Horse profile
Natchez Trace (GB)
7yo gelding (at last run, Nov 2024) · Last trainer Declan Carroll · Last owner C H Stephenson And Partner
by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Passage Of Time (GB) (Dansili)
45 runs · 22 courses · from Jul 2020
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 26 Nov 2024 — 694 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Nov 2024
4 wins · Southwell (AW), Kempton (AW) & Carlisle
Last raced off OR 93
KTB Profile
Natchez Trace won four of 45 starts with all three all-weather wins at 1m2f – 1m4f on Standard going. He won a Class 5 handicap at Southwell in Jun 2023 off an official rating of 75, having earlier scored at Kempton and Carlisle. The gelding, who reached a highest ever mark of 98, last ran at Southwell in Nov 2024 off 93.
Based on 45 archived runs · run-style from 3 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 21 Oct 2026
- 4–45Wins / Runs
- 8.9%Strike rate
- 13 (28.9%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=45 at SP
- 1.17Fair A/E n=45 · 0.99 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 36dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating93↓ 5lb off peak
93
61–98
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 89
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 101B | 82 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 101B | 86 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 10 | 101A | 79 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 109A | 94 | — |
| Good | 8 | 98A | 77 | — |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 92C | 80 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 102A | 76 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 94A | 42.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 28 | 109A | 84.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 95A | 80 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 92C | 87.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 90A | 82 | — |
Of 45 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 43 figures from 45 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 3 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 2 (67%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Invincible Spirit (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 161 | 26 | 16.1% | +4.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,581 | 463 | 12.9% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 4,529 | 487 | 10.8% | −1.1 | 1 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 2,132 | 254 | 11.9% | 0 | 0 from 6 |
| Soft | 2,758 | 303 | 11% | −0.9 | 0 from 11 |
| Heavy | 790 | 76 | 9.6% | −2.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 6,866 | 866 | 12.6% | +0.7 | 3 from 10 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3,049 | 399 | 13.1% | +1.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 9,829 | 1,178 | 12% | +0.1 | 1 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,502 | 542 | 12% | +0.1 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,139 | 249 | 11.6% | −0.3 | 3 from 29 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 843 | 66 | 7.8% | −4.1 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 360 | 33 | 9.2% | −2.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 89 | 8 | 9% | −2.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +2.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Passage Of Time (GB) (Dansili)
9 siblings in the archive, 7 winners — best of them Tempus (GB) (9 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m; the highest grade won is Group 2 (Time Test (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tempus (GB) | 48 | 9 | 1m–1m½f | Group 3 |
| Time Test (GB) | 10 | 6 | 7f–1m2½f | Group 2 |
| Cosmic Year (GB) | 8 | 3 | 7f | Listed |
| Retirement Plan (GB) | 9 | 3 | 1m3f–2m | Class 2 |
| Time Chaser (GB) | 5 | 3 | 1m–1m2f | Class 3 |
| Formal Display (GB) | 7 | 2 | 7f–1m | — |
| Primeval (GB) | 4 | 2 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Modestus (GB) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Curved (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 1 | 8% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 3 | 30% | +17.00 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 16 | 1 | 6% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 15 | 3 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Class 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 4 | 2 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Nottingham | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Haydock | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Thirsk | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| Market Rasen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Redcar | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Catterick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Roscommon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 29 | 3 | 10% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Shaw | 21 | 3 | 14% | +7.50 |
| Zak Wheatley | 10 | 1 | 10% | −4.50 |
| Robert Dunne | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Harry Smith | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Oisin Orr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Robinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Sullivan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Slattery | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 27 | 2 | 7% | −14.50 |
| Tongue tie | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.50 |
| Blinkers | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 4 | 1 | 25% | +9.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.50 |
| 2022 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +9.50 |
| 2021 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −1.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 39 | 4 | 10% | −5.00 |
| Hurdle | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 24+12d | Southwell | Watch Unbridled On attheraces.com Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled just behind the pace - blundered 7th and soon under pressure - eased out of contention before 3 out | PU/8 | — | 10-13 | 93 | — | — | Robert Dunne | 50/1 |
| 14 Nov 24+27d | Market Rasen | Enjoy Your Christmas Party At The Races Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - urged forward before 2 out - found nothing under pressure - finished sixth | 6/9 | 1¾ | 12-0 | 96 | 78C | 93C | Robert Dunne | 66/1 |
| 18 Oct 24+80d | Redcar | Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Sat close to the front-runner early - up into 4th by halfway - urged on then dropped away 3f out - eventually well beaten | 11/14 | 1½ | 10-6 | 61 | 22C | 59C | Harry Smith | 28/1 |
| 30 Jul 24+8d | Beverley | Lady Jane Bethell Memorial Amateur Jockeys' Handicap | 10/13 | 7 | 10-7 | 63 | 68C | 50A | Harry Smith | 14/1 |
| 22 Jul 24+9d | Cartmel | Burlington Stone Handicap Hurdle | 6/8 | 12 | 11-8 | 98 | 112C | 91C | Robert Dunne | 25/1 |
| 13 Jul 24+25d | Chester | Soul Sunset Racing Apprentice Handicap | 7/8 | 3¼ | 9-9 | 63 | 75B | 61A | Zak Wheatley | 7/1 |
| 18 Jun 24+16d | Catterick | AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap | 2/9 | 2¼ | 10-11 | 63 | 89B | 83A | Harry Smith | 3/1 |
| 02 Jun 24+8d | Fakenham | Music In Country Churches Norfolk Concerts Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 3/12 | 2¼ | 11-4 | — | 86B | 112A | Robert Dunne | 7/1 |
| 25 May 24+4d | Haydock | Costello Florida Handicap | 4/9 | 2¼ | 8-9 | 65 | 57A | 67A | Zak Wheatley | 22/1 |
| 21 May 24+27d | Huntingdon | My Pension Expert Your Trusted Advisers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/11 | hd | 11-4 | — | 101B | 109A | Robert Dunne | 14/1 |
| 24 Apr 24+15d | Catterick | Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap | 6/10 | 1 | 9-6 | 67 | 101A | 71A | Zak Wheatley | 16/1 |
| 09 Apr 24+17d | Thirsk | Abate The Champ Handicap | 7/7 | 49 | 8-12 | 69 | -9C | 58C | Zak Wheatley | 33/1 |
| 23 Mar 24+171d | Doncaster | William Hill NRMB On The Grand National Apprentice Handicap (Div 1) | 9/12 | ½ | 10-1 | 71 | 50A | 73A | Zak Wheatley | 33/1 |
| 04 Oct 23+21d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap | 10/11 | 1 | 9-2 | 73 | 68C | 51C | Zak Wheatley | 22/1 |
| 13 Sep 23+13d | Southwell (AW) | William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Racing League Race 40 Handicap | 10/11 | 4 | 8-11 | 75 | 83A | 55A | Ben Robinson | 16/1 |
| 31 Aug 23+41d | Newcastle (AW) | William Hill Epic Boost Racing League Race 22 Handicap | 7/13 | nk | 9-3 | 76 | 94B | 78A | James Sullivan | 12/1 |
| 21 Jul 23+7d | Haydock | Birchwood Handicap | 7/7 | 13 | 9-1 | 77 | 92C | 60C | Harrison Shaw | 11/1 |
| 14 Jul 23+13d | York | William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Apprentice Handicap | 8/10 | ½ | 9-8 | 77 | 51A | 70A | Zak Wheatley | 10/1 |
| 01 Jul 23+18d | Chester | Ultimate Provence Handicap | 3/8 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 77 | 72B | 80A | Zak Wheatley | 7/1 |
| 13 Jun 23+27d | Southwell (AW) | Ten Grand Kids Handicap | 1/12 | 9-4 | 75 | 90A | 88A | Zak Wheatley | 9/2F | |
| 17 May 23+30d | York | Stuey Weston & Friends Getting Out Handicap | 14/18 | 4¼ | 9-0 | 76 | 69C | 60C | Harrison Shaw | 25/1 |
| 17 Apr 23+168d | Redcar | Watch Race Replays At Racingtv.Com Handicap | 5/13 | ¾ | 9-11 | 77 | 74C | 92A | Harrison Shaw | 11/1 |
| 31 Oct 22+33d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet London Middle Distance Series (Final) Handicap | 6/10 | ½ | 8-1 | 78 | 109A | 63A | Zak Wheatley | 16/1 |
| 28 Sep 22+7d | Nottingham | Fairfax Saddles Grassroots Series Middle Distance Final Handicap | 3/10 | 1 | 9-9 | 74 | 102A | 84A | Harrison Shaw | 3/1J |
| 21 Sep 22+13d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap | 1/13 | 9-10 | 74 | 98B | 92A | Harrison Shaw | 12/1 | |
| 08 Sep 22+14d | Southwell (AW) | William Hill Play Responsibly Racing League Race 29 (Handicap) | 2/10 | ¾ | 8-11 | 73 | — | 83A | Harrison Shaw | 11/2 |
| 25 Aug 22+11d | Newcastle (AW) | William Hill Extra Place Races Racing League Race Sixteen (Handicap) | 8/14 | hd | 8-12 | 67 | 102B | 74A | Harrison Shaw | 10/1 |
| 14 Aug 22+14d | Southwell (AW) | Coopers Marquees Handicap | 1/11 | 9-13 | 67 | 100A | 92A | Harrison Shaw | 15/2 | |
| 31 Jul 22+36d | Chester | White Horse Kids Eat Free Handicap | 7/11 | 1¼ | 9-5 | 69 | 68C | 65C | Harrison Shaw | 9/1 |
| 25 Jun 22+16d | Chester | Pimms Sundowner Handicap | 3/8 | 1¾ | 9-7 | 69 | 80A | 80A | Harrison Shaw | 7/1 |
| 09 Jun 22+21d | Haydock | King's Moss Handicap | 2/8 | 6 | 9-8 | 69 | 85A | 77A | Harrison Shaw | 8/1 |
| 19 May 22+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The At The Races App Handicap | 4/10 | 1¼ | 8-13 | 70 | 92A | 72A | Harrison Shaw | 13/2 |
| 30 Apr 22+25d | Thirsk | It'll Be Reyt! Fitzdares Handicap | 4/12 | 1½ | 10-1 | 71 | 76A | 87A | Harrison Shaw | 9/1 |
| 05 Apr 22+145d | Pontefract | Racing Again On Monday 11th April Handicap | 5/10 | 3 | 9-7 | 73 | 68A | 80A | Harrison Shaw | 25/1 |
| 11 Nov 21+36d | Market Rasen | Racing TV Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 9/13 | 15 | 11-4 | — | 78C | 89C | Robert Dunne | 28/1 |
| 06 Oct 21+7d | Nottingham | MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap | 7/11 | nk | 8-11 | 70 | 94A | 71A | Harrison Shaw | 7/1 |
| 29 Sep 21+43d | Nottingham | Jockey Club Grassroots Series Middle Distance Final Handicap | 2/10 | shd | 8-6 | 70 | 98A | 78A | Harrison Shaw | 40/1 |
| 17 Aug 21+16d | Carlisle | MansionBet Bestival Extra Places Handicap | 5/8 | 1¾ | 9-4 | 71 | 90A | 71A | Harrison Shaw | 11/2 |
| 01 Aug 21+24d | Thirsk | William Hill Summer Cup Handicap | 9/12 | nk | 8-6 | 71 | 95A | 67A | Harrison Shaw | 33/1 |
| 08 Jul 21+13d | Carlisle | Diff-Ability Showcasing 'Ability Over Disability' Maiden Handicap | 1/8 | 10-0 | 69 | 74A | 89A | Harrison Shaw | 6/1 | |
| 25 Jun 21+48d | Doncaster | Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap | 8/8 | 5½ | 9-11 | 72 | 61A | 52A | Harrison Shaw | 14/1 |
| 08 May 21+250d | Nottingham | Watch On Racing Tv Handicap | 5/12 | ½ | 9-5 | 73 | 84A | 78A | Harrison Shaw | 20/1 |
| 31 Aug 20+13d | Roscommon | roscommonracecourse.ie Apprentice Maiden | 6/11 | 5½ | 9-7 | — | 92A | 64A | Andrew Slattery | 12/1 |
| 18 Aug 20+39d | Roscommon | Eurona Brisknet Maiden | 3/10 | 5 | 9-7 | — | 94A | 71A | Oisin Orr | 9/2 |
| 10 Jul 20 | Curragh | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10) | 6/13 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 84C | 71A | Oisin Orr | 15/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Natchez Trace (GB) won?
- Natchez Trace (GB) won 4 of 45 archived starts between 2020 and 2024, a strike rate of 8.9%. Placed 13 times in total (28.9% of starts).
- Who trained Natchez Trace (GB)?
- Natchez Trace (GB) was trained by Declan Carroll on the most recent run on record, at Southwell on 26 November 2024.
- Who is Natchez Trace (GB)'s sire?
- Natchez Trace (GB) is by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Passage Of Time (GB), whose sire is Dansili.
- What going does Natchez Trace (GB) prefer?
- Natchez Trace (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Natchez Trace (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 93, from the run on 26 November 2024. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Natchez Trace (GB)'s sire's record?
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
- Who are Natchez Trace (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Passage Of Time (GB), Natchez Trace (GB) has 9 other produce in our archive, 7 of them winners. Most wins: Tempus (GB) (9). Highest grade won: Group 2 (Time Test (GB)). The wins came over 6f–2m. As at Oct 2026.