What is Miss J Townend's strike rate?

Miss J Townend has won 65 of 342 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 19% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Miss J Townend do best at?

Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 30 rides (30%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Miss J Townend ride most for?

W P Mullins, with 194 rides since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (24.2%).

Is Miss J Townend in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Miss J Townend's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 342 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Miss J Townend

342 rides in the last 5 seasons · 242 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 10 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

65–342

Wins / Runs

19%

Strike rate

n=342

137 (40%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=342 · 0.89 incl. margin

−8.82

£1 level stake

n=342 at SP · −2.6%

£1.13m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, winning on 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). When claiming the record reads 27% (89 rides). Rides mostly for W P Mullins — 57% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 342 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 20.9% 38.6% when favourite W P Mullins: 24.2% from 194 First rides: 19.7% LTO winners: 23.1% Claiming: 27%

The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (30%, n=30), clear of the rider's 19% baseline. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 27% (n=89, Fair A/E 1.38), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 13% (n=123, Fair A/E 1.12). W P Mullins supplies 57% of the rides and beats the rider's average (24.2% vs 19%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (29.8%, n=57). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 8.6% over 93 rides, 10.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.62 across 82 rides (11% strike, −34.58 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Connacht Hotel Handicap at Galway (Jul 2019, £70,800). Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 19% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

19.7%+0.7

n=234 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −51.16

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.1%+4.1

n=52 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +17.96

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

20.9%+1.9

n=67 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +19.27

When favourite

38.6%

n=83 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −11.74

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

27%+8.0

n=89 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +50.94

Big fields · 14+ runners

13%−6.0

n=123 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +14.56

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+6.0

n=36 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +21.21

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 8.6% vs 19% · n=93

Off a 15-30-day break 29.8% vs 19% · n=57

At Tramore 30% vs 19% · n=30

When claiming 27% vs 19% · n=89

On Good going 11% vs 19% · n=82

With Timothy Townend 9.8% vs 19% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

NH Flat 181 37 20.4% −36.28

Flat 83 13 15.7% −27.62

Hurdle 69 13 18.8% +53.08

Chase 9 2 22.2% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 137 29 21.2% +33.50

Good 82 9 11% −34.58

Good to Soft 61 13 21.3% −17.40

Heavy 54 11 20.4% −11.47

Good to Firm 5 2 40% +1.13

Standard (AW) 3 1 33.3% +20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 38 4 10.5% −20.62

Tramore 30 9 30% −12.95

Limerick 28 8 28.6% +1.73

Fairyhouse 26 7 26.9% +13.00

Galway 21 2 9.5% +2.00

Leopardstown 20 4 20% +11.50

Thurles 16 4 25% +57.10

Wexford 15 3 20% −4.68

Cork 14 3 21.4% −4.87

Killarney 13 3 23.1% −4.77

Ballinrobe 12 2 16.7% −6.50

Roscommon 11 1 9.1% −9.00

Navan 11 0 0% −11.00

Listowel 11 2 18.2% −3.40

Clonmel 9 1 11.1% −4.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 37 9 24.3% +20.21

Class 3 3 1 33.3% +0.75

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 92 37 40.2% 1.15 −2.36

2nd–3rd fav 114 16 14% 0.84 −44.96

4th–6th fav 72 9 12.5% 1.60 +25.50

7th+ in betting 64 3 4.7% 1.38 +13.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.7% completed · 78 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 9 88.9% 0 0 1 0 0

Hurdle 69 89.9% 0 0 6 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Port Rashid (IRE) 16 1 2 17 Oct 26

Moonshine Girl (IRE) 9 2 4 3 Nov 26

Straight Home (IRE) 8 2 3 11 Apr 25

How's The Head (IRE) 6 0 1 19 Feb 26

Captain Cody (IRE) 6 3 4 31 Mar 24

Fleur Au Fusil (FR) 4 2 2 1 May 24

Klarc Kent (FR) 4 1 3 30 Mar 24

Coole Cherry (IRE) 4 0 4 10 Jul 23

Bambi Fever (IRE) 3 0 1 13 Oct 26

Glowing Account (FR) 3 0 1 21 Aug 26

Some Pretender (GB) 3 0 2 4 Apr 26

Sorrentino (IRE) 3 0 1 26 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 242 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

31262824232501313161723

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardW P Mullins

57% of all rides
24.2% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

W P Mullins 194 47 24.2% −34.95

Timothy Townend 41 4 9.8% +29.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.59m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 24 wins

Great White Shark (FR) — Connacht Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap (70-100) (Premier Handicap) Galway · Jul 2019

£70,800

Bambino Fever (IRE) — Race & Stay At Punchestown Champion I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2025 · Grade 1

£59,000

Bambino Fever (IRE) — Coolmore N.H. Sires Luxembourg Irish EBF Mares I.N.H. Flat Race (Fillies' And Mares Grade 2) Leopardstown · Feb 2025 · Grade 2

£59,000

Notable horses

Port Rashid (IRE) Captain Cody (IRE) Bambino Fever (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE) Straight Home (IRE) We'llhavewan (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,091 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,857 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Dubai Destination (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 11% of 6,951 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 21.4% · 3–14

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Sea Moon (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 11.5% of 608 runs since 2020 (66 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.7% from 242. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 170. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.4% from 166.

Mahler (GB) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 509 · newest first

The latest 50 of 509 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 October 2015 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)T: Paul John Gilligan Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 12th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)T: Paul John Gilligan COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran 1st 12/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Port Rashid (IRE)T: Timothy Townend Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 50/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Bambi Fever (IRE)T: Timothy Townend Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 8th 11/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Josh's Jury (IRE)T: Barry J Fitzgerald Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 11/4

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)T: Paul John Gilligan Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Alicious (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 17/2

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Peat Sounds (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 16th 50/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)T: Paul John Gilligan Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran SU 20/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Who's Da Goose (GB)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 5/4F

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Moonlight Paradise (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 8th 15/2

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Maxdale Prinxess (IRE)T: W M Roper Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 18/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Moonshine Girl (IRE)T: Paul John Gilligan WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 1st 9/1

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Bambi Fever (IRE)T: Timothy Townend Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 33/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Jurality (GB)T: Paul W Flynn Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 12th 33/1

21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Glowing Account (FR)T: W P Mullins HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race17f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 28/1

13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Paul's Dream (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Conor Lannen Country Store (Ladies) Maiden16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 5/4F

01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Glens Sonata (IRE)T: W P Mullins Electric Galway Irish EBF Mares Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 4/1

29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Glowing Account (FR)T: W P Mullins Visit Tote26 On Course Today (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding · 18 ran 15th 25/1

27 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Too Bossy For Us (IRE)T: W P Mullins Connacht Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap17f · Yielding · 20 ran 6th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 3 Nov 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Miss J Townend's strike rate?: Miss J Townend has won 65 of 342 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 19% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss J Townend do best at?: Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 30 rides (30%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Miss J Townend ride most for?: W P Mullins, with 194 rides since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (24.2%).
Is Miss J Townend in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Miss J Townend's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 342 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.