What is Kerry Lee's strike rate?

Kerry Lee has won 68 of 425 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kerry Lee do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 62 runners (24.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kerry Lee?

Richard Patrick, with 186 runners since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (17.2%).

What is Kerry Lee's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 423 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kerry Lee

425 runners in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 15 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

68–425

Wins / Runs

16%

Strike rate

n=425

150 (35%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=423 · 0.96 incl. margin

−49.26

£1 level stake

n=425 at SP · −11.6%

£1.08m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 425 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 39.3% when favourite Richard Patrick: 17.2% from 186 Sends off the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hereford (24.2%, n=62), clear of the yard's 16% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 8.6% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.63). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 9.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −56.90 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Patrick rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (17.2%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (25.6%, n=90). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 3.3% over 30 runners, 12.7pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2019, £90,032). The stable star of the record: Happy Diva (IRE) — 7 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.6%−6.4

n=125 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −56.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.8%−0.2

n=19 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +6.20

Debutants · first career start

37.5%+21.5

n=8 · A/E 2.71 · £1 +14.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.4%−0.6

n=13 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −5.30

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

25%+9.0

n=12 · A/E 2.92 · £1 +8.50

When favourite

39.3%

n=61 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +6.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.6%−7.4

n=35 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −7.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+9.0

n=12 · A/E 2.09 · £1 −1.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 29% vs 16% · n=62

In Class 5 25.6% vs 16% · n=90

Beyond 3m 3.3% vs 16% · n=30

With Liam Harrison 5.7% vs 16% · n=53

At Hereford 24.2% vs 16% · n=62

With Conor O'Farrell 7.1% vs 16% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 226 34 15% −81.61

Hurdle 188 32 17% +31.47

Flat 8 1 12.5% −5.12

NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 147 30 20.4% +14.58

Good 129 17 13.2% −50.48

Good to Soft 100 13 13% −2.79

Heavy 41 7 17.1% −5.45

Standard (AW) 5 1 20% −2.12

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 62 15 24.2% +8.82

Uttoxeter 52 7 13.5% +11.08

Chepstow 42 6 14.3% −19.40

Ffos Las 38 7 18.4% +23.50

Ludlow 22 4 18.2% −5.30

Bangor-on-Dee 19 2 10.5% −7.80

Cheltenham 15 2 13.3% −6.17

Stratford 14 1 7.1% −12.09

Wetherby 14 3 21.4% +4.50

Worcester 12 0 0% −12.00

Exeter 12 1 8.3% −7.40

Newbury 11 2 18.2% +3.50

Warwick 11 2 18.2% −3.30

Leicester 9 4 44.4% +5.19

Wincanton 8 3 37.5% +4.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 176 23 13.1% −63.25

Class 3 103 12 11.7% −13.99

Class 5 90 23 25.6% +39.28

Class 2 33 6 18.2% −9.50

Class 1 23 4 17.4% −1.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 76 29 38.2% 1.27 +10.08

2nd–3rd fav 127 25 19.7% 1.11 −8.34

4th–6th fav 147 12 8.2% 0.92 −20.00

7th+ in betting 75 2 2.7% 0.68 −31.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.1% completed · 414 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 226 80.5% 6 4 33 0 1

Hurdle 188 86.2% 3 3 20 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ballybegg (IRE)from Warren Greatrex 24 2 4 25 Jul 25

Atlanta Brave (IRE) 21 2 5 16 Jul 26

Not Sure (IRE) 21 3 12 22 Feb 26

Greenrock Abbey (IRE)from Alan King · then James Owen 21 2 7 17 May 25

Eaton Collina (IRE) 21 5 10 19 Apr 25

Nemean Lion (GER)from A Fabre 19 7 11 24 Jan 26

New Found Fame (IRE) 19 3 6 5 Jun 25

Magic Dancer (GB)from Charlie Longsdon 17 2 5 24 Oct 24

Black Hawk Eagle (IRE)from Noel Meade 16 3 6 16 May 26

Hellfire Princess (GB) 16 4 5 16 Mar 26

Fay Ce Que Voudras (IRE) 16 4 6 6 Mar 26

Pimlico Point (IRE) 15 2 6 25 Feb 26

All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gavin Cromwell (2) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

212620101312902971014

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRichard Patrick

44% of all rides
17.2% SR · A/E 1.15

RiderRWSR£1

Richard Patrick 186 32 17.2% −25.09

Liam Harrison 53 3 5.7% −37.30

Conor O'Farrell 42 3 7.1% −13.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

183

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.96m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 29 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Happy Diva (IRE) — BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£90,032

Mountainous (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Chepstow · Jan 2016 · Grade 3

£68,340

Kylemore Lough (GB) — Ryanair Gold Cup Novice Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Mar 2016 · Grade 1

£59,000

Notable horses

Happy Diva (IRE) Nemean Lion (GER) Magic Dancer (GB) Town Parks (IRE) Destined To Shine (IRE) Do It For Thy Sen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,837 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Golden Horn (GB) 44.4% · 12–27

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,734 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Getaway (GER) 20% · 5–25

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Flemensfirth (USA) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Aizavoski (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 12.8% of 742 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 141.

El Salvador (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 13.4% of 352 runs since 2008 (51 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.4% from 147.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,221 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,221 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2006 to 7 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Oct 26 Worcester Drumlee Orders (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 7th 250/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Miss Malone To You (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Copybet Supporting Uk Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran UR 80/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Robert Havlin Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 15/8

01 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Malone To You (GB)J: Harry Davies Visit Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1

26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Robert Havlin Attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

18 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Robert Havlin Self Storage Association Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 40/1

10 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Charles Bishop Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 40/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Atlanta Brave (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell CopyBet BOG Today For Tomorrow's Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 5/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Both Of Us (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Warrens Hall Riding School Champions Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1

17 Jun 26 Ffos Las Miss Malone To You (GB)J: Taryn Langley Oil 4 Wales Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 18/1

17 Jun 26 Worcester Both Of Us (IRE)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet BOG Now Royal Ascot Friday Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

16 Jun 26 Stratford Dublinofficecallin (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Stratford Supporting Racing Staff Week Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 3/1

13 Jun 26 Chester Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Luke Morris Roodee Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 33/1

06 Jun 26 Worcester Atlanta Brave (IRE)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 5th 14/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Conor O'Farrell Somersby Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 14/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Black Hawk Eagle (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Chemique Bonded For Victory Cup Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 4th 9/2

16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Walking The Walk (IRE)J: David Bass Classic Additions Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 33/1

15 May 26 Aintree Bumpy Evans (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Huyton Asphalt Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

08 May 26 Market Rasen Bumpy Evans (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Summer Plate Ladies Day Saturday 18th July Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 6 ran RR 13/8F

24 Apr 26 Chepstow Both Of Us (IRE)J: David Bass Braceys My Coranna Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kerry Lee's strike rate?: Kerry Lee has won 68 of 425 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kerry Lee do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 62 runners (24.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kerry Lee?: Richard Patrick, with 186 runners since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (17.2%).
What is Kerry Lee's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 423 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.