRE)J: Carl Millar SIS Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 11th 25/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Mercurial Sea (IRE)J: Carl Millar I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 13 ran 8th 14/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Missouri Snow (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nigel Thomas Slevin's strike rate?
Nigel Thomas Slevin has won 16 of 335 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nigel Thomas Slevin do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 52 runners (1.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nigel Thomas Slevin?
Carl Millar, with 50 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (6%).
Is Nigel Thomas Slevin in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nigel Thomas Slevin's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 335 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).