Trevor Whelan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 340 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (147 rides).
The record is strongest at Leicester (17%, n=47), clear of the rider's 8.5% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (2.5% over 244 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=147, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=153, Fair A/E 0.86). Henry Candy supplies 11% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 0.79). 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Coral Hurdle at Ascot (Nov 2017, £56,950). The standout partner of the record: Zeroeshadesofgrey (IRE) — 7 wins from 26 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–May.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,301 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,301 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2007 to 7 September 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Trevor Whelan's strike rate?
- Trevor Whelan has won 144 of 1,688 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Trevor Whelan do best at?
- Leicester by strike rate: 8 wins from 47 rides (17%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Trevor Whelan ride most for?
- Henry Candy, with 185 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7%).
- What is Trevor Whelan's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 1,677 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.