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Jockey profile

Patrick Cowley

76 rides in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2023 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–76
Wins / Runs
14.5%
Strike rate
n=76
19 (25%)
Placed
1.49
Fair A/E
n=76 · 1.32 incl. margin
−26.17
£1 level stake
n=76 at SP · −34.4%
£104k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
20%
KTB at a glance L J Morgan: 17.5% from 63 Claiming: 16.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%−4.5
n=30 · A/E 1.63 · £1 −13.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
46.2%+31.7
n=13 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +9.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13%−1.5
n=23 · A/E 1.86 · £1 −2.50
When favourite
75%
n=4 · A/E 2.26 · £1 +5.08
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
16.4%+1.9
n=67 · A/E 1.73 · £1 −17.17
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%−3.4
n=9 · A/E 2.22 · £1 −4.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 4.3% vs 14.5% · n=46
In Class 4 9.3% vs 14.5% · n=43
On first rides for the horse 10% vs 14.5% · n=30
With L J Morgan 17.5% vs 14.5% · n=63
When claiming 16.4% vs 14.5% · n=67 · A/E 1.73
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 46 2 4.3% −36.17
Chase 28 9 32.1% +12.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 42 6 14.3% −12.92
Good to Soft 22 4 18.2% −4.00
Soft 9 1 11.1% −6.25
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell 20 3 15% −3.67
Market Rasen 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Wetherby 6 2 33.3% +3.00
Perth 4 2 50% +1.75
Musselburgh 3 1 33.3% −0.25
Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00
Fakenham 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton 2 1 50% +2.50
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 43 4 9.3% −19.75
Class 5 16 2 12.5% −7.67
Class 3 14 4 28.6% +2.25
Class 2 2 1 50% +0.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 3 60% 1.87 +4.08
2nd–3rd fav 17 5 29.4% 1.64 +2.75
4th–6th fav 25 3 12% 1.55 −4.00
7th+ in betting 29 0 0% 0.00 −29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.7% completed · 74 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 28 78.6% 1 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 46 80.4% 0 0 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Charging Point (GB) 6 1 4 2 Apr 23
Captain Ivan (IRE) 5 3 3 20 Jul 23
They Call Me Pete (GB) 5 0 1 23 Feb 23
Whistleinthedark (IRE) 4 4 4 27 Apr 23
Western Safire (IRE) 4 1 2 18 Mar 23
Cuddly Dudley (FR) 4 0 1 14 Feb 23
Seemingly So (IRE) 3 0 0 6 Aug 23
Supreme Yeats (IRE) 3 0 1 26 Jun 23
Tommouse (IRE) 3 0 1 6 Jun 23
Ten Past Midnight (GB) 3 0 0 7 Sep 22
Thomas Todd (GB) 3 0 0 31 Jul 22
Elham Valley (FR) 2 0 0 27 Oct 23
All 34 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
502250902000002014
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardL J Morgan
83% of all rides
17.5% SR · A/E 1.73
TrainerRWSR£1
L J Morgan 63 11 17.5% −13.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
57
Archived wins
£485k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 19 wins
Whistleinthedark (IRE) — Phil Nelson River Tay Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Perth · Apr 2023 · Class 2
£13,008
Whistleinthedark (IRE) — Virgin Bet Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kempton · Mar 2023 · Class 3
£11,951
Join The Clan (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (series Qualifier) Warwick · Jan 2015 · Class 2
£11,574
Notable horses
Skipping On (IRE) Whistleinthedark (IRE) Ascendant (GB) Ulis De Vassy (FR) Manor Park (GB) Flemcara (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sixties Icon (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,669 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,332.
Midnight Legend (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,174 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Stowaway (GB) 60% · 3–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Westerner (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,837 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Fame And Glory (GB) 100% · 4–4
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,208 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 533 · newest first

The latest 50 of 533 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 November 2013 to 27 October 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Oct 23 Cheltenham Elham Valley (FR)T: John Cornwall Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 18 ran 13th 125/1
03 Oct 23 Southwell Elham Valley (FR)T: John Cornwall Weatherbysshop.Co.Uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 33/1
06 Aug 23 Market Rasen Seemingly So (IRE)T: L J Morgan Gardiner Hill Foundation Enriching Lives Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 14/1
06 Aug 23 Market Rasen Moo Moo's Milan (GB)T: L J Morgan Steve Bennett Architectural Design Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 100/1
20 Jul 23 Worcester Captain Ivan (IRE)T: L J Morgan eventmasters.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 16/5
09 Jul 23 Market Rasen Sehayli (IRE)T: L J Morgan John Matthews Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 50/1
05 Jul 23 Worcester Il Cima (FR)T: L J Morgan Get Pulling With PJ Nicholls Ssangyong Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 150/1
26 Jun 23 Southwell Supreme Yeats (IRE)T: L J Morgan Prestige Safety Services Ppe And Workwear Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 10/1
26 Jun 23 Southwell Il Cima (FR)T: L J Morgan Prestige Safety Fire Risk Assessments Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 100/1
24 Jun 23 Perth Captain Ivan (IRE)T: L J Morgan Visit raceday-ready.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/4
23 Jun 23 Market Rasen Tardree (IRE)T: L J Morgan ABP 'Summer Plate Trial' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 18/1
12 Jun 23 Southwell Here We Have It (IRE)T: L J Morgan Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 40/1
12 Jun 23 Southwell Captain Ivan (IRE)T: L J Morgan Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 7/1
06 Jun 23 Southwell Tommouse (IRE)T: L J Morgan Starsports.Bet 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 9/1
01 Jun 23 Market Rasen Tardree (IRE)T: L J Morgan Blockfree Services Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 11/1
24 May 23 Southwell Here We Have It (IRE)T: L J Morgan Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/1
12 May 23 Market Rasen Tommouse (IRE)T: L J Morgan BDN Construction Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 15/2
06 May 23 Hexham Fancy Foundations (GB)T: L J Morgan Sky Sports Racing Selling HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 9/2
28 Apr 23 Perth Fire Away (IRE)T: L J Morgan Edinburgh Gin Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 18/1
27 Apr 23 Perth Whistleinthedark (IRE)T: L J Morgan Phil Nelson River Tay Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 1st EvensF

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Cowley's strike rate?
Patrick Cowley has won 11 of 76 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Patrick Cowley ride most for?
L J Morgan, with 63 rides since 2022 — 83% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (17.5%).
What is Patrick Cowley's Fair A/E?
1.49, from 76 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).