What is Neil Callan's strike rate?

Neil Callan has won 238 of 1,851 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Neil Callan do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 rides (21.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Neil Callan ride most for?

Marco Botti, with 212 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (10.8%).

Is Neil Callan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Neil Callan's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,844 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Neil Callan

1,851 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,111 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

238–1,851

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=1,851

606 (33%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,844 · 0.87 incl. margin

−103.00

£1 level stake

n=1,851 at SP · −5.6%

£4.48m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 370 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (206 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,851 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 31.7% when favourite Marco Botti: 10.8% from 212 LTO winners: 19.4% Rides the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (23.1%, n=39), clear of the rider's 12.9% baseline. It is weakest at Leicester (3.2% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.4% (n=206, Fair A/E 1.05), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.7% (n=91, Fair A/E 1.09). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 9.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +132.50 to a £1 stake over 207 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Marco Botti supplies 11% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (10.8% vs 12.9%, A/E 0.90). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (31%, n=71). 64 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Queen Anne Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2023, £425,325). The standout partner of the record: Mutamared (USA) — 6 wins from 25 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.9%−1.0

n=1,093 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −7.79

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.4%+6.5

n=206 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −37.33

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.6%−0.3

n=254 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +74.46

When favourite

31.7%

n=230 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −41.07

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.2%−3.7

n=207 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +132.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−5.2

n=91 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +85.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 31% vs 12.9% · n=71

With first-time headgear 4.5% vs 12.9% · n=89

At Lingfield 23.1% vs 12.9% · n=39

On last-time-out winners 19.4% vs 12.9% · n=206

At Leicester 3.2% vs 12.9% · n=31

With James Tate 19.4% vs 12.9% · n=139

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 772 101 13.1% −106.56

Good to Firm 437 69 15.8% +33.40

Good 339 30 8.8% −63.22

Good to Soft 162 19 11.7% +33.63

Soft 112 16 14.3% +3.25

Heavy 29 3 10.3% −3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 285 32 11.2% −33.84

Chelmsford (AW) 169 25 14.8% −7.34

Yarmouth 155 17 11% −18.30

Windsor 150 16 10.7% −80.96

Lingfield (AW) 144 18 12.5% −80.71

Newmarket 125 18 14.4% +40.37

Newmarket 109 7 6.4% −38.09

Wolverhampton (AW) 93 12 12.9% −8.34

Ascot 70 10 14.3% +78.83

Southwell (AW) 69 11 15.9% +13.96

Brighton 61 11 18% −20.85

Haydock 50 9 18% −8.95

Newbury 47 5 10.6% +2.83

Sandown 45 8 17.8% +36.96

Doncaster 42 9 21.4% +46.13

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 590 79 13.4% −193.24

Class 4 464 57 12.3% −44.07

Class 6 376 57 15.2% −80.35

Class 2 184 16 8.7% +73.58

Class 3 145 22 15.2% +57.08

Class 1 91 7 7.7% +85.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 264 85 32.2% 1.02 −25.37

2nd–3rd fav 490 77 15.7% 0.92 −111.13

4th–6th fav 619 51 8.2% 1.01 −109.50

7th+ in betting 478 25 5.2% 1.51 +143.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kitaro Kich (IRE) 18 4 8 16 Jul 26

Secret Handsheikh (GB) 9 0 3 7 May 26

Stanley Spencer (IRE) 9 2 5 7 Feb 25

Tyger Bay (GB) 9 1 3 26 Sep 23

Giant (GB) 8 0 2 22 May 25

Con Te Partiro (GB) 8 2 4 22 May 25

Silver Gunn (IRE) 8 2 2 3 Jun 24

Red Hat Eagle (GB) 7 1 4 9 Oct 26

Waiting All Night (GB) 7 1 3 1 Aug 25

Angle Land (GB) 7 2 3 5 Dec 24

Dual Identity (IRE) 7 1 2 12 Oct 24

Shalfa (IRE) 7 0 3 14 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,111 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

19251512121613121211146

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMarco Botti

11% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 0.90

TrainerRWSR£1

Marco Botti 212 23 10.8% +70.13

James Tate 139 27 19.4% +8.99

George Baker 109 13 11.9% −15.80

William Knight 102 12 11.8% −60.29

Tom Clover 92 14 15.2% −16.50

John Butler 80 10 12.5% −16.53

Tony Carroll 76 12 15.8% +3.58

Kevin Ryan 69 12 17.4% +93.75

David Evans 67 8 11.9% −4.29

Ed Dunlop 65 13 20% +9.98

Richard Spencer 64 10 15.6% −14.68

Charlie Johnston 48 5 10.4% −20.86

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,363

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.3m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 170 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Triple Time (IRE) — Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£425,325

No Half Measures (GB) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · Jul 2025 · Group 1

£372,585

Fonteyn (GB) — Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 1) Newmarket · Oct 2022 · Group 1

£151,345

Notable horses

Mutamared (USA) Arganil (USA) Le Toreador (GB) Eton Forever (IRE) Mahadee (IRE) Mystic Man (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 17% · 9–53

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dark Angel (IRE) 5% · 2–40

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.8% · 5–39

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,230 runs since 2014 (1,109 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Iffraaj (GB) 18.4% · 7–38

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,994 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

Rajasinghe (IRE) 17.1% · 6–35

Progeny have won 12.7% of 765 runs since 2022 (60 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.8% from 329. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 9.3% from 140.

Time Test (GB) 20% · 7–35

Progeny have won 11% of 3,158 runs since 2021 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 334. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 321.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,117 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,117 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Bahari (GB)T: Jack Morland AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Yachtsman (GB)T: Jack Morland ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 11/2

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Brosna Town (IRE)T: Jessica Bedi Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 13.5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Flag Carrier (IRE)T: Brian Toomey German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 33/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Silesia (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 8/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Dark Supremacy (IRE)T: George Baker German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div II)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 8/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Battle Standard (GB)T: Jack Morland AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 8/11F

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Down To You Kid (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Pure Moon (GB)T: Tom Clover Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 20/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Red Hat Eagle (GB)T: William Knight Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 3/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lucille Cee (IRE)T: Tom Clover Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Beach Point (IRE)T: William Knight Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

03 Oct 26 Newmarket Jumeirah Storm (IRE)T: William Knight £200,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 9th 18/1

24 Sep 26 Newmarket Fuel The Jet (IRE)T: Tom Clover Tattersalls Stakes (Registered As The Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 1st 13/2

21 Sep 26 Leicester Agitator (GB)T: Oliver Cole Hsbc Uk Agriculture Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

11 Sep 26 Sandown Tiora Time (GB)T: Tom Clover Sporting Times/sri Lanka Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 15/2

10 Sep 26 Doncaster Fuel The Jet (IRE)T: Tom Clover East Midlands Airport And JET2 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 15/2

05 Sep 26 Ascot True Test (GB)T: William Knight Download The Tote App British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 11/1

02 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Rogue Desire (FR)T: Jack Morland Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)Class 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 5 ran 5th 40/1

02 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Startled Lady (GB)T: William Knight Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 3rd 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Neil Callan's strike rate?: Neil Callan has won 238 of 1,851 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neil Callan do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 rides (21.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Neil Callan ride most for?: Marco Botti, with 212 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (10.8%).
Is Neil Callan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Neil Callan's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,844 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.