Optimistic Bias (IRE)
Optimistic Bias (IRE) is 7 from 36. Hasn't won since Nov 2020. 3 of 5 starts at Uttoxeter have ended in wins. Last raced off 93, 32lb below the career-high mark.
- 7–36Wins / Runs
- 19.4%Strike rate
- 13 (36.1%)Placed
- −4.87£1 level staken=36 at SP
- 1.69Fair A/E n=36 · 1.46 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 78dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 113C | 88 | — |
| Soft | 6 | 114A | 94.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 115C | 78 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 13 | 115C | 95 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 103A | 87 | — |
Of 26 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (4) · did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 26 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 5.4% of 388 runs since Jan 2008 (51 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 30 | 1 | 3.3% | −2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 135 | 10 | 7.4% | +2 | 5 from 17 |
| Good to Soft | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | +2.7 | 0 from 10 |
| Soft | 105 | 4 | 3.8% | −1.6 | 2 from 8 |
| Heavy | 68 | 3 | 4.4% | −1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 0 | 0% | −5.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −5.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −5.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −5.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 94 | 1 | 1.1% | −4.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 148 | 8 | 5.4% | 0 | 1 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 98 | 7 | 7.1% | +1.7 | 4 from 17 |
| Over 3m | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | +8.1 | 2 from 17 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweet Shirleen (IRE) | 17 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 17 | 5 | 29% | +4.13 |
| Good to Soft | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Soft | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 15 | 4 | 27% | +3.50 |
| Class 3 | 15 | 3 | 20% | −2.37 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 5 | 3 | 60% | +8.50 |
| Warwick | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Market Rasen | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Huntingdon | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Stratford | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.25 |
| Aintree | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| Sedgefield | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 17 | 2 | 12% | −7.25 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 17 | 4 | 24% | −0.62 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Treadwell | 7 | 3 | 43% | +4.25 |
| Richie McLernon | 7 | 2 | 29% | +4.50 |
| Philip Armson | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.50 |
| Patrick Cowley | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| Shane Quinlan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tabitha Worsley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Danny Burton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Robert Law-Eadie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Poste | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Nixon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alexander Thorne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 26 | 7 | 27% | +5.13 |
| Blinkers | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2017 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +4.25 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.88 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 18 | 3 | 17% | −3.62 |
| Chase | 18 | 4 | 22% | −1.25 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Optimistic Bias (IRE) won?
- Optimistic Bias (IRE) won 7 of 36 archived starts between 2015 and 2022, a strike rate of 19.4%. Placed 13 times in total (36.1% of starts).
- Who trained Optimistic Bias (IRE)?
- Optimistic Bias (IRE) was trained by James Evans on the most recent run on record, at Stratford on 28 July 2022.
- Who is Optimistic Bias (IRE)'s sire?
- Optimistic Bias (IRE) is by Sayarshan (FR) out of Dashers Folly (IRE), whose sire is Dr Massini.
- What going does Optimistic Bias (IRE) prefer?
- Optimistic Bias (IRE) has the best record on good going: 5 wins from 17 starts (29.4%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Optimistic Bias (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 93, from the run on 28 July 2022. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Optimistic Bias (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Sayarshan (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 5.4% of 388 runs since Jan 2008 (51 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Optimistic Bias (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Dashers Folly (IRE), Optimistic Bias (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.