Pathetic Fallacy (GB)
Pathetic Fallacy is a filly by Make Believe out of a Dansili mare who failed to win in five turf starts between Jun 2024 and Oct 2024. She raced at five different courses without placing and holds an official rating of 45. All runs came off that mark with no success over trips from under 6f to 1m1f on good to firm through to heavy ground. Her last run was eighth of 10 in a Class 6 nursery at Leicester in Oct 2024.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 45Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 52
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 54C | 52 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 54C | 33.5 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 52B | 39 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,610 runs since Jan 2008 (298 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 342 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 873 | 99 | 11.3% | +0.2 | — |
| Good to Soft | 435 | 56 | 12.9% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 697 | 71 | 10.2% | −0.9 | — |
| Heavy | 276 | 25 | 9.1% | −2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 982 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 847 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,049 | 107 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 789 | 94 | 11.9% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 539 | 71 | 13.2% | +2.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 232 | 22 | 9.5% | −1.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Morcar (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Morcar (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morcar (GB) | 31 | 5 | 1m2f | Class 4 |
| Mauna Loa (GB) | 5 | 1 | 6f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Dawson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Neil Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Kelly | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 15 Oct 24+7d | Leicester | Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Settled in the pack early - pressed for effort with over 3f left - found nothing and dropped away - finished eighth | 8/10 | 3¾ | 9-0 | 45 | -12C | 30C | Trevor Whelan | 66/1 |
| 08 Oct 24+102d | Brighton | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Held up at the back throughout - never landed a threat - well beaten in 12th | 12/14 | 4½ | 8-13 | 45 | 13C | 25C | Neil Callan | 33/1 |
| 28 Jun 24+11d | Newmarket | Long Shot British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 10/11 | 4¾ | 9-2 | — | 54C | 34C | Shane Kelly | 250/1 |
| 17 Jun 24+12d | Windsor | Fitzdares EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 11/12 | 5½ | 9-2 | — | 26C | 11C | Ray Dawson | 100/1 |
| 05 Jun 24 | Nottingham | Abba Fever Raceday Book Now EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 11/11 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 52B | 33A | Ray Dawson | 200/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Pathetic Fallacy won?
- Pathetic Fallacy (GB) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2024.
- Who trained Pathetic Fallacy?
- Pathetic Fallacy (GB) was trained by John Butler on the most recent run on record, at Leicester on 15 October 2024.
- Who is Pathetic Fallacy's sire?
- Pathetic Fallacy (GB) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Loved So Much (GB), whose sire is Dansili.
- What is Pathetic Fallacy's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 15 October 2024. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Pathetic Fallacy's sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,610 runs since Jan 2008 (298 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Pathetic Fallacy's siblings?
- Out of Loved So Much (GB), Pathetic Fallacy (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Morcar (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Morcar (GB)). The wins came over 6f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.