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Jockey profile

Harry Smith

40 rides in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 141 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–40
Wins / Runs
12.5%
Strike rate
n=40
13 (33%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=40 · 0.88 incl. margin
−8.75
£1 level stake
n=40 at SP · −21.9%
£34,004
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−6.2
n=16 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −1.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+7.5
n=5 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −2.38
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.3%+1.8
n=7 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +8.00
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +3.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.5%+0.0
n=40 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −8.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−12.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 13 3 23.1% +7.87
Good 11 2 18.2% −0.62
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 10 3 30% +10.87
Thirsk 4 1 25% −1.62
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Newcastle (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Pontefract 2 0 0% −2.00
Redcar 2 0 0% −2.00
Beverley 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00
Salisbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 1 100% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 20 3 15% −11.75
Class 5 16 2 12.5% +7.00
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 3 50% 1.67 +2.25
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.46 +8.00
7th+ in betting 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fortunate Star (IRE) 11 2 6 7 Oct 25
Irish Dancer (IRE) 10 2 4 5 Jun 26
Thankuappreciate (GB) 3 0 1 18 Nov 25
Natchez Trace (GB) 3 0 1 18 Oct 24
Avatar Jet (IRE) 2 0 0 3 Jun 26
Davorge Nation (IRE) 1 0 0 8 Jun 26
Solid Bond (IRE) 1 0 0 5 Jun 26
Fuji Mountain (IRE) 1 0 0 22 May 26
Rwenearlytheredad (GB) 1 0 0 20 May 26
Forever My Prince (GB) 1 0 0 14 May 26
Everydaysasaturday (IRE) 1 0 0 7 May 26
Alessia Fernanda (IRE) 1 1 1 29 Apr 26
All 16 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0·0250050170033·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDeclan Carroll
93% of all rides
13.5% SR · A/E 1.06
TrainerRWSR£1
Declan Carroll 37 5 13.5% −5.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
5
Archived wins
£34,004
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Irish Dancer (IRE) — Prestige Safety 'Your Trusted Safety Partner' Handicap Southwell (AW) · Aug 2025 · Class 6
£4,711
Fortunate Star (IRE) — Yale Smart Stride Apprentice Training Series Handicap Haydock · Jul 2025 · Class 5
£4,449
Alessia Fernanda (IRE) — Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Southwell (AW) · Apr 2026 · Class 5
£3,978
Notable horses
Fortunate Star (IRE) Irish Dancer (IRE) Alessia Fernanda (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Unfortunately (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 9.4% of 660 runs since 2008 (46 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.6% from 236.
Galileo Gold (GB) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,029 runs since 2008 (174 horses).
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,835 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.
Belardo (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,713 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,234 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 40 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Harry Smith's 40 archived rides, from 18 June 2024 to 8 June 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jun 26 Leicester Davorge Nation (IRE)T: Declan Carroll DSK Environmental HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 7/1
05 Jun 26 Thirsk Solid Bond (IRE)T: Declan Carroll David Ritchie Is 50! Happy Birthday! Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 11/1
05 Jun 26 Thirsk Irish Dancer (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Power Plastics 'Big Day Out' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 17/2
03 Jun 26 Ripon Avatar Jet (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Bishopton Equine HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 4th 11/1
22 May 26 Pontefract Fuji Mountain (IRE)T: Declan Carroll FBS Chartered Accountants HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 12/1
20 May 26 Ayr Rwenearlytheredad (GB)T: Declan Carroll Birra Poretti Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 5/1
14 May 26 Salisbury Forever My Prince (GB)T: Michael Blake Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 13/2
07 May 26 Southwell (AW) Everydaysasaturday (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Free Tips On attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1
29 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Likeadyinwasp (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 66/1
29 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Alessia Fernanda (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 14/1
25 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Irish Dancer (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse 'Confined' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 4/1
15 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Irish Dancer (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Country & Western Night 25th April HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 11/4J
28 Mar 26 Doncaster Avatar Jet (IRE)T: Declan Carroll William Hill NRMB On The Grand National Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 12/1
18 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Thankuappreciate (GB)T: Declan Carroll Join The Midnite Movement HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 15/2
08 Nov 25 Doncaster Zowal (FR)T: John & Sean Quinn Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Heavy · 21 ran 17th 40/1
27 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Thankuappreciate (GB)T: Declan Carroll Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 3rd 11/1
07 Oct 25 Southwell (AW) Fortunate Star (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 5/1
29 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Thankuappreciate (GB)T: Declan Carroll Join Us For Glitzmas In December HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 9/2
27 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Irish Dancer (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Free Race Replays On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 4/1
25 Sep 25 Pontefract Fortunate Star (IRE)T: Declan Carroll Happy Birthday Keith Chesters Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Smith's strike rate?
Harry Smith has won 5 of 40 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Harry Smith's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).