Red Spells Danger (IRE)
Red Spells Danger is 3 from 15 with all wins at 6f – 7f. He won the Class 2 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint at Ascot on good to firm in Aug 2026 off 92, the Class 4 Sun's 'Save Our Bets' Handicap at Hamilton on good in May 2026 off 79, and the Class 4 British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes at Ripon on good in May 2026 off 79. Each success came on his first visit to the course. He finished 15 of 21 in the Class 2 Sky Bet Sprint Trophy Handicap Stakes at York in Oct 2026 off 97.
- 3–15Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 7 (46.7%)Placed
- −7.69£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 1.08Fair A/E n=15 · 0.89 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 32dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 117
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 117B | 105.5 | 4 runs · 117 / 110 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 114C | 105.5 | 3 runs · 114 / 112 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 98C | 87 | 2 runs · 98 / 87 |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 117B | 99 | 11 runs · 117 / 104 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Jul 2025
- Prominent 5 (38%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 4 (31%) · 2 wins
- Held up 3 (23%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (8%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 3,947 runs since Mar 2021 (389 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.6% from 1,416. Weakest on soft going: 7.1% from 425.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | +27 | — |
| Good to Firm | 621 | 78 | 12.6% | +1.1 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 1,050 | 92 | 8.8% | −2.7 | 2 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 318 | 29 | 9.1% | −2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 425 | 30 | 7.1% | −4.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 104 | 11 | 10.6% | −0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,416 | 207 | 14.6% | +3.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 813 | 111 | 13.7% | +2.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,031 | 225 | 11.1% | −0.4 | 3 from 15 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 726 | 77 | 10.6% | −0.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 304 | 35 | 11.5% | 0 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 49 | 1 | 2% | −9.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | +1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Gloryous (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m2f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Gloryous (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloryous (IRE) | 19 | 3 | 1m2f–1m4f | Class 4 |
| Lang Toon Lad (IRE) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 2 | 33% | −1.69 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −7.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.31 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Ripon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.06 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Allan | 12 | 2 | 17% | −7.69 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Sean Kirrane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Duran Fentiman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 3 | 27% | −3.69 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 26+21d | York | Sky Bet Sprint Trophy Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Travelled on the stand rails - among the backmarkers until urged 2f out - always out the back and beaten 15th | 15/21 | 1½ | 9-4 | 97 | 98C | 92A | David Allan | 40/1 |
| 19 Sep 26+28d | Ayr | Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Settled up with pace on the far flank - held a share of the lead - lost ground inside final furlong - eventually well held in 20th | 20/24 | nk | 8-12 | 98 | 75C | 71A | David Allan | 16/1 |
| 22 Aug 26+14d | York | Sky Bet Constantine Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Settled towards the back on the near flank early - never featured and stayed off the pace throughout - finished well held in 17th | 17/20 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 98 | 76C | 78A | David Allan | 18/1 |
| 08 Aug 26+14d | Ascot | Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Class 2 Handicap) Settled midfield early - moved through and hit front with a furlong left - driven out to score comfortably | 1/9 | 9-11 | 92 | 99B | 115A | Saffie Osborne | 2/1J | |
| 25 Jul 26+16d | York | Sky Bet Dash (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Up with the front group early - driven and drifted right into second a furlong out - dropped back at one effort inside the final furlong to finish fifth | 5/21 | ½ | 9-0 | 93 | 114C | 108A | David Allan | 4/1 |
| 09 Jul 26+26d | Newmarket | Betway Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Close up early - asked for effort with 1f left - well positioned entering the final furlong but found nothing more towards the line | 4/13 | hd | 9-1 | 93 | 112C | 104A | David Allan | 5/1 |
| 13 Jun 26+27d | York | Churchill Tyres Supporting Macmillan Sprint Handicap Settled in the pack early - urged forward approaching 2f out - made ground inside final furlong - moved into second in the closing stages - closed on leader but denied by a short margin | 2/22 | ½ | 8-9 | 89 | 102C | 111A | David Allan | 7/2F |
| 17 May 26+9d | Hamilton | Sun's 'Save Our Bets' Handicap Settled around midfield early - began to close ground with a furlong and a half left - pushed along approaching the furlong marker - hit the front inside the final furlong - pulled clear to the line under no pressure | 1/14 | 9-3 | 79 | 111C | 111A | David Allan | 9/4F | |
| 08 May 26+15d | Ripon | British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Tracked the pace - moved to the front approaching final furlong then quickened away without pressure - won cosily | 1/6 | 9-6 | 79 | 117B | 99B | David Allan | 1/16F | |
| 23 Apr 26+15d | Southwell (AW) | Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Jinked left at the outset - fought for control early - tracked in touch - upped tempo on the front pair 2f out - shaken up to go clear inside the last two furlongs - overtaken approaching the final furlong and unable to fight back | 2/9 | 1½ | 9-1 | 79 | 104A | 79A | Sean Kirrane | 11/10F |
| 08 Apr 26+180d | Catterick | Visit racingtv.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace early - pressed and pushed clear approaching 2f out - driven with a furlong left - overtaken close home and unable to fight back | 2/11 | 1¾ | 9-2 | 79 | 109A | 88A | David Allan | 11/4 |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 25+20d | York | British EBF 100,000 Final (Colts And Geldings) Squeezed for space at the break - settled towards the back - made progress under two furlongs out before flattening out inside the final furlong | 6/14 | 2¼ | 8-10 | 81 | 82C | 85A | Duran Fentiman | 14/1 |
| 20 Sep 25+29d | Ayr | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sat behind front group - urged forward with 2f left before pressing for the lead inside the final furlong - stayed on to finish third | 3/7 | ¾ | 9-4 | — | 52A | 90A | David Allan | 13/2 |
| 22 Aug 25+28d | York | British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Held up towards the back - improved into contention over 2f out - unable to find more inside the final furlong | 6/13 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 72C | 90A | David Allan | 33/1 |
| 25 Jul 25 | York | IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start - settled among the pack - made progress two out - shifted left approaching the furlong marker - moved into third and stayed on to finish 3rd | 3/16 | ¾ | 9-4 | — | 65C | 75A | David Allan | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Red Spells Danger won?
- Red Spells Danger (IRE) won 3 of 15 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 7 times in total (46.7% of starts).
- Who trains Red Spells Danger?
- Red Spells Danger (IRE) is trained by Tim Easterby, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 October 2026.
- Who is Red Spells Danger's sire?
- Red Spells Danger (IRE) is by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Saikung (IRE), whose sire is Acclamation.
- What going does Red Spells Danger prefer?
- Red Spells Danger (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Red Spells Danger's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 10 October 2026. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Red Spells Danger's sire's record?
- Cotai Glory (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 3,947 runs since Mar 2021 (389 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.6% from 1,416. Weakest on soft going: 7.1% from 425.
- Who are Red Spells Danger's siblings?
- Out of Saikung (IRE), Red Spells Danger (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Gloryous (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Gloryous (IRE)). The wins came over 1m2f–1m4f. As at Nov 2026.