Sean Davis
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78).
The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −85.50 to a £1 stake over 135 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sean Davis supplies 27% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.9%, A/E 0.66). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (16.1%, n=31). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 46 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.34 across 58 rides (1.7% strike, −55.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,033 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,033 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2015 to 7 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sean Davis's strike rate?
- Sean Davis has won 12 of 255 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sean Davis do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 90 rides (4.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Sean Davis ride most for?
- Sean Davis, with 70 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.9%).
- What is Sean Davis's Fair A/E?
- 0.78, from 254 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.