Seymour Promise (IRE)
Seymour Promise (IRE) is 1 from 25, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Apr 2024. Last raced off 81, 23lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–25Wins / Runs
- 4%Strike rate
- 6 (24%)Placed
- −14.00£1 level staken=25 at SP
- 0.45Fair A/E n=25 · 0.39 incl. margin
- 104Highest OR
- 66dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 85
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 131A | 82.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 133B | 77 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 65A | 62.5 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 86A | 72 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 131A | 85 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 65A | 61 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 133B | 109.5 | — |
Of 25 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: did not complete (4) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 18 figures from 25 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 38 | 0 | 0% | −11.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 522 | 50 | 9.6% | −2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 4,048 | 441 | 10.9% | −0.9 | 0 from 12 |
| Good to Soft | 2,928 | 353 | 12.1% | +0.3 | 0 from 6 |
| Soft | 5,875 | 751 | 12.8% | +1 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 3,814 | 449 | 11.8% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 42 | 2 | 4.8% | −7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −11.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 25 | 1 | 4% | −7.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4,483 | 547 | 12.2% | +0.4 | 0 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6,074 | 723 | 11.9% | +0.1 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5,252 | 622 | 11.8% | 0 | 1 from 6 |
| Over 3m | 1,431 | 153 | 10.7% | −1.1 | 0 from 9 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Mahler's Promise (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m½f–2m7½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Mahler's Promise (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahler's Promise (IRE) | 22 | 4 | 2m½f–2m5½f | Class 3 |
| Nt Field Minnesota (IRE) | 12 | 2 | 2m5½f–2m7½f | — |
| Avalon Beach (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 2m1f | Class 4 |
| Golden Promise (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 17 | 1 | 6% | −6.00 |
| Class 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Abbot | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Wincanton | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Exeter | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Huntingdon | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Taunton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +9.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 1 | 17% | +5.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Gingell | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Harry Kimber | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Brendan Powell | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Robbie Power | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mr Liam Trott | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Harry Cobden | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Scudamore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 7 | 1 | 14% | +4.00 |
| None | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Tongue tie | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +4.00 |
| 2023 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 13 | 1 | 8% | −2.00 |
| Hurdle | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Seymour Promise (IRE) won?
- Seymour Promise (IRE) won 1 of 25 archived starts between 2020 and 2024, a strike rate of 4%. Placed 6 times in total (24% of starts).
- Who trained Seymour Promise (IRE)?
- Seymour Promise (IRE) was trained by Joe Tizzard on the most recent run on record, at Newton Abbot on 5 June 2024.
- Who is Seymour Promise (IRE)'s sire?
- Seymour Promise (IRE) is by Flemensfirth (USA) out of Loadsapromise (IRE), whose sire is Brian Boru.
- What going does Seymour Promise (IRE) prefer?
- Seymour Promise (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Seymour Promise (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 81, from the run on 5 June 2024. The highest on record is 104.
- What is Seymour Promise (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Flemensfirth (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since Jan 2008 (1,594 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Seymour Promise (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Loadsapromise (IRE), Seymour Promise (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Mahler's Promise (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Mahler's Promise (IRE)). The wins came over 2m½f–2m7½f. As at Oct 2026.