What is Alexis Badel's strike rate?

Alexis Badel has won 12 of 157 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alexis Badel do best at?

Happy Valley by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 rides (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Alexis Badel's Fair A/E?

0.70, from 85 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alexis Badel

157 rides in the last 5 seasons · 114 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 15 days ago 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

12–157

Wins / Runs

7.6%

Strike rate

n=157

37 (24%)

Placed

0.70

Fair A/E

n=85 · 0.57 incl. margin

−41.70

£1 level stake

n=85 at SP · −49.1%

£2.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them. The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 157 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Happy Valley (11.1%, n=45), clear of the rider's 7.6% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.28). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −24.90 to a £1 stake over 113 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (13.5%, n=52). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 2.6% over 39 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 0.82 across 53 rides (9.4% strike, −4.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 51 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup at Sha Tin (HK) (Oct 2026, £165,329). The standout partner of the record: Iron Spirit (FR) — 6 wins from 37 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.2%−1.4

n=113 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −24.90

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.7%+0.1

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.5%+4.9

n=32 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +11.20

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +0.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.7%−0.9

n=75 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −5.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.6

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 13.5% vs 7.6% · n=52

Off a 15-30-day break 2.6% vs 7.6% · n=39

With first-time headgear 11.4% vs 7.6% · n=35

At Happy Valley 11.1% vs 7.6% · n=45

On Good to Firm going 9.4% vs 7.6% · n=53 · A/E 0.82

On first rides for the horse 6.2% vs 7.6% · n=113 · A/E 0.76

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 156 12 7.7% −41.70

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 62 4 6.5% −28.40

Good to Firm 53 5 9.4% −4.60

Good to Soft 20 1 5% −16.00

Standard (AW) 18 2 11.1% +10.30

Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sha Tin 89 6 6.7% −25.50

Happy Valley 45 5 11.1% −12.40

Deauville (FR) 16 1 6.3% +2.20

Clairefontaine (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Chantilly (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 36 3 8.3% −12.10

Class 3 18 2 11.1% −13.00

Class 5 13 1 7.7% −5.80

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 1 25% 1.00 +0.20

2nd–3rd fav 17 1 5.9% 0.34 −10.60

4th–6th fav 19 2 10.5% 1.23 −4.50

7th+ in betting 45 1 2.2% 0.66 −26.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

All Are Mine (GER) 5 2 3 1 Oct 26

Better And Better (AUS) 4 0 1 1 Oct 26

Romantic Fantasy (IRE) 4 1 1 16 Sep 26

Supreme Winner (AUS) 3 0 1 4 Oct 26

Max Que (AUS) 3 0 0 16 Sep 26

Power Koepp (GB) 3 1 1 9 Sep 26

Precision Hope (NZ) 3 0 2 9 Sep 26

Winning Dragon (CHI) 3 0 0 15 Jul 26

Forerunner (FR) 3 1 2 8 Jul 26

Happy Smile (NZ) 3 0 1 8 Jul 26

Synergy Express (AUS) 3 0 0 27 Jun 26

Night Purosangue (IRE) 2 1 1 4 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 114 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····01056911··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

Jamie Richards 21 2 9.5% −8.00

Y S Tsui 16 2 12.5% +2.10

W K Mo 14 2 14.3% +1.80

F C Lor 13 1 7.7% −5.00

Brett Crawford 10 3 30% +0.20

Mark Newnham 9 1 11.1% −1.00

A S Cruz 9 0 0% −5.00

Douglas Whyte 7 0 0% −5.00

S Cerulis 7 1 14.3% +11.20

J Size 6 0 0% −5.00

D & P Prod'Homme 6 0 0% −6.00

C H Yip 5 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

448

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£14.2m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 63 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Big Return (AUS) — The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap) Sha Tin (HK) · Oct 2026

£165,329

Pope Cody (AUS) — Chung Hom Kok Handicap Happy Valley (HK) · Sep 2026

£165,329

Nonza (FR) — Darley Prix Jean Romanet (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2018 · Group 1

£126,416

Notable horses

Iron Spirit (FR) Norse King (FR) Villa Rosa (FR) Royal Prize (GB) Secret Lady (GB) Golden Legend (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Capitalist (AUS) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2008 (35 horses).

New Bay (GB) 40% · 2–5

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,931 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Shamus Award (AUS) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 11.4% of 35 runs since 2008 (15 horses).

All Too Hard (AUS) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 11.5% of 52 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Almanzor (FR) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,087 runs since 2008 (282 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 145. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13% from 300.

Deep Field (AUS) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2008 (41 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,085 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,085 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2006 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Master Payment (AUS)T: C H Yip Yau Kom Tau Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lahore (AUS)T: Jamie Richards Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Big Return (AUS)T: Jamie Richards The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap)9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 1st —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Forza Leader (AUS)T: Y S Tsui Sham Tseng Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Apolar Fighter (AUS)T: David Eustace The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Night Purosangue (IRE)T: Y S Tsui Sha Tsui Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Supreme Winner (AUS)T: Douglas Whyte Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Sky Vino (AUS)T: C Fownes Muk Min Ha Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Same To You (AUS)T: Mark Newnham Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Blue Baron (NZ)T: Y S Tsui Chai Wan Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Public Attention (NZ)T: Brett Crawford Beijing Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Better And Better (AUS)T: F C Lor Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Victory Champion (AUS)T: F C Lor Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Fluorescence (AUS)T: K L Man Jinan Handicap9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Celestial Zous (AUS)T: Douglas Whyte Hangzhou Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Bottomuptogether (AUS)T: F C Lor The National Day Cup (Handicap)5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) All Are Mine (GER)T: Brett Crawford Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Legendary Impact (NZ)T: Y S Tsui Nanning Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Mr Desira (AUS)T: C Fownes Shanghai Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —

16 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Max Que (AUS)T: Mark Newnham Shek O Handicap8f · Good · 11 ran 11th —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alexis Badel's strike rate?: Alexis Badel has won 12 of 157 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alexis Badel do best at?: Happy Valley by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 rides (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Alexis Badel's Fair A/E?: 0.70, from 85 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.