Shoulda Lied (IRE)
Shoulda Lied (IRE) is 2 from 17. Hasn't won since Jul 2019. Both wins came on good or faster ground (0 from 5 on softer). Each win came on a first visit to the course. Last raced off 63, 58lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–17Wins / Runs
- 11.8%Strike rate
- 6 (35.3%)Placed
- −9.25£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 0.96Fair A/E n=17 · 0.77 incl. margin
- 121Highest OR
- 89dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 134
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 134A | 99 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 109C | 98 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 115C | 98 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 101C | 88 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 14 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.6% of 2,714 runs since Jan 2008 (217 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 12 | 0 | 0% | −9.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 373 | 33 | 8.8% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 541 | 48 | 8.9% | −0.7 | 2 from 10 |
| Good to Soft | 272 | 27 | 9.9% | +0.3 | — |
| Soft | 393 | 39 | 9.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 123 | 14 | 11.4% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,000 | 99 | 9.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 110 | 11 | 10% | +0.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 854 | 86 | 10.1% | +0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 774 | 61 | 7.9% | −1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 634 | 63 | 9.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 204 | 24 | 11.8% | +2.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 98 | 11 | 11.2% | +1.6 | 2 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | −0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | +2.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Bon Nuit (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f–1m; the highest grade won is Listed (Bon Nuit (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bon Nuit (IRE) | 18 | 1 | 1m | Listed |
| To The Max (IRE) | 13 | 1 | 6f | Class 4 |
| So Devoted (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 6f | — |
| Top Set (IRE) | 34 | 0 | — | — |
| Moholoholo (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Dashin Duke (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 10 | 2 | 20% | −2.25 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellewstown | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.75 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Smullen | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Paul Townend | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Andrew Slattery | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Orr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Mullins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| 2017 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 13 | 1 | 8% | −9.25 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul 20+7d | Bellewstown | Bellewstown Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 12/12 | 3¼ | 9-11 | 63 | 60C | 58C | Andrew Slattery | 66/1 |
| 25 Jun 20+342d | Fairyhouse | Meath Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 14/15 | 1¼ | 10-1 | 64 | 101C | 60C | Oisin Orr | 33/1 |
| 19 Jul 19+15d | Killarney | Tote Handicap | 1/9 | 8-13 | 56 | 134A | 78A | Colin Keane | 11/4F | |
| 04 Jul 19+83d | Bellewstown | Hennessy & Perozzi Handicap (45-65) | 4/16 | 2½ | 9-12 | 57 | 97C | 72A | Wayne Lordan | 8/1 |
| 12 Apr 19+256d | Ballinrobe | BetVictor Handicap Hurdle | PU/12 | — | 11-8 | 121 | — | — | Paul Townend | 8/1 |
| 30 Jul 18+25d | Galway | Galmont.com & Galwaybayhotel.com Novice Hurdle | PU/11 | — | 11-7 | — | — | — | David Mullins | 15/2 |
| 05 Jul 18+18d | Tipperary | Buy Online At TipperaryRaces Maiden Hurdle | 1/20 | 11-0 | — | — | 127A | Paul Townend | 3/1J | |
| 17 Jun 18+257d | Downpatrick | Bet Now With The Ladbrokes App Maiden Hurdle | 4/11 | 5 | 11-5 | — | 85A | 108A | Paul Townend | 4/1 |
| 03 Oct 17+18d | Dundalk (AW) | Bar One Racing Telebetting 1800 624 524 Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 6/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 61 | 96B | 69A | Pat Smullen | 5/2J |
| 15 Sep 17+16d | Listowel | John & Terry Moriarty Memorial Handicap | 2/9 | 3¾ | 8-4 | 58 | 115C | 70A | Chris Hayes | 9/2 |
| 30 Aug 17+11d | Bellewstown | Lougher Stables Handicap (45-70) | 8/14 | 1¼ | 8-7 | 58 | 89C | 51A | Chris Hayes | 7/2J |
| 19 Aug 17+11d | Tramore | Martha's Bar Handicap (45-65) | 3/13 | nk | 9-0 | 58 | 98C | 76A | Rachael Blackmore | 8/1 |
| 08 Aug 17+25d | Cork | Follow Us On Twitter Handicap | 4/14 | nse | 9-0 | 57 | 109C | 60A | Pat Smullen | 11/4F |
| 14 Jul 17+317d | Navan | Come Racing 2nd September Handicap (45-65) | 3/16 | 1½ | 8-8 | 57 | 79C | 59A | Chris Hayes | 6/1 |
| 31 Aug 16+7d | Gowran Park | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Median Auction Maiden (Plus 10) | 6/11 | 10 | 9-5 | — | — | 49C | Pat Smullen | 16/1 |
| 24 Aug 16+9d | Bellewstown | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Auction Maiden | 10/15 | nk | 9-1 | — | — | 44C | Declan McDonogh | 7/1 |
| 15 Aug 16 | Roscommon | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden (Plus 10) | 5/10 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | — | 65A | Pat Smullen | 8/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Shoulda Lied (IRE) won?
- Shoulda Lied (IRE) won 2 of 17 archived starts between 2016 and 2020, a strike rate of 11.8%. Placed 6 times in total (35.3% of starts).
- Who trained Shoulda Lied (IRE)?
- Shoulda Lied (IRE) was trained by Peter Fahey on the most recent run on record, at Bellewstown on 2 July 2020.
- Who is Shoulda Lied (IRE)'s sire?
- Shoulda Lied (IRE) is by Henrythenavigator (USA) out of Pray (IRE), whose sire is Priolo.
- What going does Shoulda Lied (IRE) prefer?
- Shoulda Lied (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Shoulda Lied (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 63, from the run on 2 July 2020. The highest on record is 121.
- What is Shoulda Lied (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Henrythenavigator (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.6% of 2,714 runs since Jan 2008 (217 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Shoulda Lied (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Pray (IRE), Shoulda Lied (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Bon Nuit (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Listed (Bon Nuit (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Oct 2026.