Freddie Gingell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 130 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 26% (113 rides). Rides mostly for Joe Tizzard — 43% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Fontwell (34.3%, n=35), clear of the rider's 19.1% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (6.7% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25.7% (n=113, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.9% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.64). Joe Tizzard supplies 43% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (18.6%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (28.8%, n=205). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 7% over 57 rides, 12.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.84 across 132 rides (12.1% strike, −51.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2024, £84,405). The standout partner of the record: Copperhead (GB) — 5 wins from 16 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 19.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 640 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 640 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 January 2022 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Freddie Gingell's strike rate?
- Freddie Gingell has won 122 of 640 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 19.1% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Freddie Gingell do best at?
- Fontwell by strike rate: 12 wins from 35 rides (34.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Freddie Gingell ride most for?
- Joe Tizzard, with 274 rides since 2022 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (18.6%).
- Is Freddie Gingell in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Freddie Gingell's Fair A/E?
- 1.12, from 638 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.