Horse profile
Special Rate (IRE)
by Valirann (FR) out of Estuary Princess (IRE) (Bob Back)
27 runs · 11 courses · from Jun 2022
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
7 wins · 5 courses
Last run 20 Apr 2026 · 5th of 8
Last raced off OR 119
KTB Profile
Special Rate is a gelding with seven wins from 27 starts on turf, all in handicaps. He has won twice at Kelso and twice at Sedgefield, with five of those victories coming over 2m1f to 2m4f and four on soft ground. His biggest success came in a Class 3 handicap chase at Kelso in Feb 2024 off a mark of 133. He finished fifth of eight at Kelso in Apr 2026, racing off an official rating of 119.
Based on 27 archived runs · run-style from 12 commented runs since Nov 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 14lb off peak
- 7–27Wins / Runs
- 25.9%Strike rate
- 10 (37%)Placed
- +6.35£1 level staken=27 at SP
- 1.40Fair A/E n=27 · 1.24 incl. margin
- 133Highest OR
- 55dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating119↓ 14lb off peak
119
108–133
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 104
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 10 | 120B | 94.5 | 2 runs · 102 / 98 |
| Soft | 8 | 122A | 87 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 124A | 86 | 2 runs · 100 / 91 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 120B | 93 | 4 runs · 104 / 101 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 122A | 81 | 1 run · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 124A | 101.5 | — |
Of 27 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 25 figures from 27 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 12 analysed runs since Nov 2024
- Prominent 5 (42%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 4 (33%) · 0 wins
- Held up 2 (17%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (8%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 1,439 runs since Jan 2008 (157 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 7% from 342.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | +23.1 | — |
| Good | 453 | 49 | 10.8% | +0.6 | 3 from 12 |
| Good to Soft | 342 | 24 | 7% | −3.2 | 0 from 7 |
| Soft | 448 | 56 | 12.5% | +2.3 | 4 from 8 |
| Heavy | 170 | 12 | 7.1% | −3.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | +4.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +14.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | +4.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 16 | 0 | 0% | −10.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | +4.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 475 | 40 | 8.4% | −1.8 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 555 | 54 | 9.7% | −0.5 | 5 from 12 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 282 | 35 | 12.4% | +2.2 | 2 from 12 |
| Over 3m | 65 | 11 | 16.9% | +6.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Estuary Princess (IRE) (Bob Back)
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battle Frontier (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Miss Solitaire (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 12 | 3 | 25% | −3.02 |
| Soft | 8 | 4 | 50% | +16.37 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 12 | 2 | 17% | −1.88 |
| Class 4 | 9 | 5 | 56% | +14.23 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelso | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.12 |
| Newcastle | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.75 |
| Musselburgh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cartmel | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Ayr | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wetherby | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sedgefield | 2 | 2 | 100% | +12.25 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 2 | 17% | −1.88 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 5 | 42% | +11.23 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Quinlan | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Thomas Dowson | 6 | 3 | 50% | +2.98 |
| Ross Chapman | 6 | 4 | 67% | +18.37 |
| Brian Hughes | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mr B Dunleavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Danny McMenamin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Mania | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 23 | 7 | 30% | +10.35 |
| None | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +4.12 |
| 2023 | 8 | 5 | 63% | +15.23 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 20 | 4 | 20% | +3.85 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 3 | 75% | +5.50 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Apr 26+9d | Kelso | Royal Caledonian Hunt Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled mid-division - driven from three out - unable to close from there - finished fifth | 5/8 | 1 | 11-13 | 119 | 102A | 117A | Danny McMenamin | 11/2 |
| 11 Apr 26+55d | Newcastle | Acorn Catering Equipment Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in rear group early - improved into third by 10th - pressed for the run-up before the last - stayed on to finish third | 3/5 | 1¼ | 11-6 | 119 | 94C | 125B | Ryan Mania | 9/4J |
| 15 Feb 26+15d | Musselburgh | Famous Five Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled with the pack early - stumbled slightly at the 14th - improved position before 4 out but couldn't threaten leaders by 3 out - faded before 2 out to finish fourth | 4/7 | 1½ | 12-1 | 121 | 104A | 124B | Brian Hughes | 4/1 |
| 31 Jan 26+40d | Musselburgh | Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Held up at the back - improved into contention before 4 out - moved into second 3 out - pushed along after 2 out - driven turning for home but found nothing more and gave up the spot on the run-in - faded near the finish | 3/7 | 3¼ | 11-1 | 122 | 82B | 124A | Brian Hughes | 6/1 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Dec 25+176d | Musselburgh | Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled just off the pace - pressed for effort approaching 4 out - moved into second 2 out - stayed on to the line but no match for winner | 2/8 | 4¾ | 12-2 | 122 | 100B | 131B | Brian Hughes | 13/2 |
| 29 Jun 25+34d | Cartmel | Oakmere Homes Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - up with the leading group by the 8th and third by four out - driven but faded after the last | 6/10 | 2 | 10-11 | 123 | 86A | 114A | Sean Quinlan | 7/1 |
| 26 May 25+37d | Cartmel | Caroline's Big Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled close up early - moved into second spot after the second-last - pushed along inside the final furlong - kept going without quickening to finish third | 3/6 | 1½ | 12-0 | 124 | 60B | 123B | Sean Quinlan | 10/3 |
| 19 Apr 25+14d | Carlisle | Kenny Stewart Roadshow 65th Birthday Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in second early - hit the front three out before being overtaken two out - lost placing before the last - dropped away on the run to the line | 4/5 | 4 | 11-13 | 125 | 79C | 116B | Sean Quinlan | 4/1 |
| 05 Apr 25+21d | Newcastle | Val And Kath Bollado Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace early - shaky jump 9th and lost the advantage 3 out needing urging - battled for second spot from the last - held on for the runner-up spot but no match for winner up the run-in | 2/7 | 11 | 12-0 | 125 | 68A | 130B | Sean Quinlan | 13/2 |
| 15 Mar 25+72d | Newcastle | Chase At Victors Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sat close to the front pack - hit a flat spot 4 out - moved up into second before that point - pushed along after 3 out - closed on the front-runner nearing the last - kept battling to the line but outpaced by the winner throughout | 2/4 | ¾ | 11-4 | 125 | 93C | 129C | Sean Quinlan | 3/1 |
| 02 Jan 25+33d | Ayr | Karaoke At The Golf Inn Prestwick Handicap Chase Settled in 5th early - jumped awkwardly to drop to 6th - urged forward but lost touch before 4 out - finished 5th | 5/5 | 18 | 11-4 | 128 | 93C | 99B | Sean Quinlan | 10/3 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Nov 24+28d | Newcastle | BetMGM Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Settled around midfield - moved into 4th approaching 4 out - driven from 3 out then dropped away - eventually finished 7th | 7/13 | 1¼ | 10-12 | 130 | 120B | 110A | Sean Quinlan | 18/1 |
| 02 Nov 24+196d | Ayr | Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Chase Sat handy behind pace-setters - travelling comfortably before losing rider at the 13th | UR/5 | — | 12-0 | 130 | — | — | Sean Quinlan | 7/1 |
| 20 Apr 24+49d | Ayr | Cpms Novices' Champion Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 8/13 | 1¼ | 10-13 | 132 | 79B | 114A | Thomas Dowson | 25/1 |
| 02 Mar 24+15d | Kelso | bet365 Cyril Alexander Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 3/5 | 9 | 11-9 | 133 | 68C | 128B | Ross Chapman | 11/5F |
| 16 Feb 24+33d | Kelso | Remembering Michael Wares Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/2 | 10-11 | 133 | 56C | 121C | Ross Chapman | 8/13F | |
| 14 Jan 24+19d | Kelso | Chairman's Cup Handicap Chase | 1/7 | 11-2 | 128 | 100B | 139A | Ross Chapman | 15/2 | |
| 2023 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 23+40d | Wetherby | William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap Chase | 4/5 | 15 | 11-7 | 130 | 38C | 110B | Ross Chapman | 2/1F |
| 16 Nov 23+7d | Sedgefield | Paxtons No1 CaseIH Dealer In UK&Ireland Handicap Hurdle | 1/8 | 12-1 | 116 | 122A | 137A | Ross Chapman | 5/4F | |
| 09 Nov 23+145d | Sedgefield | Vickers.Bet Independent Family Owned Bookmaker Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/8 | 11-10 | 116 | 81A | 140A | Ross Chapman | 11/1 | |
| 17 Jun 23+17d | Hexham | 'Andy Calvert Celebration' Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/3 | 12-0 | 115 | 95C | 130C | Thomas Dowson | 8/11F | |
| 31 May 23+15d | Cartmel | Racing Welfare Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/8 | 11-9 | 108 | 119A | 128B | Thomas Dowson | 3/1 | |
| 16 May 23+29d | Newcastle | Download The At The Races App Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/8 | 11-3 | — | 73A | 114A | Thomas Dowson | 9/4 | |
| 17 Apr 23+11d | Kelso | David Brownlee 50 Years At Kelso Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/14 | 2 | 11-5 | — | 120B | 120A | Thomas Dowson | 25/1 |
| 06 Apr 23+230d | Wetherby | Wetherby Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 6/8 | 2¾ | 11-2 | — | 124A | 116A | Thomas Dowson | 25/1 |
| 2022 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 19 Aug 22+77d | Kilbeggan | John Thomas McNamara Series Flat Race | 7/14 | 4¾ | 11-10 | — | 79B | 104A | Mr B Dunleavy | 16/1 |
| 03 Jun 22 | Down Royal | Peter Eastwood Bookmaker (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 4/8 | 9½ | 11-0 | — | — | 58B | Mr B Dunleavy | 7/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Special Rate won?
- Special Rate (IRE) won 7 of 27 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 25.9%. Placed 10 times in total (37% of starts).
- Who trains Special Rate?
- Special Rate (IRE) is trained by Hugh Burns, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 20 April 2026.
- Who is Special Rate's sire?
- Special Rate (IRE) is by Valirann (FR) out of Estuary Princess (IRE), whose sire is Bob Back.
- What going does Special Rate prefer?
- Special Rate (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 4 wins from 8 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Special Rate's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 119, from the run on 20 April 2026. The highest on record is 133.
- What is Special Rate's sire's record?
- Valirann (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 1,439 runs since Jan 2008 (157 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 7% from 342.
- Who are Special Rate's siblings?
- Out of Estuary Princess (IRE), Special Rate (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.