What is Philip Armson's strike rate?

Philip Armson has won 54 of 765 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Philip Armson do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 7 wins from 51 rides (13.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Philip Armson ride most for?

David Pipe, with 209 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (10.5%).

Is Philip Armson in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Philip Armson's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 765 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Philip Armson

765 rides in the last 5 seasons · 270 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

54–765

Wins / Runs

7.1%

Strike rate

n=765

171 (22%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=765 · 0.68 incl. margin

−284.49

£1 level stake

n=765 at SP · −37.2%

£772k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.77). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (65 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 765 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 16.3% when favourite David Pipe: 10.5% from 209 LTO winners: 18.5% Claiming: 7.2% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (13.7%, n=51), clear of the rider's 7.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.5% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.96), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.43). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.36 and −131.83 to a £1 stake over 146 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Pipe supplies 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.5% vs 7.1%, A/E 0.76). The rider also reads well in Class 3 (15.9%, n=82). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 38 rides, 7.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.35 across 89 rides (2.2% strike, −82.33 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.1%−2.0

n=253 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −108.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.5%+11.4

n=65 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −20.97

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.1%−5.0

n=146 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −131.83

When favourite

16.3%

n=49 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −24.92

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.2%+0.1

n=709 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −240.99

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.3%−5.8

n=77 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −68.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.1

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.5% vs 7.1% · n=65

In Class 3 15.9% vs 7.1% · n=82

At Fontwell 13.7% vs 7.1% · n=51

On Heavy going 0% vs 7.1% · n=38

Off a 61-180-day break 2.2% vs 7.1% · n=89

Off a break of 180+ days 1.8% vs 7.1% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 402 20 5% −256.92

Chase 322 33 10.2% −112.57

NH Flat 41 1 2.4% +85.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 401 31 7.7% −193.16

Good to Soft 195 12 6.2% −127.83

Soft 121 10 8.3% +78.50

Heavy 38 0 0% −38.00

Good to Firm 10 1 10% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 62 3 4.8% −49.68

Plumpton 54 4 7.4% −15.50

Fontwell 51 7 13.7% −5.50

Market Rasen 51 5 9.8% −30.84

Worcester 48 3 6.3% +2.83

Newton Abbot 47 5 10.6% −16.50

Southwell 44 1 2.3% −39.67

Stratford 37 2 5.4% −29.38

Warwick 30 1 3.3% −20.50

Huntingdon 29 0 0% −29.00

Exeter 29 2 6.9% −18.25

Taunton 29 3 10.3% −13.92

Wincanton 20 3 15% +0.75

Ffos Las 20 4 20% +117.75

Fakenham 20 2 10% −12.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 371 25 6.7% −77.80

Class 4 282 16 5.7% −204.80

Class 3 82 13 15.9% +28.11

Class 2 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 57 9 15.8% 0.51 −30.30

2nd–3rd fav 144 27 18.8% 1.04 −18.69

4th–6th fav 246 15 6.1% 0.82 −107.50

7th+ in betting 318 3 0.9% 0.37 −128.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

74.7% completed · 724 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 322 75.2% 12 4 62 1 1

Hurdle 402 74.4% 8 6 88 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dindin (FR) 25 2 8 27 May 23

Mackie Dee (IRE) 24 1 7 2 Mar 25

Al Roc (FR) 18 4 7 27 Nov 22

Texard (FR) 16 2 3 2 Dec 25

Scottish King (IRE) 15 3 7 24 May 26

Gibberwell (IRE) 14 2 5 25 Mar 26

Kapitaliste (FR) 14 2 7 26 May 24

Clondaw Robin (IRE) 12 0 2 3 Apr 25

Shaw's Cross (IRE) 12 0 2 20 Feb 25

El Paso Wood (FR) 12 1 5 29 Jul 22

Morgenstern (FR) 12 2 5 9 Jun 22

Gold Clermont (FR) 11 2 3 26 Jan 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 270 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

6612889788444

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Pipe

27% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 0.76

TrainerRWSR£1

David Pipe 209 22 10.5% −100.24

Andy Irvine 77 4 5.2% −31.00

Richard Armson 77 5 6.5% −54.50

Alexandra Dunn 75 9 12% −19.75

Alan King 62 3 4.8% −43.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£889k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 30 wins

Gwencily Berbas (FR) — Virgin Bet Devon National Handicap Chase Exeter · Feb 2023 · Class 3

£14,787

El Paso Wood (FR) — Somerset National Handicap Chase Wincanton · Jan 2022 · Class 3

£13,615

Al Roc (FR) — Jarrold Handicap Chase Fakenham · May 2022 · Class 3

£10,130

Notable horses

Al Roc (FR) Scottish King (IRE) Red Happy (FR) Toad Of Toad Hall (GB) Mackie Dee (IRE) Dindin (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Balko (FR) 13% · 6–46

Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,667 runs since 2011 (297 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,646 runs since 2008 (727 horses).

Getaway (GER) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Westerner (GB) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,872 runs since 2009 (946 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Great Pretender (IRE) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,557 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.

Imperial Monarch (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,588 runs since 2019 (172 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,055 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,055 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 July 2018 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Bears Socks (IRE)T: Dan Horsford Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 28/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Trojan Truth (GB)T: Ed de Giles CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 125/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Battle Stride (USA)T: Richard Armson £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 28/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford At Sunrise (GB)T: David Weston Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 9/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Battle Stride (USA)T: Richard Armson Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 6th 100/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Battle Stride (USA)T: Richard Armson £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 150/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Battle Stride (USA)T: Richard Armson Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 125/1

15 Aug 26 Perth Collingham (GER)T: Jake Thomas Coulson Brooks Macdonald Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 13/2

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Collingham (GER)T: Jake Thomas Coulson Craig Reid Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran 4th 66/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Prince Imperial (USA)T: Jake Thomas Coulson Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Battle Stride (USA)T: Richard Armson Jack Frost Chiller & Freezer Hire Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran F 80/1

26 Jun 26 Bangor-on-Dee Collingham (GER)T: Jake Thomas Coulson Tom Jones Live At Chester Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran PU 40/1

25 May 26 Huntingdon Crazy About Her (IRE)T: Jake Thomas Coulson Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 50/1

24 May 26 Uttoxeter Scottish King (IRE)T: Richard Armson Wrights Always Tasty Classic Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 4/1

24 May 26 Uttoxeter Callisto Queen (GB)T: Alan King Wrights Rolling In The Dough Derby Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 7 ran PU 33/1

13 May 26 Newton Abbot Bontessony Doll (GB)T: Alan Jones Classic Car Show On 9th June Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran UR 100/1

09 May 26 Haydock Sevenkingsmustdie (IRE)T: Alan King Pertemps Network 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 22/1

04 May 26 Warwick Salley Gardens (IRE)T: Jake Thomas Coulson M&T Solicitors In Warwick Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 28/1

23 Apr 26 Warwick Muscadet (GB)T: Alan King Molly Ollys Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/2

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Rock On Cassie (IRE)T: Richard Armson Barry Murphy Racing Syndicate Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 30 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Philip Armson's strike rate?: Philip Armson has won 54 of 765 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Philip Armson do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 7 wins from 51 rides (13.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Philip Armson ride most for?: David Pipe, with 209 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (10.5%).
Is Philip Armson in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Philip Armson's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 765 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.