How many races has Reason To Believe won?

Reason To Believe (FR) has yet to win, from 17 archived starts between 2016 and 2018. Placed 1 time in total (5.9% of starts).

Who trained Reason To Believe?

Reason To Believe (FR) was trained by David Bridgwater on the most recent run on record, at Newton Abbot on 10 September 2018.

Who is Reason To Believe's sire?

Reason To Believe (FR) is by Rip Van Winkle (IRE) out of Showcall (USA), whose sire is Kingmambo.

What is Reason To Believe's official rating?

The most recent official rating on record is 93, from the run on 10 September 2018. That is also the highest on record.

Who are Reason To Believe's siblings?

Out of Showcall (USA), Reason To Believe (FR) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

Horse profile

Reason To Believe (FR)

4yo filly (at last run, Sep 2018) · Last trainer David Bridgwater · Last owner Andrew Duffield

by Rip Van Winkle (IRE) out of Showcall (USA) (Kingmambo)

17 runs · 13 courses · from May 2016

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily

No run recorded since 10 Sep 2018 — 2,978 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.

Last run Sep 2018 · 9th of 12 Headgear returns LTO Last raced off OR 93

KTB Profile

Reason To Believe (FR) is yet to win from 17 starts, though has placed once. Best effort: 2nd of 8 at Chelmsford City (AW) (Feb 2018). Last raced off a career-high mark of 93.

Based on 17 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance OR at career high

0–17Wins / Runs
0%Strike rate
1 (5.9%)Placed
−17.00£1 level staken=17 at SP
0.00Fair A/E n=17 · 0.00 incl. margin
93Highest OR
22dBetween runs (median)longest 215 d

Official rating93At career-high mark

93 43–93

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 97 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Worcester, 9 Jul 2018

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 97^A · median 81

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
Good	2	89^B	81	—
Soft	1	—	—	—
Good to Firm	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f	2	89^B	81	—
1m5f – 2m	2	97^A	47.5	—

Flat 9 figures · best 102^B · median 83

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)	9	102^B	83	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f	4	96^A	85	—
1m5f – 2m	3	102^B	82	—
6f – 7f	1	—	—	—
1m – 1m1f	1	—	—	—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 81^B the best of the last 3 rated runs · Fontwell, 23 Aug 2018 Official rating 93 at the last jumps run, 10 Sep 2018

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 50^A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Southwell (AW), 13 Mar 2018 Official rating 45 at the last flat run, 24 Mar 2018

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 88^A · median 80.5

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
Good	2	81^B	80.5	—
Soft	1	—	—	—
Good to Firm	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f	2	81^B	80.5	—
1m5f – 2m	2	88^A	77	—

Flat 9 figures · best 64^A · median 50

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)	9	64^A	50	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 5 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f	4	61^A	51.5	—
1m5f – 2m	3	53^A	50	—
6f – 7f	1	—	—	—
1m – 1m1f	1	—	—	—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Rip Van Winkle (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since Apr 2014 (324 horses).

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Firm	19	2	10.5%	+0.4	—
Good to Firm	499	49	9.8%	−0.3	0 from 1
Good	901	82	9.1%	−1	0 from 3
Good to Soft	440	35	8%	−2.1	—
Soft	541	54	10%	−0.1	0 from 1
Heavy	182	20	11%	+0.9	0 from 1
Standard (AW)	1,363	157	11.5%	+1.4	0 from 11

Distance (all codes)	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Under 6f	127	15	11.8%	+1.7	—
6f – 7f	902	101	11.2%	+1.1	0 from 5
1m – 1m1f	976	89	9.1%	−1	0 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f	990	98	9.9%	−0.2	0 from 4
1m5f – 2m	636	66	10.4%	+0.3	0 from 5
2m1f – 2m4f	258	23	8.9%	−1.2	0 from 2
2m5f – 3m	57	7	12.3%	+2.2	—
Over 3m	1	0	0%	−10.1	—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2014 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

Showcall (USA) (Kingmambo)

3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.

Produce	Runs	Win trips	Best grade
Karistar (IRE)	6	—	—
Margoesque (GB)	2	—	—
Kitima (IRE)	2	—	—

Record by conditions

Going	Runs	SR	£1
Standard (AW)	11	0%	−11.00
Good	3	0%	−3.00
Soft	1	0%	−1.00
Good to Firm	1	0%	−1.00
Heavy	1	0%	−1.00

Class	Runs	SR	£1
Class 6	7	0%	−7.00
Class 5	2	0%	−2.00
Class 4	2	0%	−2.00
Class 7	2	0%	−2.00

Course	Runs	SR	£1
Chelmsford City (AW)	3	0%	−3.00
Southwell (AW)	2	0%	−2.00
Deauville (FR)	2	0%	−2.00
Newton Abbot	1	0%	−1.00
Fontwell	1	0%	−1.00
Uttoxeter	1	0%	−1.00
Worcester	1	0%	−1.00
Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0%	−1.00
Lingfield (AW)	1	0%	−1.00
Newcastle (AW)	1	0%	−1.00
Kempton (AW)	1	0%	−1.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)	1	0%	−1.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)	1	0%	−1.00

Distance	Runs	SR	£1
1m5f – 2m	5	0%	−5.00
6f – 7f	5	0%	−5.00
1m2f – 1m4f	4	0%	−4.00
2m1f – 2m4f	2	0%	−2.00
1m – 1m1f	1	0%	−1.00

Jockey	Runs	SR	£1
Poppy Bridgwater	5	0%	−5.00
Tom Scudamore	4	0%	−4.00
Hollie Doyle	1	0%	−1.00
Tom Marquand	1	0%	−1.00
Jimmy Quinn	1	0%	−1.00
George Wood	1	0%	−1.00
Alexis Badel	1	0%	−1.00
Thomas Huet	1	0%	−1.00
Antonio Polli	1	0%	−1.00
Umberto Rispoli	1	0%	−1.00

Headgear	Runs	SR	£1
None	14	0%	−14.00
Cheekpieces	2	0%	−2.00
Hood	1	0%	−1.00

Season	Runs	SR	£1
2018	10	0%	−10.00
2017	5	0%	−5.00
2016	2	0%	−2.00

Type	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Flat	13	0	0%	−13.00
Hurdle	4	0	0%	−4.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

Date	Course	Race	Pos	Btn	Wgt	OR	Spd	KTB	Jockey	SP
2018 · 10 runs
10 Sep 18+18d	Newton Abbot	Racing Partnership Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m1f · Good · 12 ran	9/12	3	11-8	93	73^C	80^C	Tom Scudamore	14/1
23 Aug 18+25d	Fontwell	Josie O'leary Pineapple Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 2m1½f · Good · 9 ran	4/9	½	10-6	—	89^B	81^B	Tom Scudamore	50/1
29 Jul 18+20d	Uttoxeter	Burton Albion Community Trust Mares' Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 2m · Soft · 6 ran	5/6	59	10-8	—	-2^C	66^C	Tom Scudamore	20/1
09 Jul 18+107d	Worcester	7bets4free.com Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) Class 5 · 2m · Good To Firm · 8 ran	4/8	2¾	10-5	—	97^A	88^A	Tom Scudamore	40/1
24 Mar 18+11d	Wolverhampton (AW)	Betway Casino Handicap Class 6 · 1m6f · Standard · 13 ran	9/13	nk	8-3	45	80^C	42^C	Poppy Bridgwater	14/1
13 Mar 18+14d	Southwell (AW)	Betway Live Casino Apprentice Handicap Class 6 · 1m4f · Standard · 9 ran	5/9	1¼	8-4	45	84^A	50^A	Poppy Bridgwater	11/1
27 Feb 18+20d	Chelmsford City (AW)	totepool Bets At totesport.com Handicap Class 7 · 1m5½f · Standard · 8 ran	4/8	2¼	8-7	45	82^B	50^A	Poppy Bridgwater	16/1
07 Feb 18+13d	Chelmsford City (AW)	totetrifecta Pick The 1,2,3 Handicap Class 6 · 1m6f · Standard · 8 ran	2/8	12	8-9	45	102^B	53^A	Hollie Doyle	8/1
25 Jan 18+12d	Southwell (AW)	Betway Casino Handicap Class 6 · 1m4f · Standard · 11 ran	4/11	4½	8-13	47	86^B	61^A	Tom Marquand	25/1
13 Jan 18+27d	Lingfield (AW)	Betway Selling Stakes Class 6 · 1m4f · Standard · 7 ran	3/7	6	8-3	43	96^A	53^A	Poppy Bridgwater	33/1
2017 · 5 runs
17 Dec 17+32d	Chelmsford City (AW)	Bet toteexacta At betfred.com Handicap Class 6 · 1m2f · Standard · 7 ran	4/7	2¼	8-6	45	83^A	47^A	Poppy Bridgwater	16/1
15 Nov 17+22d	Newcastle (AW)	Bet & Watch At Sunbets.co.uk Handicap Class 7 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran	11/14	nk	9-4	50	66^B	47^A	Jimmy Quinn	11/1
24 Oct 17+164d	Kempton (AW)	32Red Casino Handicap Class 6 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 14 ran	7/14	hd	9-0	54	72^B	64^A	George Wood	66/1
13 May 17+32d	Deauville (FR)	Prix de Molay-Littry (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Polytrack) 7½f · Standard · 15 ran	9/15	2½	8-5	—	—	—	Alexis Badel	99/10
11 Apr 17+106d	Saint-Cloud (FR)	Prix de l'Aqueduc (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf) 6½f · Good · 14 ran	9/14	hd	8-8	—	—	—	Thomas Huet	51/1
2016 · 2 runs
26 Dec 16+215d	Deauville (FR)	Prix de Doumy (Handicap) (2yo) (Polytrack) 7½f · Standard · 15 ran	7/15	hd	8-11	—	—	—	Antonio Polli	49/1
25 May 16	Maisons-Laffitte (FR)	Prix Ma Biche (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (Turf) 6f · Heavy · 7 ran	7/7	½	8-7	—	—	—	Umberto Rispoli	28/1

Quick answers

How many races has Reason To Believe won?: Reason To Believe (FR) has yet to win, from 17 archived starts between 2016 and 2018. Placed 1 time in total (5.9% of starts).
Who trained Reason To Believe?: Reason To Believe (FR) was trained by David Bridgwater on the most recent run on record, at Newton Abbot on 10 September 2018.
Who is Reason To Believe's sire?: Reason To Believe (FR) is by Rip Van Winkle (IRE) out of Showcall (USA), whose sire is Kingmambo.
What is Reason To Believe's official rating?: The most recent official rating on record is 93, from the run on 10 September 2018. That is also the highest on record.
What is Reason To Believe's sire's record?: Rip Van Winkle (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since Apr 2014 (324 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Reason To Believe's siblings?: Out of Showcall (USA), Reason To Believe (FR) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

KTB Speed and Rating

Pedigree intelligence

Record by conditions

▾Going

▾Class 13 of 17 runs

▾Course

▾Distance

▾Jockey

▾Headgear

▾Season

▾Type

Form

Quick answers