How many races has Nil Bua Gan Dua won?

Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).

Who trains Nil Bua Gan Dua?

Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 July 2026.

Who is Nil Bua Gan Dua's sire?

Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) is by American Pharoah (USA) out of Bellize (USA), whose sire is Noble Mission.

What going does Nil Bua Gan Dua prefer?

Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.

What is Nil Bua Gan Dua's official rating?

The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 25 July 2026. The highest on record is 101.

What is Nil Bua Gan Dua's sire's record?

American Pharoah (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 587 runs since Apr 2019 (90 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 9% from 100.

Horse profile

Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA)

3yo colt · Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Owner A K Whelan Reeves Thoroughbred Racing

by American Pharoah (USA) out of Bellize (USA) (Noble Mission)

8 runs · 7 courses · from Aug 2025

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily

Won last time out 2 wins · Gowran Park (IRE) & Roscommon First-time headgear LTO Last run 25 Jul 2026 · 1st of 7 Last raced off OR 98

KTB Profile

Nil Bua Gan Dua is 2 from 8 on turf with both wins over 1m2f – 1m4f on good going. His biggest success came in the John Fleming Irish EBF Marble City Stakes, a Listed race at Gowran Park in Jul 2026, where he led to win by a first-time headgear. He had earlier taken a median auction race at Roscommon in May 2026 off an official rating of 100. The colt by American Pharoah out of a Noble Mission mare last ran off an official rating of 98.

Based on 8 archived runs · run-style from 8 commented runs since Aug 2025 · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Wins on good or faster

2–8Wins / Runs
25%Strike rate
4 (50%)Placed
+0.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
1.76Fair A/E n=8 · 1.54 incl. margin
101Highest OR
21dBetween runs (median)longest 188 d

Official rating98↓ 3lb off peak

98 97–101

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 121 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Gowran Park (IRE), 25 Jul 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 8 figures · best 121^A · median 81

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 8 Nov 2025
Good	3	121^A	83	2 runs · 121 / 102
Good to Firm	2	98^C	88.5	2 runs · 98 / 88.5
Good to Soft	2	60^A	60	1 run · —
Soft	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 8 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f	3	121^A	83	3 runs · 121 / 83
1m – 1m1f	3	106^A	60	1 run · —
1m5f – 2m	1	—	—	1 run · —
6f – 7f	1	—	—	—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 99^A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Ascot, 20 Jun 2026 Official rating 98 at the last run, 25 Jul 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 8 figures · best 99^A · median 87.5

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 8 Nov 2025
Good	3	93^B	88	2 runs · 93 / 89.5
Good to Firm	2	99^A	92	2 runs · 99 / 92
Good to Soft	2	90^B	86	1 run · —
Soft	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 8 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f	3	99^A	93	3 runs · 99 / 93
1m – 1m1f	3	90^B	87	1 run · —
1m5f – 2m	1	—	—	1 run · —
6f – 7f	1	—	—	—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 8 analysed runs since Aug 2025

Led 3 (38%) · 2 wins
Mid-division 2 (25%) · 0 wins
Held up 2 (25%) · 0 wins
Prominent 1 (13%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

American Pharoah (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 587 runs since Apr 2019 (90 horses).

Weakest on soft going: 9% from 100.

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Firm	1	0	0%	−13.1	—
Good to Firm	55	13	23.6%	+10.5	0 from 2
Good	158	24	15.2%	+2.1	2 from 3
Good to Soft	60	8	13.3%	+0.2	0 from 2
Soft	100	9	9%	−4.1	0 from 1
Heavy	48	7	14.6%	+1.5	—
Standard (AW)	165	16	9.7%	−3.4	—

Distance (all codes)	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Under 6f	10	3	30%	+16.9	—
6f – 7f	116	13	11.2%	−1.9	0 from 1
1m – 1m1f	226	32	14.2%	+1.1	0 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f	198	24	12.1%	−1	2 from 3
1m5f – 2m	29	5	17.2%	+4.1	0 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f	7	0	0%	−13.1	—
2m5f – 3m	1	0	0%	−13.1	—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

Bellize (USA) (Noble Mission)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Good	3	2	67%	+5.00
Good to Firm	2	0	0%	−2.00
Good to Soft	2	0	0%	−2.00
Soft	1	0	0%	−1.00

Class	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Class 1	2	1	50%	+4.00
Class 2	1	0	0%	−1.00

Course	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Leopardstown	2	0	0%	−2.00
Gowran Park (IRE)	1	1	100%	+5.00
Newmarket	1	0	0%	−1.00
Ascot	1	0	0%	−1.00
Roscommon	1	1	100%	+1.00
Cork	1	0	0%	−1.00
Curragh	1	0	0%	−1.00

Distance	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
1m2f – 1m4f	3	2	67%	+5.00
1m – 1m1f	3	0	0%	−3.00
1m5f – 2m	1	0	0%	−1.00
6f – 7f	1	0	0%	−1.00

Jockey	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Dylan Browne McMonagle	4	2	50%	+4.00
Declan McDonogh	2	0	0%	−2.00
Ryan Moore	1	0	0%	−1.00
J M Sheridan	1	0	0%	−1.00

Headgear	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
None	7	1	14%	−5.00
Cheekpieces	1	1	100%	+5.00

Season	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
2026	5	2	40%	+3.00
2025	3	0	0%	−3.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

Date	Course	Race	Pos	Btn	Wgt	OR	Spd	KTB	Jockey	SP
2026 · 5 runs
25 Jul 26+16d	Gowran Park (IRE)	John Fleming Irish EBF Marble City Stakes (Listed) Class 1 · 1m4f · Good · 7 ran In front from the start - given a squeeze and opened a gap 2f out - soon asked for effort - challenged hard inside the final furlong - found more to hold on near the line despite being fully extended	1/7		9-5	98	121^A	93^B	Dylan Browne McMonagle	5/1
09 Jul 26+19d	Newmarket	Bahrain Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Class 1 · 1m5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran Went to the front early - asked for effort after being overtaken with 2f left - lost the trail in the final furlong and faded inside the final 110yds	4/5	2½	9-3	98	98^C	85^B	Ryan Moore	8/1
20 Jun 26+40d	Ascot	Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap) Class 2 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 16 ran Settled in the pack early - pushed along to close in with 2f left and joined leading group with a furlong to run - held on for fourth without further gain	4/16	1	9-3	97	79^C	99^A	Dylan Browne McMonagle	22/1
11 May 26+17d	Roscommon	Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Race (Smullen Series) 1m2½f · Good · 5 ran Set the pace from the off - roused with two furlongs remaining - driven out and finished strongly from inside the final furlong to score	1/5		9-5	100	83^C	86^B	Dylan Browne McMonagle	EvensF
24 Apr 26+188d	Cork	Welcome To Cork Racecourse Mallow Maiden 1m · Good To Yielding · 8 ran Sat close up early - disputed second at halfway before slipping to fourth and pushed along with 2f left - stayed on steadily to finish third	3/8	3¼	9-8	101	60^A	82^A	J M Sheridan	9/4
2025 · 3 runs
18 Oct 25+35d	Leopardstown	Mongey Communications Eyrefield Stakes (Group 3) 1m1f · Yielding · 8 ran Held up towards the back - still 7th at halfway and unable to make ground into the straight - improved to 5th and stayed on steadily late to finish 5th	5/8	3½	9-5	—	106^A	87^A	Declan McDonogh	20/1
13 Sep 25+21d	Leopardstown	KPMG Champions Juvenile Stakes (Group 2) 1m · Good To Yielding · 4 ran Settled at the back - asked for effort 2f out and stayed on steadily - grabbed 3rd close home	3/4	½	9-5	—	60^C	90^B	Declan McDonogh	40/1
23 Aug 25	Curragh	Coolmore Stud Little Big Bear Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden 7f · Good · 14 ran Settled with the pack early - 4th around 3f out - moved into 3rd 2f out and looked poised approaching the furlong marker - stayed on but couldn't land a blow - eased back to finish 4th	4/14	hd	9-7	—	73^C	88^A	Dylan Browne McMonagle	9/1

Quick answers

How many races has Nil Bua Gan Dua won?: Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
Who trains Nil Bua Gan Dua?: Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 July 2026.
Who is Nil Bua Gan Dua's sire?: Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) is by American Pharoah (USA) out of Bellize (USA), whose sire is Noble Mission.
What going does Nil Bua Gan Dua prefer?: Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Nil Bua Gan Dua's official rating?: The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 25 July 2026. The highest on record is 101.
What is Nil Bua Gan Dua's sire's record?: American Pharoah (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 587 runs since Apr 2019 (90 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 9% from 100.

KTB Speed and Rating

Run style from 8 analysed runs since Aug 2025

Pedigree intelligence

Record by conditions

▾Going

▾Class 3 of 8 runs

▾Course

▾Distance

▾Jockey

▾Headgear

▾Season

Form

Quick answers