Plum Bay (GB)
Plum Bay (GB) is 1 from 10, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Aug 2012.
- 1–10Wins / Runs
- 10%Strike rate
- 2 (20%)Placed
- +7.00£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 1.22Fair A/E n=10 · 1.04 incl. margin
- 60Highest OR
- 54dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10% of 5,636 runs since Jan 2008 (518 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 66 | 12 | 18.2% | +8.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 910 | 102 | 11.2% | +1.2 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 1,403 | 123 | 8.8% | −1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 693 | 67 | 9.7% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 879 | 90 | 10.2% | +0.2 | — |
| Heavy | 308 | 30 | 9.7% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,377 | 141 | 10.2% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 84 | 9 | 10.7% | +0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 735 | 74 | 10.1% | +0.1 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,164 | 126 | 10.8% | +0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,812 | 207 | 11.4% | +1.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,021 | 78 | 7.6% | −2.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 579 | 58 | 10% | 0 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 216 | 13 | 6% | −4 | — |
| Over 3m | 25 | 0 | 0% | −10 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Shared Equity (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Shared Equity (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shared Equity (GB) | 31 | 5 | 6f–7f | Class 2 |
| Glorious Politics (GB) | 11 | 2 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Jumeirah Moon (GB) | 6 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| One Day (GB) | 16 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Lewis Slack (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Starlight June (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Mother Shipton (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +13.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +13.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 4 | 1 | 25% | +13.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 1 | 13% | +9.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane O'Neill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nicky Mackay | 2 | 1 | 50% | +15.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| William Carson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss Alice Haynes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +10.00 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 23 Oct 12+19d | Yarmouth | Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap | 12/15 | 6 | 9-5 | 59 | 39C | William Carson | 15/2 |
| 04 Oct 12+35d | Wolverhampton (AW) | elitedigitalsystems.co.uk Handicap | 7/13 | 1¾ | 9-4 | 60 | 63A | Jamie Spencer | 9/2F |
| 30 Aug 12+17d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Casino Handicap | 5/13 | 5 | 9-7 | 60 | 64A | Dane O'Neill | 10/1 |
| 13 Aug 12+10d | Kempton (AW) | Scott Mills & Stooshe Live 07.09.12 Handicap | 2/5 | 1½ | 9-2 | 59 | 71B | Dane O'Neill | 9/4J |
| 03 Aug 12+33d | Newmarket | Racing Uk Handicap | 1/9 | 8-6 | 53 | 80A | Nicky Mackay | 16/1 | |
| 01 Jul 12+17d | Salisbury | CGA Racing Excellence Apprentice Handicap (Whips Shall Be Carried But Not Used) | 9/13 | 6 | 9-0 | 57 | 44A | Miss Alice Haynes | 20/1 |
| 14 Jun 12+327d | Newbury | Be Wiser Insurance Handicap (Str) | 9/11 | ½ | 8-6 | 60 | 46A | Kieran O'Neill | 16/1 |
| 2011 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 23 Jul 11+8d | Newmarket | Ballygallon Stud, Ireland E.b.f. Maiden Stakes | 17/20 | 1¾ | 8-12 | — | 53C | Nicky Mackay | 100/1 |
| 15 Jul 11+21d | Newmarket | Tyrrell & Company Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 9/12 | 3½ | 9-0 | — | 59A | Andrea Atzeni | 14/1 |
| 24 Jun 11 | Newmarket | E.b.f. Araafa Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 7/11 | 1¾ | 9-0 | — | 59A | Andrea Atzeni | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Plum Bay won?
- Plum Bay (GB) won 1 of 10 archived starts between 2011 and 2012, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 2 times in total (20% of starts).
- Who trained Plum Bay?
- Plum Bay (GB) was trained by David Elsworth on the most recent run on record, at Yarmouth on 23 October 2012.
- Who is Plum Bay's sire?
- Plum Bay (GB) is by Nayef (USA) out of Pelican Key (IRE), whose sire is Mujadil.
- What going does Plum Bay prefer?
- Plum Bay (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Plum Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 59, from the run on 23 October 2012. The highest on record is 60.
- What is Plum Bay's sire's record?
- Nayef (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 10% of 5,636 runs since Jan 2008 (518 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.
- Who are Plum Bay's siblings?
- Out of Pelican Key (IRE), Plum Bay (GB) has 7 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Shared Equity (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Shared Equity (GB)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.