Misleading Promise (IRE)
Misleading Promise (IRE) is 2 from 16. Hasn't won since Mar 2013.
- 2–16Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 5 (31.3%)Placed
- −5.75£1 level staken=16 at SP
- 0.79Fair A/E n=16 · 0.70 incl. margin
- 70Highest OR
- 11dBetween runs (median)longest 295 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since Apr 2008 (320 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 58 | 4 | 6.9% | −2.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 952 | 89 | 9.3% | −0.5 | — |
| Good | 1,094 | 109 | 10% | +0.2 | — |
| Good to Soft | 555 | 56 | 10.1% | +0.3 | — |
| Soft | 715 | 70 | 9.8% | 0 | — |
| Heavy | 245 | 20 | 8.2% | −1.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,249 | 129 | 10.3% | +0.5 | 2 from 16 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 290 | 31 | 10.7% | +0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,529 | 143 | 9.4% | −0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,041 | 106 | 10.2% | +0.4 | 2 from 8 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 944 | 87 | 9.2% | −0.6 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 671 | 61 | 9.1% | −0.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 297 | 34 | 11.4% | +1.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 90 | 15 | 16.7% | +6.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −9.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Return To Dubai (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m4½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Return To Dubai (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return To Dubai (IRE) | 8 | 2 | 1m2f–1m4½f | Class 3 |
| Pity Cash (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 5f | Class 6 |
| Decimal Day (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Thief Of Joy (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Jolty Jem (IRE) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Lost City (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Rogue Officer (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
| She's Our Spirit (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −8.75 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 2 | 67% | +7.25 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.25 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Keniry | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.25 |
| Adam Kirby | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Toby Atkinson | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Baker | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Tongue tie | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.25 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2013 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +3.25 |
| 2012 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 24 Jan 14+8d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes Classified Claiming Stakes | 3/7 | 5 | 8-9 | 67 | 74A | Tom Eaves | 7/1 |
| 16 Jan 14+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Mobile 'Just Three Clicks To Bet' Selling Stakes | 2/5 | 2¼ | 8-13 | 67 | 69B | Liam Keniry | 3/1 |
| 02 Jan 14+295d | Southwell (AW) | Download The Ladbrokes App Claiming Stakes | 6/6 | 21 | 9-3 | 70 | 48C | Liam Keniry | 14/1 |
| 2013 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 13 Mar 13+6d | Southwell (AW) | Horse Racing Free Bets With Bookmakers.co.uk Selling Stakes | 1/4 | 9-4 | 67 | 78B | Liam Keniry | 5/4F | |
| 07 Mar 13+9d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 32RedBet.com Claiming Stakes | 3/4 | 1 | 8-10 | 69 | 69B | Liam Keniry | 11/4 |
| 26 Feb 13+6d | Lingfield (AW) | Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Selling Stakes | 3/6 | hd | 9-4 | 69 | 69B | Adam Kirby | 5/4F |
| 20 Feb 13+14d | Lingfield (AW) | Bet On Your Tablet At Bluesq.com Claiming Stakes | 2/3 | 3¾ | 9-5 | 69 | 62C | Adam Kirby | 5/2 |
| 06 Feb 13+9d | Southwell (AW) | coral.co.uk Handicap | 1/5 | 8-11 | 65 | 81B | Liam Keniry | 7/1 | |
| 28 Jan 13+11d | Kempton (AW) | BetVictor Non Runner Free Bet At Cheltenham Handicap | 6/7 | 10 | 9-7 | 65 | 56C | George Baker | 10/1 |
| 17 Jan 13+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Free Sports Betting At Bookmakers.co.uk Handicap | 7/9 | 25 | 9-7 | 63 | 47C | Adam Kirby | 15/8F |
| 2012 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 29 Dec 12+16d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 32 Bonus At 32Red.com Nursery | 2/11 | nk | 8-13 | 57 | 80A | Adam Kirby | 5/1 |
| 13 Dec 12+80d | Kempton (AW) | 32RedPoker.com Nursery (Div 2) | 3/11 | 1½ | 9-3 | 56 | 63A | Adam Kirby | 5/1 |
| 24 Sep 12+7d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes | 11/14 | 5 | 8-12 | — | 37C | Toby Atkinson | 100/1 |
| 17 Sep 12+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 32Red Supporting British Racing Maiden Stakes | 7/8 | nk | 8-12 | — | 43A | Toby Atkinson | 66/1 |
| 06 Sep 12+7d | Kempton (AW) | 32RedBingo.com Claiming Stakes | 6/6 | ½ | 8-7 | — | 43B | Toby Atkinson | 33/1 |
| 30 Aug 12 | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes | 13/14 | 6 | 8-12 | — | 44C | Toby Atkinson | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Misleading Promise won?
- Misleading Promise (IRE) won 2 of 16 archived starts between 2012 and 2014, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 5 times in total (31.3% of starts).
- Who trained Misleading Promise?
- Misleading Promise (IRE) was trained by John Butler on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 24 January 2014.
- Who is Misleading Promise's sire?
- Misleading Promise (IRE) is by Refuse To Bend (IRE) out of Farthing (IRE), whose sire is Mujadil.
- What is Misleading Promise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 67, from the run on 24 January 2014. The highest on record is 70.
- What is Misleading Promise's sire's record?
- Refuse To Bend (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since Apr 2008 (320 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Misleading Promise's siblings?
- Out of Farthing (IRE), Misleading Promise (IRE) has 8 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Return To Dubai (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Return To Dubai (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m4½f. As at Nov 2026.