Horse profile
Not Sure (IRE)
by Presenting (GB) out of Pink Mist (IRE) (Montelimar)
27 runs · 16 courses · from Nov 2020
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Wetherby, Uttoxeter & Hereford
Off 237 days · 3rd of 7
Last raced off OR 107
KTB Profile
Not Sure is a 3 from 27 gelding with all three wins on soft ground in handicap chases between 2m1f and 3m. He won at Hereford, Uttoxeter and Wetherby between Jan 2023 and Nov 2023 off marks of 99, 107 and 110. The Presenting gelding last ran at Hereford in Feb 2026, finishing 3 of 7 off an official rating of 107, which was 9lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 27 archived runs · run-style from 3 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 9lb off peak
- 3–27Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 13 (48.1%)Placed
- −6.17£1 level staken=27 at SP
- 0.81Fair A/E n=27 · 0.71 incl. margin
- 116Highest OR
- 74dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating107↓ 9lb off peak
107
99–116
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 95
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 111B | 80 | 2 · 95 / 92 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 122A | 95.5 | — |
| Good | 5 | 119B | 114 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 59C | 54.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 122A | 93.5 | 1 · — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 119B | 88.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 95A | 80 | 1 · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 118A | 59 | — |
Of 27 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 21 figures from 27 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 3 analysed runs
- Led 2 (67%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Presenting (GB)
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 20,049 runs since Jan 2008 (1,686 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 24.3% from 136.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 62 | 13 | 21% | +10 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,240 | 171 | 13.8% | +2.8 | — |
| Good | 7,022 | 840 | 12% | +1 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 3,503 | 321 | 9.2% | −1.8 | 0 from 7 |
| Soft | 5,327 | 545 | 10.2% | −0.8 | 3 from 11 |
| Heavy | 2,759 | 274 | 9.9% | −1.1 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 136 | 33 | 24.3% | +13.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4,727 | 517 | 10.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6,696 | 722 | 10.8% | −0.2 | 1 from 7 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6,537 | 742 | 11.4% | +0.4 | 2 from 12 |
| Over 3m | 2,018 | 210 | 10.4% | −0.6 | 0 from 5 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Pink Mist (IRE) (Montelimar)
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Ballycasey (IRE) (11 wins).
The wins came over 2m1f–3m1f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Ballycasey (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballycasey (IRE) | 43 | 11 | 2m1f–2m6f | Grade 1 |
| Delta Blues Belle (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 3m1f | Class 5 |
| Some Joy (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Quasi (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 11 | 3 | 27% | +9.83 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 16 | 2 | 13% | −3.17 |
| Class 3 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.33 |
| Chepstow | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ffos Las | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wetherby | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.50 |
| Exeter | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 2 | 17% | +4.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.67 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Patrick | 18 | 2 | 11% | −1.50 |
| Conor O'Farrell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Liam Harrison | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Daire McConville | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Adam Wedge | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Jamie Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 13 | 1 | 8% | −4.50 |
| None | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Blinkers | 5 | 2 | 40% | +7.33 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +13.83 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 18 | 3 | 17% | +2.83 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 26+9d | Hereford | DragonBet The Roar Before Cheltenham Awaits Veterans' Handicap Chase Sent to front early but under pressure - lost advantage before 3 out - urged before 2 out and stayed on same rhythm to finish third | 3/7 | 3½ | 11-1 | 107 | 95A | 114B | Conor O'Farrell | 4/1 |
| 13 Feb 26+36d | Chepstow | Fairplay Lets Bet On It! Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Up with the pace in second - took up the running 3rd - surrendered the front 11th - nudged forward before 14th - back in command 4 out - under pressure approaching 3 out - drifted right and clipped rival 2 out - overhauled at the last - challenged hard on the run-in before the effort petered out | 2/11 | 1¾ | 11-4 | 105 | 89B | 122A | Conor O'Farrell | 12/1 |
| 08 Jan 26+243d | Ffos Las | DragonBet BOG On All British Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set off near the front - eased back into the pack by the 5th - slipped to the back by the 11th - pushed for effort before 4 out - beaten with no hope 3 out and pulled up before 2 out | PU/8 | — | 10-8 | 107 | — | — | Conor O'Farrell | 12/1 |
| 10 May 25+82d | Hexham | Paxtons Now Stocking Stihl Equipment Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace early - pressed with a furlong left and lost command - unable to find more late finishing second | 2/7 | 8 | 11-13 | 107 | 64B | 124B | Liam Harrison | 9/1 |
| 17 Feb 25+29d | Carlisle | Book Your Raceday Hospitality Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace early through the 6th - regained front at the 8th before yielding it briefly then back in command from the 10th to the 14th - unable to challenge again once overtaken late - stayed on for second beaten 4.5 lengths | 2/7 | 4½ | 10-5 | 107 | 122A | 117A | Liam Harrison | 10/1 |
| 19 Jan 25+29d | Windsor | Fitzdares Windsor Stayers Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled around midpack early - needed encouragement after the 3rd and missed out a fence 4 out - unable to build a challenge - dropped away 2 out to finish well beaten in 8th | 8/11 | 35 | 10-13 | 110 | — | 91C | Richard Patrick | 15/2 |
| 21 Dec 24+259d | Hereford | DragonBet In Partnership With Dave's Coaches Handicap Chase Held slight advantage early - lost the front at the 8th and stayed in touch - urged forward after 4 out then slipped back steadily - finished well beaten in 5th | 5/7 | 2½ | 11-8 | 113 | 84C | 105C | Richard Patrick | 9/2 |
| 06 Apr 24+76d | Uttoxeter | Brian Cooke Retirement Celebration Handicap Chase | 2/3 | 71 | 12-0 | 115 | — | 111C | Richard Patrick | 11/10F |
| 21 Jan 24+25d | Lingfield | Fitzdares Surrey National Handicap Chase | 3/12 | 3¼ | 10-12 | 116 | 76A | 114B | Richard Patrick | 11/2 |
| 27 Dec 23+19d | Chepstow | Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Run In Memory Of Kim Gingell) (GBB Race) | 4/19 | 11 | 10-2 | 115 | 50C | 106C | Richard Patrick | 28/1 |
| 08 Dec 23+34d | Sandown | Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase | 3/10 | 1¾ | 11-0 | 116 | 111B | 119A | Richard Patrick | 17/2 |
| 04 Nov 23+212d | Wetherby | bet365 Handicap Chase | 1/9 | 11-9 | 110 | — | 126A | Richard Patrick | 15/2 | |
| 06 Apr 23+19d | Wetherby | racingtv.com Handicap Chase | 3/15 | 4½ | 11-9 | 110 | 57B | 122A | Richard Patrick | 7/1 |
| 18 Mar 23+49d | Uttoxeter | Award-Winning White Lion Weston Restaurant Handicap Chase | 1/9 | 11-6 | 107 | 58A | 119B | Adam Wedge | 10/3 | |
| 28 Jan 23+24d | Uttoxeter | Paul Wainwright Superams 60th Birthday Celebrations Handicap Chase | 3/12 | 15 | 11-3 | 107 | 101A | 113A | Richard Patrick | 11/2 |
| 04 Jan 23+45d | Hereford | Black Mountain Botanicals Handicap Chase | 1/13 | 11-13 | 99 | — | 135A | Richard Patrick | 7/1 | |
| 20 Nov 22+20d | Uttoxeter | Mike Platt Double Carpet Memorial Handicap Chase | 4/12 | 14 | 11-11 | 102 | 84B | 99B | Richard Patrick | 15/2 |
| 31 Oct 22+177d | Hereford | Central Roofing Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 4/6 | 7½ | 10-13 | 105 | 84A | 101B | Richard Patrick | 6/1 |
| 07 May 22+28d | Warwick | John Temple Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 4/7 | 3¼ | 11-3 | 106 | 114A | 105B | Jamie Moore | 3/1F |
| 09 Apr 22+81d | Bangor-on-Dee | JCL Insurance Handicap Hurdle | 2/14 | ¾ | 11-9 | 102 | 119B | 129A | Richard Patrick | 14/1 |
| 18 Jan 22+34d | Exeter | Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle | PU/16 | — | 11-3 | 106 | — | — | Richard Patrick | 20/1 |
| 15 Dec 21+46d | Leicester | Racing Excellence Training Series Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 3/4 | 12 | 11-3 | 109 | 53C | 101B | Daire McConville | 11/10F |
| 30 Oct 21+212d | Ascot | Ascot Racecourse Supports Safer Gambling Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 8/8 | 7 | 10-10 | 112 | 71B | 100A | Daire McConville | 4/1J |
| 01 Apr 21+23d | Ffos Las | Milford Waterfront Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 4/8 | 13 | 11-4 | — | 98A | 106A | Richard Patrick | 11/4 |
| 09 Mar 21+94d | Exeter | Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/15 | 3 | 11-2 | — | 93B | 110A | Richard Patrick | 11/1 |
| 05 Dec 20+23d | Chepstow | Coral 'Fail To Finish' Free Bet Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 2/5 | ½ | 11-0 | — | 59C | 119B | Richard Patrick | 6/1 |
| 12 Nov 20 | Ludlow | Ludlow BCD 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 5/10 | nk | 11-6 | — | 118A | 116A | Richard Patrick | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Not Sure (IRE) won?
- Not Sure (IRE) won 3 of 27 archived starts between 2020 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 13 times in total (48.1% of starts).
- Who trains Not Sure (IRE)?
- Not Sure (IRE) is trained by Kerry Lee, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 22 February 2026.
- Who is Not Sure (IRE)'s sire?
- Not Sure (IRE) is by Presenting (GB) out of Pink Mist (IRE), whose sire is Montelimar.
- What going does Not Sure (IRE) prefer?
- Not Sure (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 11 starts (27.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Not Sure (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 107, from the run on 22 February 2026. The highest on record is 116.
- What is Not Sure (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Presenting (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 20,049 runs since Jan 2008 (1,686 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 24.3% from 136.
- Who are Not Sure (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Pink Mist (IRE), Not Sure (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Ballycasey (IRE) (11). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Ballycasey (IRE)). The wins came over 2m1f–3m1f. As at Oct 2026.