Niarbyl Bay (GB)
Niarbyl Bay won once from 11 starts, the success coming in a Class 5 handicap at Wolverhampton over 1m2f – 1m4f on Standard going in Nov 2023. All wins at Class 5. The gelding, by Nayef out of a Dansili mare, has never won on turf where he is 0 from 6. He finished 6 of 6 when leading at Newmarket in Aug 2024.
- 1–11Wins / Runs
- 9.1%Strike rate
- 3 (27.3%)Placed
- −3.50£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.18Fair A/E n=11 · 0.97 incl. margin
- 70Highest OR
- 43dBetween runs (median)longest 204 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 97B | 85 | — |
| Good | 3 | 118C | 81 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 109C | 81 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 9 | 118C | 81 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 85A | 72.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10% of 5,636 runs since Jan 2008 (518 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 66 | 12 | 18.2% | +8.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 910 | 102 | 11.2% | +1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,403 | 123 | 8.8% | −1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 693 | 67 | 9.7% | −0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 879 | 90 | 10.2% | +0.2 | — |
| Heavy | 308 | 30 | 9.7% | −0.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,377 | 141 | 10.2% | +0.2 | 1 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 84 | 9 | 10.7% | +0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 735 | 74 | 10.1% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,164 | 126 | 10.8% | +0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,812 | 207 | 11.4% | +1.4 | 1 from 9 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,021 | 78 | 7.6% | −2.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 579 | 58 | 10% | 0 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 216 | 13 | 6% | −4 | — |
| Over 3m | 25 | 0 | 0% | −10 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Sceptred Isle (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m1½f–2m3f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Maiden Castle (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sceptred Isle (GB) | 36 | 3 | 1m4½f–2m3f | — |
| Maiden Castle (GB) | 12 | 2 | 1m1½f–1m2f | Class 4 |
| Mind (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | +2.50 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −0.50 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 9 | 1 | 11% | −1.50 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Whelan | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| Dane O'Neill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Laura Coughlan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Keeley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Aug 24+30d | Newmarket | Patrick B Doyle (Construction) Ltd Handicap Set the pace early - driven to hold advantage until overtaken 4f out - dropped away rapidly soon after and trailed home last of the group | 6/6 | 17 | 9-9 | 68 | 1C | 59C | Trevor Whelan | 12/1 |
| 11 Jul 24+204d | Newbury | Win Races With Jonny Portman Handicap | 7/9 | ¾ | 9-13 | 70 | 53C | 62C | Trevor Whelan | 16/1 |
| 2023 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 23+32d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap | 5/13 | ¾ | 9-4 | 70 | 97B | 79A | Laura Coughlan | 11/2 |
| 18 Nov 23+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap | 1/12 | 9-7 | 68 | 88A | 81A | Trevor Whelan | 13/2 | |
| 08 Nov 23+105d | Kempton (AW) | racingtv.com Handicap | 5/13 | ¾ | 9-8 | 69 | 70B | 75A | Trevor Whelan | 5/1 |
| 26 Jul 23+25d | Sandown | Racing Welfare Apprentice Handicap | 2/14 | hd | 9-10 | 66 | 118C | 87A | Aidan Keeley | 7/1 |
| 01 Jul 23+61d | Newmarket | Discover Newmarket Handicap | 9/9 | hd | 9-10 | 68 | 81A | 60A | Trevor Whelan | 10/1 |
| 01 May 23+175d | Bath | Best Cleaning Group Handicap | 4/14 | 2 | 9-8 | 69 | 109C | 79A | Dane O'Neill | 8/1 |
| 2022 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Nov 22+43d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Top Odds Every Day With BetUK Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/11 | hd | 9-3 | — | 85A | 78A | Trevor Whelan | 10/1 |
| 25 Sep 22+53d | Epsom Downs | Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/7 | nk | 9-4 | — | 68A | 74A | Dane O'Neill | 80/1 |
| 03 Aug 22 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 10/14 | 1¼ | 9-4 | — | 60C | 53C | Kieran Shoemark | 150/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Niarbyl Bay won?
- Niarbyl Bay (GB) won 1 of 11 archived starts between 2022 and 2024, a strike rate of 9.1%. Placed 3 times in total (27.3% of starts).
- Who trained Niarbyl Bay?
- Niarbyl Bay (GB) was trained by Henry Candy on the most recent run on record, at Newmarket on 10 August 2024.
- Who is Niarbyl Bay's sire?
- Niarbyl Bay (GB) is by Nayef (USA) out of Danae (GB), whose sire is Dansili.
- What going does Niarbyl Bay prefer?
- Niarbyl Bay (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Niarbyl Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 68, from the run on 10 August 2024. The highest on record is 70.
- What is Niarbyl Bay's sire's record?
- Nayef (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 10% of 5,636 runs since Jan 2008 (518 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.
- Who are Niarbyl Bay's siblings?
- Out of Danae (GB), Niarbyl Bay (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Sceptred Isle (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Maiden Castle (GB)). The wins came over 1m1½f–2m3f. As at Nov 2026.