What is Pat Cosgrave's strike rate?

Pat Cosgrave has won 168 of 1,446 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pat Cosgrave do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 14 wins from 51 rides (27.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Pat Cosgrave ride most for?

Jim Boyle, with 231 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (8.7%).

What is Pat Cosgrave's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,431 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Pat Cosgrave

1,446 rides in the last 5 seasons · 791 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 27 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

168–1,446

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=1,446

443 (31%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,431 · 0.86 incl. margin

−202.68

£1 level stake

n=1,446 at SP · −14.0%

£2.09m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 290 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (156 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,446 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 39.5% when favourite Jim Boyle: 8.7% from 231 LTO winners: 14.7% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (27.5%, n=51) and Yarmouth (22.9%, n=48) — all clear of the rider's 11.6% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (2.7% over 37 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.7% (n=156, Fair A/E 0.75), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=113, Fair A/E 0.83). Jim Boyle supplies 16% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (8.7% vs 11.6%, A/E 0.76). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.8%, n=79). 31 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Golden Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2011, £227,080). The standout partner of the record: Markab (GB) — 7 wins from 20 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.7%−0.9

n=723 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −91.28

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.7%+3.1

n=156 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −70.22

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.6%−2.0

n=229 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −31.22

When favourite

39.5%

n=152 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +6.52

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.4%−7.2

n=113 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −18.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.6

n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bath 27.5% vs 11.6% · n=51

Off a 0-7-day break 22.8% vs 11.6% · n=79

At Yarmouth 22.9% vs 11.6% · n=48

At Kempton (AW) 3.7% vs 11.6% · n=107

At Newmarket 2.7% vs 11.6% · n=37

At Sandown 2.9% vs 11.6% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 564 60 10.6% −198.32

Good to Firm 338 39 11.5% −14.84

Good 326 38 11.7% −22.30

Good to Soft 97 16 16.5% +1.93

Soft 87 9 10.3% −19.25

Heavy 18 2 11.1% +7.50

Firm 16 4 25% +42.60

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 163 18 11% −83.68

Wolverhampton (AW) 125 18 14.4% −12.42

Kempton (AW) 107 4 3.7% −94.55

Brighton 107 12 11.2% −48.18

Windsor 88 5 5.7% −44.50

Epsom 82 9 11% −16.79

Southwell (AW) 79 8 10.1% −28.13

Chelmsford City (AW) 74 10 13.5% +11.96

Lingfield 57 6 10.5% −35.75

Bath 51 14 27.5% +85.56

Goodwood 50 4 8% +2.63

Newmarket 50 6 12% +2.75

Yarmouth 48 11 22.9% +29.75

Newmarket 37 1 2.7% −33.00

Leicester 36 7 19.4% −6.65

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 466 54 11.6% −123.36

Class 6 381 56 14.7% −91.16

Class 4 344 28 8.1% −48.60

Class 3 124 17 13.7% −1.58

Class 2 103 12 11.7% +37.02

Class 1 27 0 0% −27.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 174 64 36.8% 1.12 −0.98

2nd–3rd fav 369 51 13.8% 0.82 −105.20

4th–6th fav 464 34 7.3% 0.93 −125.50

7th+ in betting 439 19 4.3% 1.35 +29.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Marsh Benham (IRE) 16 2 5 9 Oct 26

Meleri (GB) 16 2 5 24 Sep 25

Buy The Dip (GB) 15 3 8 30 Jun 26

Marlay Park (GB) 15 0 2 12 Sep 24

Carnival Day (IRE) 12 2 5 14 Oct 26

Sansanetti (IRE) 12 4 5 23 Sep 26

Get It (GB) 12 4 4 1 Aug 26

Daisy Roots (GB) 9 2 3 15 Oct 26

Guernsey Angel (GB) 9 2 3 24 Sep 26

Beauld As Brass (GB) 9 4 6 18 Jul 25

Bad Company (GB) 9 2 4 2 Jun 23

Secret Strength (IRE) 9 0 3 22 Apr 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 791 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

157413121311121011713

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJim Boyle

16% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.76

TrainerRWSR£1

Jim Boyle 231 20 8.7% −79.79

George Baker 224 24 10.7% +24.18

George Boughey 187 30 16% −34.14

David Evans 128 18 14.1% +67.38

James Owen 115 14 12.2% −55.90

Richard Hughes 89 15 16.9% −0.82

Stuart Williams 43 8 18.6% +12.79

Adam Kirby 32 2 6.3% −28.76

Ed de Giles 30 3 10% −15.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,081

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£11.8m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 120 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Society Rock (IRE) — Golden Jubilee Stakes (British Champions' Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2011 · Group 1

£227,080

Markab (GB) — Betfred Sprint Cup (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2010 · Group 1

£163,810

Mubtasim (IRE) — Weatherbys Hamilton 300,000 2-y-o Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2016 · Class 2

£147,540

Notable horses

Markab (GB) Mamillius (GB) Perfect Pastime (GB) Aqua Ardens (GER) Aahayson (GB) Muffri'Ha (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,239 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Nathaniel (IRE) 15.8% · 6–38

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,119 runs since 2016 (642 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.

Bated Breath (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,180 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.

Kodiac (GB) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,954 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,873 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,387 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,387 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Brighton Daisy Roots (GB)T: Jim Boyle bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 14th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Force Field (GB)T: Jim Boyle bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 7th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Carnival Day (IRE)T: Jim Boyle Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 9th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marsh Benham (IRE)T: George Baker Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 33/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Electric Gambler (IRE)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 25/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Classic Encounter (IRE)T: George Boughey Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-mile Series Final Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

03 Oct 26 Redcar Green Star (IRE)T: George Boughey Racing Tv Ebf Stallions Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 2/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Last Verse (IRE)T: Joseph Parr Nuvo Audit Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 11/2

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Big Bear Hug (GB)T: Jim Boyle Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 22/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Hello Cotai (IRE)T: Jim Boyle Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 20/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury My Spritely (GB)T: Jim Boyle 'pyledriver' British Ebf Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 500/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Guilty Verdict (GB)T: Jim Boyle Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 16/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Zarco (GB)T: Harry Eustace Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 4/1J

28 Sep 26 Brighton Marsh Benham (IRE)T: George Baker The Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 17/2

27 Sep 26 Epsom Carnival Day (IRE)T: Jim Boyle Betfred 'Bet Builder' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 11/2

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Guernsey Angel (GB)T: David Evans Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 14/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Arthur Carrot (GB)T: George Boughey Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/2

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Ocean Force (IRE)T: Gary & Josh Moore Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 15/2

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Sansanetti (IRE)T: Stuart Williams Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)Class 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 13th 13/2

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Cashinoroyale (FR)T: George Baker Unibet/ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 2nd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 9 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Pat Cosgrave's strike rate?: Pat Cosgrave has won 168 of 1,446 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pat Cosgrave do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 14 wins from 51 rides (27.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Pat Cosgrave ride most for?: Jim Boyle, with 231 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (8.7%).
What is Pat Cosgrave's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,431 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.