Rising Bay (IRE)
Rising Bay is a Kingman filly out of a New Approach mare who has yet to win in six starts and has placed once. Her best effort came when second of nine at Redcar in Sep 2023 in a Class 5 maiden. She raced off an official rating of 75 that day, which was 3 lb below her highest ever mark of 78. All five of her runs at 1m to 1m1f have been unplaced.
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (16.7%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=6 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 78Highest OR
- 64dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 113A | 93 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 87A | 83 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 87A | 79 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.5% of 7,488 runs since Jan 2008 (775 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | −6.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,201 | 201 | 16.7% | +2.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 1,684 | 240 | 14.3% | −0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 911 | 123 | 13.5% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 961 | 106 | 11% | −3.5 | — |
| Heavy | 294 | 36 | 12.2% | −2.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2,424 | 382 | 15.8% | +1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 275 | 39 | 14.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,630 | 386 | 14.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,575 | 397 | 15.4% | +0.9 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,490 | 218 | 14.6% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 362 | 36 | 9.9% | −4.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 121 | 11 | 9.1% | −5.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | −8.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −14.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Lord Capulet (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 6½f–1m; the highest grade won is Group 1 (Rosallion (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lord Capulet (IRE) | 20 | 6 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Rosallion (IRE) | 13 | 5 | 6½f–1m | Group 1 |
| Needle Lace (GB) | 8 | 1 | 1m | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P J McDonald | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Sep 23+88d | Redcar | racingtv.com/freetrial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/9 | 4 | 9-2 | 75 | 113A | 83A | P J McDonald | 4/1 |
| 01 Jul 23+14d | Newmarket | Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap | 4/5 | 4¼ | 9-1 | 76 | 81C | 68B | Rob Hornby | 15/2 |
| 17 Jun 23+40d | Sandown | Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Fillies' Handicap | 6/7 | hd | 9-7 | 78 | 73A | 73A | Oisin Murphy | 11/2 |
| 08 May 23+19d | Newcastle (AW) | Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/8 | ½ | 9-2 | — | 87A | 60A | P J McDonald | 9/2 |
| 19 Apr 23+161d | Newmarket | Bet365 European Breeders' Fund Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/16 | ½ | 9-2 | — | 77C | 83A | Oisin Murphy | 16/1 |
| 2022 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 09 Nov 22 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 8/14 | 1¾ | 9-2 | — | 79B | 69A | David Probert | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Rising Bay won?
- Rising Bay (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2022 and 2023. Placed 1 time in total (16.7% of starts).
- Who trained Rising Bay?
- Rising Bay (IRE) was trained by Andrew Balding on the most recent run on record, at Redcar on 27 September 2023.
- Who is Rising Bay's sire?
- Rising Bay (IRE) is by Kingman (GB) out of Rosaline (IRE), whose sire is New Approach.
- What is Rising Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 75, from the run on 27 September 2023. The highest on record is 78.
- What is Rising Bay's sire's record?
- Kingman (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.5% of 7,488 runs since Jan 2008 (775 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
- Who are Rising Bay's siblings?
- Out of Rosaline (IRE), Rising Bay (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Lord Capulet (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Group 1 (Rosallion (IRE)). The wins came over 6½f–1m. As at Oct 2026.