Settle For Bay (FR)
Settle For Bay (FR) is 7 from 30. Hasn't won since Dec 2020. Last raced off 80, 26lb below the career-high mark.
- 7–30Wins / Runs
- 23.3%Strike rate
- 8 (26.7%)Placed
- +28.46£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 2.38Fair A/E n=30 · 1.96 incl. margin
- 106Highest OR
- 64dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 12 | 115B | 100.5 | — |
| Good | 7 | 116C | 93 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 80C | 76 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 58C | 56.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 94C | 80.5 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 17 | 115B | 94 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 116C | 93 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 28 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 27 figures from 28 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 1,510 runs since Jan 2008 (152 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 4.8% from 252.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +39.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 68 | 10 | 14.7% | +4.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 214 | 19 | 8.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 223 | 29 | 13% | +2.7 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 252 | 12 | 4.8% | −5.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 85 | 2 | 2.4% | −7.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 665 | 82 | 12.3% | +2 | 5 from 13 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 40 | 6 | 15% | +4.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 375 | 36 | 9.6% | −0.7 | 1 from 11 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 586 | 71 | 12.1% | +1.8 | 6 from 18 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 376 | 36 | 9.6% | −0.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 80 | 6 | 7.5% | −2.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 48 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Lettheriverrundry (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m2f–2m2½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Lettheriverrundry (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lettheriverrundry (IRE) | 19 | 2 | 2m–2m2½f | Class 4 |
| Prosecute (FR) | 27 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 5 |
| Pearl Of Romance (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Alpatkinoss (FR) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Queen Bay (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Theok (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 13 | 5 | 38% | +11.46 |
| Good | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +15.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 13 | 5 | 38% | +11.46 |
| Leopardstown | 7 | 1 | 14% | +10.00 |
| Naas | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 1 | 50% | +15.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 18 | 6 | 33% | +23.46 |
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 1 | 9% | +6.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Orr | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Donagh O'Connor | 8 | 4 | 50% | +10.96 |
| W J Lee | 6 | 1 | 17% | +11.00 |
| Pat Smullen | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Shane Foley | 2 | 1 | 50% | +15.00 |
| Gavin Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Davis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Breslin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 27 | 7 | 26% | +31.46 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2020 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −0.50 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2018 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +16.38 |
| 2017 | 7 | 4 | 57% | +26.58 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 21+22d | Leopardstown | Plusvital Handicap (50-80) | 16/17 | 2 | 10-2 | 80 | 76C | 63C | Oisin Orr | 50/1 |
| 21 Jul 21+48d | Naas | Naas Racecourse Handicap | 9/9 | 3¼ | 9-6 | 82 | 87A | 65A | Oisin Orr | 16/1 |
| 03 Jun 21+27d | Leopardstown | Monkstown Handicap | 11/12 | 1½ | 9-4 | 84 | 88A | 68A | Oisin Orr | 14/1 |
| 07 May 21+70d | Cork | Mallow Handicap | 7/20 | ¾ | 8-12 | 86 | 116C | 86A | Oisin Orr | 40/1 |
| 26 Feb 21+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap | 4/13 | ½ | 10-6 | 86 | 105B | 99A | Oisin Orr | 7/2J |
| 12 Feb 21+21d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap | 4/13 | hd | 9-10 | 86 | 115B | 92A | Oisin Orr | 14/1 |
| 22 Jan 21+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap | 11/14 | ¾ | 9-13 | 87 | 95B | 78A | Donagh O'Connor | 2/1F |
| 18 Dec 20+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Hotel Leading Jockey & Trainer Awards Handicap | 7/12 | shd | 9-1 | 88 | 101A | 81A | Oisin Orr | 9/2J |
| 04 Dec 20+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Test Your Tipping Talents At PUNTERS.HOLLYWOODBETS.COM Every Dundalk Meeting Handicap | 1/10 | 8-12 | 82 | 108A | 91A | Oisin Orr | 9/2 | |
| 20 Nov 20+103d | Dundalk (AW) | Test Your Tipping Talents At PUNTERS.HOLLYWOODBETS.COM Every Dundalk Meeting Rated Race | 4/13 | ½ | 9-3 | 82 | 100B | 84A | Donagh O'Connor | 25/1 |
| 09 Aug 20+28d | Curragh | Guinness Handicap | 14/16 | 2¾ | 9-11 | 93 | 80C | 74A | Donagh O'Connor | 66/1 |
| 12 Jul 20+21d | Cork | Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Habitat' Handicap (Premier Handicap) | 12/16 | 4½ | 9-6 | 96 | 73C | 67A | Gavin Ryan | 20/1 |
| 21 Jun 20+184d | Leopardstown | TRI Equestrian Handicap | 10/13 | nk | 10-1 | 96 | 97C | 89A | W J Lee | 20/1 |
| 20 Dec 19+184d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Awards 2019 Handicap | 8/12 | nk | 9-6 | 99 | 104A | 90A | W J Lee | 5/1J |
| 19 Jun 19+13d | Ascot | Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) | 27/28 | hd | 9-5 | 105 | 58C | 70C | W J Lee | 20/1 |
| 06 Jun 19+18d | Leopardstown | Holden Plant Rentals Glencairn Stakes (Listed) | 4/9 | 1¾ | 9-9 | 105 | 108A | 90A | W J Lee | 12/1 |
| 19 May 19+333d | Naas | Owenstown Stud Stakes (Listed) | 8/8 | 3 | 9-11 | 106 | 67A | 71A | W J Lee | 7/1 |
| 20 Jun 18+38d | Ascot | Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) | 1/30 | 9-1 | 99 | 94C | 114A | W J Lee | 16/1 | |
| 13 May 18+107d | Leopardstown | John R Fitzpatrick Agricultural Contractor Handicap | 4/16 | ¾ | 9-11 | 99 | 93C | 102A | Donagh O'Connor | 16/1 |
| 26 Jan 18+35d | Dundalk (AW) | D Hotel, Drogheda Handicap | 1/8 | 9-7 | 91 | 105A | 95A | Donagh O'Connor | 11/8F | |
| 22 Dec 17+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Apprentice Rated Race | 1/13 | 9-9 | 79 | 94B | 103A | Donagh O'Connor | 10/3 | |
| 17 Nov 17+16d | Dundalk (AW) | Floodlit Friday Nights Rated Race | 1/14 | 8-9 | 75 | 92B | 83A | Donagh O'Connor | 11/4F | |
| 01 Nov 17+19d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap | 1/13 | 9-6 | 76 | 97B | 90A | Donagh O'Connor | 15/2 | |
| 13 Oct 17+23d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Handicap | 5/14 | ½ | 9-9 | 76 | 89B | 73A | Sean Davis | 25/1 |
| 20 Sep 17+133d | Fairyhouse | Your Clubs Fundraiser At Fairyhouse, Enquire Today Apprentice Handicap | 15/17 | 3¾ | 9-9 | 76 | -1C | 52C | Andrew Breslin | 20/1 |
| 10 May 17+32d | Dundalk (AW) | Light Up Your Night At Dundalk Stadium Handicap | PU/6 | — | 9-6 | 76 | — | — | Shane Foley | 5/2 |
| 08 Apr 17+199d | Leopardstown | Leopardstown Family Raceday Handicap | 1/11 | 8-8 | 69 | 73A | 73A | Shane Foley | 16/1 | |
| 21 Sep 16+37d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden (Plus 10) | 6/10 | 4 | 9-5 | — | 55A | 61A | Pat Smullen | 20/1 |
| 15 Aug 16+25d | Roscommon | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Auction Race (Plus 10) | 6/7 | hd | 9-1 | — | — | 56A | Pat Smullen | 6/1 |
| 21 Jul 16 | Leopardstown | Frank Conroy E.B.F. Maiden | 5/8 | ½ | 9-5 | — | — | 77A | Pat Smullen | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Settle For Bay (FR) won?
- Settle For Bay (FR) won 7 of 30 archived starts between 2016 and 2021, a strike rate of 23.3%. Placed 8 times in total (26.7% of starts).
- Who trained Settle For Bay (FR)?
- Settle For Bay (FR) was trained by David Marnane on the most recent run on record, at Leopardstown on 12 August 2021.
- Who is Settle For Bay (FR)'s sire?
- Settle For Bay (FR) is by Rio de La Plata (USA) out of Dissitation (IRE), whose sire is Spectrum.
- What going does Settle For Bay (FR) prefer?
- Settle For Bay (FR) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 5 wins from 13 starts (38.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Settle For Bay (FR)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 80, from the run on 12 August 2021. The highest on record is 106.
- What is Settle For Bay (FR)'s sire's record?
- Rio de La Plata (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 1,510 runs since Jan 2008 (152 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 4.8% from 252.
- Who are Settle For Bay (FR)'s siblings?
- Out of Dissitation (IRE), Settle For Bay (FR) has 6 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Lettheriverrundry (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Lettheriverrundry (IRE)). The wins came over 1m2f–2m2½f. As at Oct 2026.