What is James Evans's strike rate?

James Evans has won 73 of 620 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Evans do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Evans?

Joe Leavy, with 142 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (19.7%).

Is James Evans in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Evans's Fair A/E?

1.20, from 617 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Evans

620 runners in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

73–620

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=620

186 (30%)

Placed

1.20

Fair A/E

n=617 · 1.01 incl. margin

−74.19

£1 level stake

n=620 at SP · −12.0%

£781k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.20). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (268 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 620 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 32.7% when favourite Joe Leavy: 19.7% from 142 Claiming riders: 14.6% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (23.8%, n=42), clear of the yard's 11.8% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 14.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +43.73 to a £1 stake over 268 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Joe Leavy rides 23% of the entries and beats the yard's average (19.7% vs 11.8%, A/E 1.59) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (19.2%, n=104). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.9% over 52 runners, 9.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Masqool (IRE) — 12 wins from 69 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.3%−2.5

n=97 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +14.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.8

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−11.8

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−5.9

n=17 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−4.7

n=28 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

32.7%

n=49 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +2.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.6%+2.8

n=268 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +43.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield (AW) 23.8% vs 11.8% · n=42

On last-time-out winners 21.4% vs 11.8% · n=70

With William Cox 0% vs 11.8% · n=30

With Joe Leavy 19.7% vs 11.8% · n=142

Over 1m5f – 2m 1.9% vs 11.8% · n=52

Off a 8-14-day break 19.2% vs 11.8% · n=104

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 494 65 13.2% −57.69

Hurdle 75 4 5.3% +7.75

Chase 30 4 13.3% −3.25

NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 314 45 14.3% −22.44

Good 118 6 5.1% −61.00

Good to Soft 74 8 10.8% +35.00

Soft 74 8 10.8% −30.00

Good to Firm 30 5 16.7% +10.25

Heavy 9 1 11.1% −5.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 135 18 13.3% +26.83

Southwell (AW) 62 10 16.1% −22.40

Lingfield (AW) 42 10 23.8% +13.88

Kempton (AW) 41 2 4.9% −33.75

Chelmsford City (AW) 29 4 13.8% −4.75

Hereford 27 2 7.4% +19.00

Uttoxeter 25 3 12% −6.25

Bath 23 1 4.3% −19.50

Chepstow 20 0 0% −20.00

Windsor 20 0 0% −20.00

Leicester 19 1 5.3% −15.00

Ascot 15 2 13.3% +9.50

Southwell 12 0 0% −12.00

Goodwood 12 2 16.7% −4.00

Newbury 10 1 10% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 228 33 14.5% −9.72

Class 5 172 17 9.9% −66.37

Class 4 136 12 8.8% −17.10

Class 2 44 6 13.6% +17.50

Class 3 39 5 12.8% +2.50

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 55 16 29.1% 1.14 −3.77

2nd–3rd fav 127 34 26.8% 1.67 +54.08

4th–6th fav 226 16 7.1% 0.82 −46.50

7th+ in betting 212 7 3.3% 1.02 −78.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Masqool (IRE)from Saeed bin Suroor · then Tony Carroll 66 12 28 27 Dec 25

Dream Composer (FR)from E J O'Neill · then Tony Carroll 50 8 20 20 Oct 25

Bungle Bay (IRE)from Adrian Paul Keatley 49 8 19 28 Sep 26

Mintana (GB) 44 6 17 13 Oct 26

Justcallmepete (GB)then Tony Carroll 44 7 16 21 Mar 25

Croeso Cymraeg (GB)from John Spearing 41 6 14 24 Oct 25

American Rose (GB) 33 2 11 5 Apr 26

Landlordtothestars (IRE) 27 5 11 21 Jul 26

Risk And Roll (FR)from Mrs N Sheppard 19 2 5 18 Nov 24

Kentucky Kingdom (IRE)from William Haggas 19 4 6 7 Dec 23

Jammy Jay (GB) 14 0 3 10 Oct 26

Damzon (GB)then Tony Carroll 14 0 2 4 Oct 25

All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Samuel Drinkwater (4) and E J O'Neill (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Carroll (6) and Deborah Faulkner (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

2223104108914715616

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJoe Leavy

23% of all rides
19.7% SR · A/E 1.59

RiderRWSR£1

Joe Leavy 142 28 19.7% +56.23

Dougie Costello 138 23 16.7% −16.92

Ben Poste 55 3 5.5% −6.25

Tabitha Worsley 37 2 5.4% +5.50

William Cox 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

179

Archived wins

£1.48m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Dream Composer (FR) — Aston Martin 'Dash' Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Epsom Downs · Jun 2024 · Class 2

£50,960

Dream Composer (FR) — Sky Bet Request A Bet Handicap Pontefract · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£25,770

Dream Composer (FR) — William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap Goodwood · May 2023 · Class 2

£25,770

Notable horses

Masqool (IRE) Croeso Cymraeg (GB) Dream Composer (FR) Roc De Guye (FR) Bungle Bay (IRE) Prophete de Guye (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 17.8% · 13–73

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,816 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Dream Ahead (USA) 16% · 8–50

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,678 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 16.3% · 8–49

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,223 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Bated Breath (GB) 15.9% · 7–44

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,128 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.

Havana Grey (GB) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Dick Turpin (IRE) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,368 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.7% from 247. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.7% from 149. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 271.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,951 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,951 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Liberty Bird (GB)J: Alfie Redman Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mintana (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 14/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Jammy Jay (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch McCarthy Construction Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 9/2

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Liberty Bird (GB)J: Sean Levey Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 12/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Marveling (GB)J: Clifford Lee Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 16/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wonderful Wendy (GB)J: Joe Leavy Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 17/2

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bungle Bay (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 100/30

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mintana (GB)J: Joe Leavy Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 12/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bungle Bay (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wonderful Wendy (GB)J: Harry Vigors Dave Hill, Mental Health Ambassador Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 17/2

07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Marveling (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Call 01902 390016 To Name A Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Jammy Jay (GB)J: Ben Poste Kinsey Anniversary Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 1/1F

01 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mintana (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Book Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Racecourse Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 40/1

29 Aug 26 Chepstow Wonderful Wendy (GB)J: William Cox Free Bets On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

24 Jul 26 Chepstow Brave Byreflection (IRE)J: William Cox Cheeseburger Aaron Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 11/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Jammy Jay (GB)J: Ben Poste Louise Hall Hen Party Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 9/2

21 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Landlordtothestars (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Call 01902 390016 To Name A Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 14/1

07 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mintana (GB)J: Joe Leavy Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 7/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Jammy Jay (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

29 Jun 26 Windsor Liberty Bird (GB)J: Sean Levey Colenko Fast Track HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Evans's strike rate?: James Evans has won 73 of 620 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Evans do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Evans?: Joe Leavy, with 142 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (19.7%).
Is James Evans in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Evans's Fair A/E?: 1.20, from 617 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.