Skip to content
Trainer profile

Hugh Burns

90 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 18 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–90
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=90
17 (19%)
Placed
0.62
Fair A/E
n=90 · 0.54 incl. margin
−57.00
£1 level stake
n=90 at SP · −63.3%
£54,004
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.9%+3.6
n=29 · A/E 1.92 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%+0.1
n=29 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 8.6% vs 3.3% · n=35
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 3.3% · n=43
In Hurdle races 0% vs 3.3% · n=41
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3.3% · n=37
In Chase races 6.1% vs 3.3% · n=49
On Good going 1.9% vs 3.3% · n=52 · A/E 0.33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 49 3 6.1% −16.00
Hurdle 41 0 0% −41.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 52 1 1.9% −40.00
Good to Soft 19 2 10.5% +2.00
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 28 0 0% −28.00
Hexham 22 3 13.6% +11.00
Kelso 10 0 0% −10.00
Perth 7 0 0% −7.00
Catterick 4 0 0% −4.00
Musselburgh 4 0 0% −4.00
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Newcastle 4 0 0% −4.00
Carlisle 3 0 0% −3.00
Cartmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 69 3 4.3% −36.00
Class 4 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.68 −4.00
4th–6th fav 23 2 8.7% 1.24 +4.00
7th+ in betting 55 0 0% 0.00 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.4% completed · 90 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 49 81.6% 1 1 7 0 0
Hurdle 41 65.9% 4 0 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Henry Brown (IRE)from Noel Meade 21 1 7 26 Jan 25
Ballydangan (IRE)from Dan Skelton 12 2 5 2 Oct 26
Longstone Cowboy (IRE) 10 0 2 16 Oct 25
Le Fou's Keep (IRE)from S Slevin 10 0 1 16 Feb 25
Far Away West (IRE)from Dan Skelton 7 0 0 14 Sep 26
Special Rate (IRE)from Lizzie Quinlan 5 0 1 20 Apr 26
Animore (GB)from Iain Jardine 5 0 0 4 Oct 24
Robin Goodfellow (IRE)from Tracy Waggott 4 0 0 26 Dec 24
Muroor (GB)from Victor Thompson · then Lizzie Quinlan 4 0 1 6 Dec 24
Snookered (IRE)from Brian Ellison 3 0 0 21 Jun 24
One Cool Citizen (IRE)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 2 0 0 19 Nov 24
Gold Terms (GB)from Grant Tuer 2 0 0 12 Sep 23
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (3) and Noel Meade (2); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Lizzie Quinlan (2); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000001000101000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Peter Kavanagh 20 2 10% +1.00
Callum Bewley 13 1 7.7% −1.00
Sean Quinlan 12 0 0% −12.00
Brian Hughes 10 0 0% −10.00
Edward Austin 8 0 0% −8.00
Ross Chapman 7 0 0% −7.00
Charlie Maggs 4 0 0% −4.00
Ryan Mania 3 0 0% −3.00
Danny McMenamin 3 0 0% −3.00
Craig Nichol 2 0 0% −2.00
Thomas Dowson 2 0 0% −2.00
Conor Rabbitt 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
5
Archived wins
£68,223
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Ballydangan (IRE) — Lee 'Bazza' Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Chase Hexham · Oct 2025 · Class 5
£5,557
Ballydangan (IRE) — Cleansweep Handicap Chase Hexham · Jun 2025 · Class 5
£5,255
Henry Brown (IRE) — At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Chase Hexham · Sep 2022 · Class 5
£4,085
Notable horses
Ballydangan (IRE) Henry Brown (IRE) Slaney Craiglegacy (IRE) Oxalido (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Saddler Maker (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 16.9% of 2,169 runs since 2008 (181 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 221.
Le Fou (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,413 runs since 2008 (137 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.2% from 238.
Sulamani (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Valirann (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 202 · newest first

The latest 50 of 202 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 August 2012 to 2 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Oct 26 Hexham Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Lee "Bazza" Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 7th 12/1
14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Far Away West (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 5th 125/1
15 Aug 26 Perth Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Brooks Macdonald Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 7th 25/1
20 Apr 26 Kelso Special Rate (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Royal Caledonian Hunt Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2
11 Apr 26 Newcastle Special Rate (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Acorn Catering Equipment Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/4J
19 Mar 26 Sedgefield Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Fairlight Studios Cafe At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran PU 40/1
14 Mar 26 Newcastle Callisto's King (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Smirnoff At The Apartment Grand Wedding Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 100/1
19 Feb 26 Sedgefield Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Seaside Travel Spectacular Shoreline Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 12/1
15 Feb 26 Musselburgh Special Rate (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Famous Five Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 4/1
31 Jan 26 Musselburgh Special Rate (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 6/1
28 Dec 25 Catterick Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Sky Bet Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran PU 33/1
22 Dec 25 Musselburgh Special Rate (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 13/2
16 Oct 25 Carlisle Longstone Cowboy (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan JJ Group Contracting Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 11th 18/1
11 Oct 25 Hexham Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Hitz Horizons Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/2
03 Oct 25 Hexham Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Lee 'Bazza' Jenkinson Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 14/1
03 Oct 25 Hexham Longstone Cowboy (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 13/2
08 Sep 25 Perth Longstone Cowboy (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Auto Services Peugeot & Citroen Commercials Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 9th 40/1
03 Jul 25 Perth Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Horizon Parking UK's Leading Parking Company Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 8/1
14 Jun 25 Hexham Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Cleansweep Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 5/1
07 Jun 25 Hexham Ballydangan (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Marrill Group Racing Ahead Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Hugh Burns's strike rate?
Hugh Burns has won 3 of 90 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Hugh Burns's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 90 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).