Promising Run (USA)
Promising Run (USA) is 2 from 14, including a Group 2 win. The biggest win we hold: the Shadwell Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket (Sep 2015). Hasn't won since Sep 2015.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Promising Run (USA) has 2 produce in the archive, 2 winners — most wins Desert Flower (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m; the highest grade won is Group 1 (Desert Flower (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Flower (IRE) | 6 | 5 | 7f–1m | Group 1 |
| Aablan (IRE) | 4 | 2 | 7f | Group 3 |
- 2–14Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 6 (42.9%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 0.94Fair A/E n=14 · 0.80 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 86dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 113A | 99 | — |
| Good | 2 | 105C | 100.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 113A | 103.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 105C | 96 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 1,388 runs since Jan 2008 (120 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.2% from 475.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | +23.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 242 | 33 | 13.6% | +1.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 289 | 36 | 12.5% | +0.4 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 171 | 17 | 9.9% | −2.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 147 | 12 | 8.2% | −3.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 45 | 3 | 6.7% | −5.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 480 | 62 | 12.9% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 56 | 7 | 12.5% | +0.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 475 | 72 | 15.2% | +3.1 | 2 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 373 | 37 | 9.9% | −2.2 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 282 | 26 | 9.2% | −2.9 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 88 | 9 | 10.2% | −1.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 68 | 10 | 14.7% | +2.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | +2.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | +7.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Aqalim (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Aqalim (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqalim (GB) | 20 | 5 | 2m–3m | Class 2 |
| Majestic Jameela (GB) | 26 | 3 | 1m7½f–2m4f | Class 3 |
| Arabian Comet (IRE) | 16 | 3 | 1m–1m4f | Class 3 |
| King Of Unicorns (GB) | 16 | 1 | 2m | Class 5 |
| Kunooz (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Voladora (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 1m1f | — |
| Gold Wing (GB) | 18 | 0 | — | — |
| Beautiful Escape (USA) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 12 | 1 | 8% | −6.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Ascot | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Goodwood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Doyle | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Pat Cosgrave | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2015 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Promising Run (USA) won?
- Promising Run (USA) won 2 of 14 archived starts between 2015 and 2018, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 6 times in total (42.9% of starts).
- Who trained Promising Run (USA)?
- Promising Run (USA) was trained by Saeed bin Suroor on the most recent run on record, at Salisbury on 15 August 2018.
- Who is Promising Run (USA)'s sire?
- Promising Run (USA) is by Hard Spun (USA) out of Aviacion (BRZ), whose sire is Know Heights.
- What going does Promising Run (USA) prefer?
- Promising Run (USA) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Promising Run (USA)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 104, from the run on 15 August 2018. The highest on record is 107.
- What is Promising Run (USA)'s sire's record?
- Hard Spun (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 1,388 runs since Jan 2008 (120 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.2% from 475.
- Who are Promising Run (USA)'s siblings?
- Out of Aviacion (BRZ), Promising Run (USA) has 8 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Aqalim (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Aqalim (GB)). The wins came over 7f–3m. As at Oct 2026.
- Has Promising Run (USA) produced winners?
- As a dam, Promising Run (USA) has 2 produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Desert Flower (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 1 (Desert Flower (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m. As at Oct 2026.