What is Ross Chapman's strike rate?

Ross Chapman has won 62 of 705 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ross Chapman do best at?

Sedgefield by strike rate: 12 wins from 99 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ross Chapman ride most for?

Rebecca Menzies, with 234 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (14.5%).

What is Ross Chapman's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 705 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ross Chapman

705 rides in the last 5 seasons · 273 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 228 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

62–705

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=705

141 (20%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=705 · 0.88 incl. margin

−233.76

£1 level stake

n=705 at SP · −33.2%

£664k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (68 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 705 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 38.6% when favourite Rebecca Menzies: 14.5% from 234 LTO winners: 25% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25% (n=68, Fair A/E 1.17), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=76, Fair A/E 0.66). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −167.88 to a £1 stake over 264 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rebecca Menzies supplies 33% of the rides and beats the rider's average (14.5% vs 8.8%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (14.6%, n=233). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 38 rides, 8.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 188Bet Summer Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen (Jul 2018, £22,780). The standout partner of the record: Oak Vintage (IRE) — 6 wins from 20 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−5.8

n=264 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −167.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25%+16.2

n=68 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −5.71

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.6%−4.2

n=153 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −70.00

When favourite

38.6%

n=44 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +3.40

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.6%−6.2

n=76 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −32.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 25% vs 8.8% · n=68

With debutants 0% vs 8.8% · n=42

On first rides for the horse 3% vs 8.8% · n=264

In NH Flat races 0% vs 8.8% · n=38

In Chase races 14.6% vs 8.8% · n=233

With Rebecca Menzies 14.5% vs 8.8% · n=234

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 433 28 6.5% −207.65

Chase 233 34 14.6% +12.89

NH Flat 38 0 0% −38.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 243 28 11.5% −13.85

Good to Soft 204 14 6.9% −86.63

Good 183 10 5.5% −125.35

Heavy 71 10 14.1% −3.93

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 99 12 12.1% −24.88

Hexham 81 4 4.9% −31.50

Kelso 80 6 7.5% −49.76

Newcastle 73 7 9.6% −3.68

Carlisle 73 7 9.6% −5.34

Wetherby 67 5 7.5% −33.50

Catterick 54 6 11.1% −32.40

Ayr 40 3 7.5% −9.17

Musselburgh 24 3 12.5% +0.00

Doncaster 21 1 4.8% −13.50

Perth 19 1 5.3% +0.00

Cartmel 18 2 11.1% −13.28

Haydock 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Southwell 9 1 11.1% −3.50

Market Rasen 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 334 26 7.8% −174.50

Class 5 261 22 8.4% −67.13

Class 3 73 9 12.3% +14.62

Class 2 27 3 11.1% −5.50

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 52 20 38.5% 1.36 +7.90

2nd–3rd fav 129 21 16.3% 0.94 −14.66

4th–6th fav 228 14 6.1% 0.86 −89.00

7th+ in betting 296 7 2.4% 0.96 −138.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.8% completed · 666 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 233 76.4% 6 8 40 1 0

Hurdle 433 87.8% 8 2 43 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Churchill Lad (IRE) 15 2 8 9 Dec 24

Harper Valley (IRE) 14 4 8 24 Nov 25

Rafferty's Return (GB) 13 1 2 22 Mar 26

Imperial Data (IRE) 13 4 7 10 May 25

Lady Hamilton (IRE) 13 0 4 29 Nov 24

Kingston Narcissus (FR) 11 2 5 21 Mar 26

Always A Reason (IRE) 11 3 5 21 Mar 26

Uptown Harry (IRE) 11 2 2 3 Feb 25

Boomslang (GB) 11 4 10 1 Feb 25

Lisloran (IRE) 11 3 4 26 Jan 25

The Paddy Pie (IRE) 11 1 2 26 Mar 24

Just Jess (IRE) 11 1 4 7 Feb 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 273 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

810115950078813

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRebecca Menzies

33% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.26

TrainerRWSR£1

Rebecca Menzies 234 34 14.5% −5.33

Sue Smith 129 6 4.7% −71.00

Stuart Coltherd 53 4 7.5% −37.26

Jane Walton 43 4 9.3% +32.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

190

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.72m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 44 wins

L'inganno Felice (FR) — 188Bet Summer Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Market Rasen · Jul 2018 · Listed

£22,780

Boomslang (GB) — Virgin Bet Auld Reekie Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£20,931

Bafana Blue (GB) — Cumberland Handicap Chase Carlisle · Nov 2019 · Class 3

£15,640

Notable horses

Oak Vintage (IRE) Court Baloo (IRE) Dica (FR) Uptown Harry (IRE) Bafana Blue (GB) Harper Valley (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Schiaparelli (GER) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 12% of 1,835 runs since 2015 (203 horses).

Imperial Monarch (IRE) 29.4% · 10–34

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,588 runs since 2019 (172 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,839 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Morozov (USA) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,315 runs since 2009 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.

Leading Light (IRE) 22.7% · 5–22

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,210 runs since 2018 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Sageburg (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,979 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,979 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2013 to 22 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Mar 26 Carlisle William Of York (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Post+ Subscription Go North Monet's Garden Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 28/1

22 Mar 26 Carlisle Rafferty's Return (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Post+ Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 10/1

22 Mar 26 Carlisle Art Dancer (GB)T: Chris Grant Pauline Phizacklea Memorial Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 250/1

21 Mar 26 Kelso Always A Reason (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies BetWright Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 20/1

21 Mar 26 Kelso Kingston Narcissus (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies BetWright Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 50/1

20 Mar 26 Musselburgh Monsieur Le Fuzz (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Post+ Ultimate Go North Brindisi Breeze Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 20/1

19 Mar 26 Sedgefield Millford Hill (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 4th 250/1

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Mr Man (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Guinness At The Canny Lad Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 14/1

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Glory Hights (GB)T: Chris Grant Smirnoff At The Apartment Grand Wedding Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 17/2

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Return To Florida (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Guinness Draught Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 40/1

08 Mar 26 Carlisle Big Jon (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Safer Gambling At CopyBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 150/1

03 Mar 26 Newcastle Millford Hill (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 200/1

24 Feb 26 Catterick Monsieur Le Fuzz (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Again 4th March Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

21 Feb 26 Newcastle Always A Reason (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Jimmy Hunter 60th Birthday Celebration Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 11/2

21 Feb 26 Newcastle Au Plaisir (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 50/1

16 Feb 26 Carlisle Forever Louie (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Come Racing At Carlisle In 2026 Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 33/1

13 Feb 26 Kelso Big Jon (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Johnston Smillie Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 200/1

09 Feb 26 Catterick Kingston Narcissus (FR)T: Rebecca Menzies Bowel Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

05 Feb 26 Doncaster William Of York (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Virgin Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 5 ran UR 7/1

05 Feb 26 Doncaster Annie Mcgrath (IRE)T: L J Morgan Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ross Chapman's strike rate?: Ross Chapman has won 62 of 705 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ross Chapman do best at?: Sedgefield by strike rate: 12 wins from 99 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ross Chapman ride most for?: Rebecca Menzies, with 234 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (14.5%).
What is Ross Chapman's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 705 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.