Mahler's Promise (IRE)
Mahler's Promise won four of 22 starts on turf between Jun 2019 and Jul 2022. Two of those wins came over 2m5f – 3m in handicap chases on good and good to soft ground, at Market Rasen in Jun 2022 and at Newton Abbot in Jun 2021, both off a mark of 122. He also won a maiden hurdle at Newbury on soft ground and a bumper at Market Rasen on good ground. Aged 7 at his last run in Jul 2022, he contested the Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase at Market Rasen off an official rating of 127.
- 4–22Wins / Runs
- 18.2%Strike rate
- 8 (36.4%)Placed
- +26.70£1 level staken=22 at SP
- 1.47Fair A/E n=22 · 1.29 incl. margin
- 127Highest OR
- 33dBetween runs (median)longest 236 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 119
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 123A | 102 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 91C | 59 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 123A | 95 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 120B | 111 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 85C | 69.5 | — |
Of 22 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (4) · did not complete (3).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 22 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since Sep 2014 (787 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 119 | 18 | 15.1% | +4.3 | — |
| Good | 2,974 | 378 | 12.7% | +1.9 | 2 from 11 |
| Good to Soft | 1,818 | 179 | 9.8% | −1 | 1 from 6 |
| Soft | 2,742 | 259 | 9.4% | −1.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 1,214 | 124 | 10.2% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 1 | 10% | −0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 16 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,049 | 199 | 9.7% | −1.1 | 2 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3,212 | 324 | 10.1% | −0.7 | 0 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,826 | 341 | 12.1% | +1.3 | 2 from 6 |
| Over 3m | 769 | 95 | 12.4% | +1.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Sep 2014 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Nt Field Minnesota (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m1f–2m7½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Avalon Beach (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nt Field Minnesota (IRE) | 12 | 2 | 2m5½f–2m7½f | — |
| Avalon Beach (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 2m1f | Class 4 |
| Seymour Promise (IRE) | 25 | 1 | 2m7f | Class 5 |
| Golden Promise (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 11 | 2 | 18% | −0.30 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +31.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.80 |
| Class 4 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +32.00 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Rasen | 3 | 2 | 67% | +7.70 |
| Sandown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newbury | 3 | 1 | 33% | +31.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 2 | 25% | +32.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.20 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheal Nolan | 9 | 2 | 22% | −0.80 |
| Kevin Jones | 4 | 1 | 25% | +30.00 |
| Jeremiah McGrath | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| Sean Houlihan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richie McLernon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.80 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.00 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2019 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +36.50 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 11 | 2 | 18% | −2.80 |
| Hurdle | 9 | 1 | 11% | +25.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Mahler's Promise won?
- Mahler's Promise (IRE) won 4 of 22 archived starts between 2019 and 2022, a strike rate of 18.2%. Placed 8 times in total (36.4% of starts).
- Who trained Mahler's Promise?
- Mahler's Promise (IRE) was trained by Seamus Mullins on the most recent run on record, at Market Rasen on 16 July 2022.
- Who is Mahler's Promise's sire?
- Mahler's Promise (IRE) is by Mahler (GB) out of Loadsapromise (IRE), whose sire is Brian Boru.
- What going does Mahler's Promise prefer?
- Mahler's Promise (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Mahler's Promise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 127, from the run on 16 July 2022. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Mahler's Promise's sire's record?
- Mahler (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since Sep 2014 (787 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
- Who are Mahler's Promise's siblings?
- Out of Loadsapromise (IRE), Mahler's Promise (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Nt Field Minnesota (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Avalon Beach (IRE)). The wins came over 2m1f–2m7½f. As at Nov 2026.