Liam Treadwell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 200 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (230 rides).
The record is strongest at Leicester (23.5%, n=51) and Haydock (19.5%, n=41) — all clear of the rider's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Huntingdon (2.2% over 90 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.6% (n=230, Fair A/E 1.11), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.3% (n=117, Fair A/E 0.70). Venetia Williams supplied 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.6% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Heavy going (16.3%, n=295). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Grand National Chase Grade 3 at Aintree (Apr 2009, £506,970). The standout partner of the record was Never So Blue (FR) — 6 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,135 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,135 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 16 March 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Liam Treadwell's strike rate?
- Liam Treadwell has won 253 of 2,590 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Liam Treadwell do best at?
- Stratford by strike rate: 14 wins from 118 rides (11.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Liam Treadwell ride most for?
- Venetia Williams, with 704 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 96 (13.6%).
- What is Liam Treadwell's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 2,585 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.