Liam Keniry
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 190 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (64 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.8% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.32), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.41). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −11.07 to a £1 stake over 150 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. J S Moore supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.9%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Totescoop6 Two-year-old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2008, £113,540). The standout partner of the record: West Leake (IRE) — 10 wins from 56 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 12,482 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 12,482 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 10 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Liam Keniry's strike rate?
- Liam Keniry has won 61 of 936 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Liam Keniry do best at?
- Bath by strike rate: 10 wins from 106 rides (9.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Liam Keniry ride most for?
- J S Moore, with 139 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (7.9%).
- What is Liam Keniry's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 933 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.