Henry Candy
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (37 runs).
The record is strongest at Salisbury (16.2%, n=37) and Wolverhampton (AW) (15.1%, n=53) — all clear of the yard's 9.6% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (4.1% over 73 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 16.2% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.66), but debutants struggle at 5.5% (n=55, Fair A/E 1.76). Trevor Whelan rides 34% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7% vs 9.6%, A/E 0.79). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (17%, n=47) and at trips under 6f (15.7%, n=89). 53 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2016, £340,260). The stable star of the record: Limato (IRE) — 14 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,021 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,021 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2005 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Henry Candy's strike rate?
- Henry Candy has won 52 of 543 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Henry Candy do best at?
- Salisbury by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 runners (16.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Henry Candy?
- Trevor Whelan, with 185 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7%).
- Is Henry Candy in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Henry Candy's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 542 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.