How many races has Optimistic Belief (IRE) won?

Optimistic Belief (IRE) won 1 of 18 archived starts between 2020 and 2023, a strike rate of 5.6%. Placed 3 times in total (16.7% of starts).

Who trained Optimistic Belief (IRE)?

Optimistic Belief (IRE) was trained by Pat Phelan on the most recent run on record, at Kempton on 10 February 2023.

Who is Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s sire?

Optimistic Belief (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Panglossian (IRE), whose sire is Barathea.

What going does Optimistic Belief (IRE) prefer?

Optimistic Belief (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.

What is Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s official rating?

The most recent official rating on record is 90, from the run on 10 February 2023. The highest on record is 91.

Who are Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s siblings?

Out of Panglossian (IRE), Optimistic Belief (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: True Companion (IRE) (2). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.

Horse profile

Optimistic Belief (IRE)

5yo gelding (at last run, Feb 2023) · Last trainer Pat Phelan · Last owner Hugh J F Lang

by Make Believe (GB) out of Panglossian (IRE) (Barathea)

18 runs · 13 courses · from Oct 2020

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily

No run recorded since 10 Feb 2023 — 1,349 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.

Last run Feb 2023 Won at Killarney Last raced off OR 90

KTB Profile

Optimistic Belief (IRE) is 1 from 18. Hasn't won since Jul 2021. The win came on turf — 0 from 4 on the all-weather, and the win came on good or faster ground (0 from 9 on softer).

Based on 18 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Won on turf, 0 on AW Wins on good or faster

1–18Wins / Runs
5.6%Strike rate
3 (16.7%)Placed
−5.00£1 level staken=18 at SP
1.36Fair A/E n=18 · 1.14 incl. margin
91Highest OR
51dAvg between runs

Official rating90↓ 1lb off peak

90 62–91

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 94 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Chepstow, 25 Oct 2022

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 94^B · median 89

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
Good to Soft	4	94^B	89	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f	2	94^B	90.5	—
1m5f – 2m	2	91^C	77	—

Flat 12 figures · best 89^C · median 74

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
Good	5	89^C	68	—
Standard (AW)	4	88^B	79.5	—
Soft	2	86^C	71.5	—
Good to Soft	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f	8	89^C	77.5	—
1m – 1m1f	4	87^B	66.5	—

Of 18 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (2).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 110^A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Chepstow, 25 Oct 2022 Official rating 90 at the last jumps run, 10 Feb 2023

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 51^C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Kempton (AW), 21 Sep 2022 Official rating 62 at the last flat run, 21 Sep 2022

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 110^A · median 91.5

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
Good to Soft	4	110^A	91.5	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f	2	110^A	101.5	—
1m5f – 2m	2	90^C	87.5	—

Flat 12 figures · best 81^A · median 59.5

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
Good	5	81^A	58	—
Standard (AW)	4	69^A	56	—
Soft	2	61^C	58.5	—
Good to Soft	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 21 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f	8	81^A	61	—
1m – 1m1f	4	80^A	52	—

Of 18 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 18 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Make Believe (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,601 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Firm	5	1	20%	+8.9	—
Good to Firm	341	43	12.6%	+1.5	—
Good	872	99	11.4%	+0.3	1 from 5
Good to Soft	435	56	12.9%	+1.8	0 from 6
Soft	695	71	10.2%	−0.9	0 from 3
Heavy	272	25	9.2%	−1.9	—
Standard (AW)	981	104	10.6%	−0.5	0 from 4

Distance (all codes)	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Under 6f	81	7	8.6%	−2.5	—
6f – 7f	847	95	11.2%	+0.1	—
1m – 1m1f	1,048	107	10.2%	−0.9	0 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f	786	94	12%	+0.9	1 from 8
1m5f – 2m	536	71	13.2%	+2.1	0 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f	230	22	9.6%	−1.5	0 from 2
2m5f – 3m	63	2	3.2%	−7.9	0 from 1
Over 3m	10	1	10%	−1.1	—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

Panglossian (IRE) (Barathea)

3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them True Companion (IRE) (2 wins).

The wins came over 7f.

Produce	Runs	Wins	Win trips	Best grade
True Companion (IRE)	33	2	7f	—
Yes Sir No Sir (IRE)	2	0	—	—
Rythm Of The Night (IRE)	3	0	—	—

Record by conditions

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Good to Soft	6	0	0%	−6.00
Good	5	1	20%	+8.00
Standard (AW)	4	0	0%	−4.00
Soft	3	0	0%	−3.00

Class	Runs	SR	£1
Class 5	5	0%	−5.00
Class 3	3	0%	−3.00
Class 2	2	0%	−2.00
Class 4	1	0%	−1.00
Class 6	1	0%	−1.00

Course	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Lingfield (AW)	3	0	0%	−3.00
Kempton	2	0	0%	−2.00
Sandown	2	0	0%	−2.00
Killarney	2	1	50%	+11.00
Fontwell	1	0	0%	−1.00
Chepstow	1	0	0%	−1.00
Kempton (AW)	1	0	0%	−1.00
Windsor	1	0	0%	−1.00
Epsom Downs	1	0	0%	−1.00
Galway	1	0	0%	−1.00
Ballinrobe	1	0	0%	−1.00
Roscommon	1	0	0%	−1.00
Leopardstown	1	0	0%	−1.00

Distance	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
1m2f – 1m4f	8	1	13%	+5.00
1m – 1m1f	4	0	0%	−4.00
1m5f – 2m	3	0	0%	−3.00
2m1f – 2m4f	2	0	0%	−2.00
2m5f – 3m	1	0	0%	−1.00

Jockey	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Leigh Roche	6	1	17%	+7.00
Niall Houlihan	5	0	0%	−5.00
Liam Keniry	2	0	0%	−2.00
Shane Kelly	1	0	0%	−1.00
Paddy Bradley	1	0	0%	−1.00
Franny Norton	1	0	0%	−1.00
Rhys Clutterbuck	1	0	0%	−1.00
Sean Houlihan	1	0	0%	−1.00

Headgear	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
None	17	1	6%	−4.00
Hood	1	0	0%	−1.00

Season	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
2023	1	0	0%	−1.00
2022	9	0	0%	−9.00
2021	7	1	14%	+6.00
2020	1	0	0%	−1.00

Type	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Flat	12	1	8%	+1.00
Hurdle	6	0	0%	−6.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

Date	Course	Race	Pos	Btn	Wgt	OR	Spd	KTB	Jockey	SP
10 Feb 23+46d	Kempton	Visit Racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 11 ran	PU/11	—	10-5	90	—	—	Niall Houlihan	12/1
26 Dec 22+62d	Fontwell	Claire Hogben Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran	6/10	½	11-5	91	87^B	93^A	Niall Houlihan	11/1
25 Oct 22+34d	Chepstow	Vickers.Bet Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran	2/17	3¾	10-7	89	94^B	110^A	Niall Houlihan	25/1
21 Sep 22+21d	Kempton (AW)	Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap Class 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran	13/14	4¾	9-13	62	48^C	51^C	Shane Kelly	100/1
31 Aug 22+100d	Lingfield (AW)	Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran	10/12	½	9-6	64	87^B	48^A	Paddy Bradley	66/1
23 May 22+13d	Windsor	Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Class 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran	10/10	14	9-9	70	30^C	46^C	Liam Keniry	66/1
10 May 22+21d	Lingfield (AW)	Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap Class 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran	8/11	2	9-7	73	72^A	69^A	Liam Keniry	66/1
19 Apr 22+17d	Epsom Downs	Great Metropolitan Handicap Class 3 · 12f · Good · 9 ran	7/9	8	8-3	77	68^C	50^C	Franny Norton	50/1
02 Apr 22+56d	Lingfield (AW)	BetYourWay At Betway Handicap Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran	10/13	shd	8-10	79	88^B	61^A	Rhys Clutterbuck	100/1
05 Feb 22+40d	Sandown	Virgin Bet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran	6/7	4½	10-2	—	63^C	90^C	Sean Houlihan	150/1
27 Dec 21+24d	Kempton	Ladbrokes We Play Together Introductory Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 2 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran	PU/10	—	10-12	—	—	—	Niall Houlihan	18/1
03 Dec 21+130d	Sandown	Pinsent Masons Introductory Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran	5/9	2¾	11-0	—	91^C	85^C	Niall Houlihan	11/1
26 Jul 21+13d	Galway	Eventus Handicap (60-90) 12.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran	11/13	hd	9-7	83	86^C	61^C	Leigh Roche	20/1
13 Jul 21+22d	Killarney	Muckross Maiden 11f · Good · 13 ran	1/13		9-7	75	89^C	81^A	Leigh Roche	12/1
21 Jun 21+21d	Ballinrobe	Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 9.5f · Good · 10 ran	4/10	½	9-7	—	76^A	80^A	Leigh Roche	13/2
31 May 21+47d	Roscommon	Ivan Connaughton Auctioneers - No Sale No Fee Maiden 10f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran	3/13	hd	9-7	—	83^C	81^A	Leigh Roche	80/1
14 Apr 21+192d	Leopardstown	Leopardstown Annual Members (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10) 10f · Good · 17 ran	17/17	9	9-7	—	36^C	58^C	Leigh Roche	66/1
04 Oct 20	Killarney	Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Maiden (Plus 10) 8f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran	6/8	½	8-13	—	57^A	56^A	Leigh Roche	5/1

Quick answers

How many races has Optimistic Belief (IRE) won?: Optimistic Belief (IRE) won 1 of 18 archived starts between 2020 and 2023, a strike rate of 5.6%. Placed 3 times in total (16.7% of starts).
Who trained Optimistic Belief (IRE)?: Optimistic Belief (IRE) was trained by Pat Phelan on the most recent run on record, at Kempton on 10 February 2023.
Who is Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s sire?: Optimistic Belief (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Panglossian (IRE), whose sire is Barathea.
What going does Optimistic Belief (IRE) prefer?: Optimistic Belief (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s official rating?: The most recent official rating on record is 90, from the run on 10 February 2023. The highest on record is 91.
What is Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s sire's record?: Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,601 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Optimistic Belief (IRE)'s siblings?: Out of Panglossian (IRE), Optimistic Belief (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: True Companion (IRE) (2). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.

KTB Speed and Rating

Pedigree intelligence

Record by conditions

▾Going

▾Class 12 of 18 runs

▾Course

▾Distance

▾Jockey

▾Headgear

▾Season

▾Type

Form

Quick answers