What is Tim Easterby's strike rate?

Tim Easterby has won 601 of 6,800 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tim Easterby do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 31 wins from 218 runners (14.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tim Easterby?

David Allan, with 2,583 runners since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 276 (10.7%).

Is Tim Easterby in form?

In the last 14 days: 68 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 7.4%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.8% since 2022.

What is Tim Easterby's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 6,760 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tim Easterby

6,800 runners in the last 5 seasons · 509 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.3% of 1,453 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 19 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

601–6,800

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=6,800

1,869 (28%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=6,760 · 0.78 incl. margin

−2,360.25

£1 level stake

n=6,800 at SP · −34.7%

£8.84m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 1,360 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). In Group and Graded company the record reads 15% (69 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 6,800 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 29.1% when favourite David Allan: 10.7% from 2,583 Claiming riders: 9.1% Group/Graded: 14.5% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (14.2%, n=218), clear of the yard's 8.8% baseline. It is weakest at York (2.5% over 512 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 14.5% (n=69, Fair A/E 1.65), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.8% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.30). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −254.42 to a £1 stake over 665 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Allan rides 38% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 0.90). 40 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £283,550). The stable star of the record: Copper Knight (IRE) — 19 wins from 122 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−4.0

n=665 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −254.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.8%−7.0

n=56 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −49.50

Debutants · first career start

3%−5.8

n=330 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −150.88

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−2.1

n=210 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −119.57

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.1%−0.7

n=62 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −39.88

When favourite

29.1%

n=505 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −58.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.1%+0.3

n=839 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −285.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.5%+5.7

n=69 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +34.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At York 2.5% vs 8.8% · n=512

With debutants 3% vs 8.8% · n=330

With Jason Hart 16% vs 8.8% · n=75

With Phil Dennis 16% vs 8.8% · n=75

At Hamilton 14.2% vs 8.8% · n=218

With new recruits 1.8% vs 8.8% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 6,489 572 8.8% −2,265.41

Hurdle 187 14 7.5% −46.85

Chase 100 13 13% −31.99

NH Flat 24 2 8.3% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 2,327 217 9.3% −825.00

Good to Firm 1,461 112 7.7% −640.88

Good to Soft 1,089 95 8.7% −367.50

Soft 930 90 9.7% −232.29

Standard (AW) 739 60 8.1% −241.06

Heavy 254 27 10.6% −53.52

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ripon 618 70 11.3% −161.96

Redcar 569 48 8.4% −211.63

Thirsk 541 32 5.9% −247.92

Beverley 519 47 9.1% −197.19

York 512 13 2.5% −384.50

Catterick 501 62 12.4% −98.72

Newcastle (AW) 407 32 7.9% −131.83

Carlisle 361 32 8.9% −114.34

Pontefract 349 36 10.3% −108.76

Ayr 277 22 7.9% −72.20

Southwell (AW) 270 27 10% −51.73

Doncaster 251 16 6.4% −81.50

Haydock 223 17 7.6% −88.76

Hamilton 218 31 14.2% −48.99

Musselburgh 214 27 12.6% −75.06

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,113 195 9.2% −723.81

Class 4 1,750 140 8% −703.61

Class 6 1,670 190 11.4% −327.68

Class 2 602 29 4.8% −328.24

Class 3 596 37 6.2% −311.61

Class 1 69 10 14.5% +34.70

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 624 167 26.8% 1.02 −101.16

2nd–3rd fav 1,388 226 16.3% 1.00 −244.09

4th–6th fav 2,181 145 6.6% 0.80 −685.00

7th+ in betting 2,607 63 2.4% 0.71 −1,330.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Poet's Dawn (GB) 80 11 28 3 Oct 26

Jewel Maker (IRE)from D K Weld 77 9 19 3 Oct 26

Little Ted (GB) 72 7 25 10 Oct 26

Albegone (GB) 71 9 28 12 Oct 26

Count D'orsay (IRE)from Charles O'Brien 67 6 18 27 Oct 25

Copper Knight (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 65 9 19 9 Oct 26

Temper Trap (GB) 64 10 20 18 Sep 25

Garden Oasis (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute 58 7 19 5 Oct 26

Bay Breeze (GB) 57 9 18 13 Oct 26

Spirit Of Applause (GB) 56 5 22 1 Oct 26

Canaria Queen (GB) 55 8 21 12 Oct 26

Sunny Orange (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 55 4 18 3 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 509 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 28 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charles Hills (2) and Hugo Palmer (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 68 7.4% · −1.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days7.4%

5-season base8.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

5101078999119610

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Allan

38% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 0.90

RiderRWSR£1

David Allan 2,583 276 10.7% −752.28

Duran Fentiman 1,280 70 5.5% −526.31

Sean Kirrane 946 97 10.3% −321.36

James Sullivan 227 14 6.2% −28.84

Jake Dickson 159 20 12.6% −56.10

Cam Hardie 145 8 5.5% −65.25

Jamie Hamilton 121 10 8.3% −63.75

Amie Waugh 105 3 2.9% −47.00

Mr William Easterby 92 13 14.1% +34.16

Brandon Wilkie 76 5 6.6% −40.12

Jason Hart 75 12 16% +19.25

Phil Dennis 75 12 16% +28.54

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,141

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£26.6m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 150 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Art Power (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Group 1

£283,550

Winter Power (IRE) — Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) York · Aug 2021 · Group 1

£226,840

Midnight Martini (GB) — Dbs 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2009 · Class 2

£147,720

Notable horses

Copper Knight (IRE) Poet's Dawn (GB) Ryedane (IRE) Temper Trap (GB) Garden Oasis (GB) Malcheek (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 8.8% · 19–216

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,220 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Kodiac (GB) 9.4% · 20–212

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,530 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.2% · 17–207

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,911 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Ardad (IRE) 8.2% · 14–170

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,499 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 9.8% · 15–153

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,216 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Profitable (IRE) 9.2% · 13–142

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,407 runs since 2008 (356 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 23,375 · newest first

The latest 50 of 23,375 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Catterick Bollin Neil (GB)J: Shay Farmer Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 9th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Marbuzet (GB)J: Jake Dickson Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Miraculous (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Vince Le Prince (GB)J: David Allan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/4F

17 Oct 26 Catterick Quest For Fun (GB)J: Sean Kirrane William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 4th 100/30

17 Oct 26 Catterick Brighton Boy (IRE)J: David Allan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 3/1F

17 Oct 26 Catterick Mister Sox (GB)J: Sean Kirrane William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Manila Scouse (GB)J: Duran Fentiman William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 28/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Golden West (GB)J: David Allan Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Stoneacre Joe (GB)J: David Allan Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Leading Times (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 7/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Kitsune Power (IRE)J: Miss Rebecca Burley Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 12th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Sweet Kiss (GB)J: Miss Amy Collier Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 1st 100/30F

16 Oct 26 Haydock Stirrup Cup (GB)J: David Allan Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Triple P (GB)J: Duran Fentiman racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 15th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock I'm Next (GB)J: David Allan Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 17/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Hares Bredth (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 4th 20/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Hanney Girl (GB)J: Jake Dickson Sam Hall Memorial Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 5/2F

16 Oct 26 Redcar Classyfied (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Bearing In Time (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 10th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Easterby's strike rate?: Tim Easterby has won 601 of 6,800 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Easterby do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 31 wins from 218 runners (14.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Easterby?: David Allan, with 2,583 runners since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 276 (10.7%).
Is Tim Easterby in form?: In the last 14 days: 68 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 7.4%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.8% since 2022.
What is Tim Easterby's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 6,760 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.