What is Thomas Dowson's strike rate?

Thomas Dowson has won 30 of 330 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Thomas Dowson do best at?

Newcastle by strike rate: 7 wins from 32 rides (21.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Thomas Dowson ride most for?

Philip Kirby, with 142 rides since 2022 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (8.5%).

What is Thomas Dowson's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 328 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Thomas Dowson

330 rides in the last 5 seasons · 127 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2024 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

30–330

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=330

83 (25%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=328 · 1.04 incl. margin

−67.82

£1 level stake

n=330 at SP · −20.6%

£350k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18). Rides mostly for Philip Kirby — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 330 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Philip Kirby: 8.5% from 142

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (21.9%, n=32), clear of the rider's 9.1% baseline. It is weakest at Perth (4.3% over 46 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=62, Fair A/E 1.04). Philip Kirby supplies 43% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.90). The rider also reads well in Chase races (16.7%, n=78). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.5% over 80 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the MansionBet At Doncaster Yorkshire Silver Vase Mares' Chase at Doncaster (Dec 2019, £42,285). The standout partner of the record: Beyondtemptation (GB) — 9 wins from 31 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−3.6

n=91 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −57.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.2%+10.1

n=26 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −5.27

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.8%−4.3

n=62 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +7.50

When favourite

23.5%

n=17 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −5.65

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.8%−5.3

n=26 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −20.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.1

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle 21.9% vs 9.1% · n=32

In Chase races 16.7% vs 9.1% · n=78

On Soft going 2.5% vs 9.1% · n=80

At Perth 4.3% vs 9.1% · n=46

On first rides for the horse 5.5% vs 9.1% · n=91

With Lisa Harrison 4.9% vs 9.1% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 226 17 7.5% −48.75

Chase 78 13 16.7% +6.93

NH Flat 26 0 0% −26.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 127 15 11.8% +16.98

Good to Soft 95 7 7.4% −45.42

Soft 80 2 2.5% −58.00

Heavy 28 6 21.4% +18.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 52 6 11.5% −9.02

Perth 46 2 4.3% −30.00

Sedgefield 34 3 8.8% −5.00

Newcastle 32 7 21.9% −3.80

Carlisle 24 0 0% −24.00

Wetherby 20 1 5% −5.00

Ayr 15 0 0% −15.00

Musselburgh 14 0 0% −14.00

Catterick 13 1 7.7% −10.00

Doncaster 12 4 33.3% +24.50

Kelso 11 2 18.2% +12.00

Market Rasen 10 1 10% −3.50

Southwell 9 0 0% −9.00

Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00

Cartmel 5 2 40% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 153 13 8.5% −25.19

Class 5 122 13 10.7% −11.63

Class 3 31 4 12.9% −7.00

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 6 27.3% 0.86 −2.82

2nd–3rd fav 59 10 16.9% 1.13 −11.50

4th–6th fav 112 12 10.7% 1.76 +56.50

7th+ in betting 137 2 1.5% 0.64 −110.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

74% completed · 304 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 78 67.9% 3 3 19 0 0

Hurdle 226 76.1% 1 4 48 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Malangen (IRE) 16 2 4 6 Jul 23

Zwicky (GB) 9 1 3 1 Jun 24

Ex S'elance (FR) 9 2 5 6 May 23

Hidden Cargo (IRE) 9 2 4 28 Mar 23

Heritier De Sivola (FR) 8 1 2 21 Mar 23

Ribeye (GB) 7 2 6 15 Jun 24

Comeonrita (GB) 7 0 1 25 Jun 23

Izzy Bell (GB) 7 0 1 17 Jun 23

Ravenscar (IRE) 7 3 4 17 Apr 23

Top Ville Ben (IRE) 7 0 3 14 Apr 23

Special Rate (IRE) 6 3 4 20 Apr 24

Martalindy (GB) 6 1 1 16 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 127 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

157137116180011014

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPhilip Kirby

43% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 0.90

TrainerRWSR£1

Philip Kirby 142 12 8.5% −18.69

Lisa Harrison 41 2 4.9% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

147

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.46m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 28 wins

Lady Buttons (GB) — MansionBet At Doncaster Yorkshire Silver Vase Mares' Chase (Listed) Doncaster · Dec 2019 · Listed

£42,285

Lady Buttons (GB) — olbg.com Yorkshire Rose Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2) Doncaster · Jan 2019 · Grade 2

£28,475

Top Ville Ben (IRE) — 888Sport Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Wetherby · Dec 2019 · Grade 3

£25,628

Notable horses

Beyondtemptation (GB) Little Bruce (IRE) Bushypark (IRE) Gin Cobbler (GB) Fingal's Hill (IRE) Wemyss Point (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Born To Sea (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,283 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 968. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 865. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 724.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,684 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Noroit (GER) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 9.5% of 623 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 122.

Helmet (AUS) 33.3% · 3–9

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.

Saddex (GB) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 10.4% of 811 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 160.

Sixties Icon (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,669 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,332.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,733 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,733 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 September 2014 to 15 June 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Jun 24 Hexham Ribeye (GB)T: Peter Atkinson Cleansweep Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 13 ran F 16/5F

07 Jun 24 Market Rasen Ribeye (GB)T: Peter Atkinson Linear By Symphony Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 11/1

01 Jun 24 Hexham Zwicky (GB)T: Philip Kirby Hexham Legend 'Event Of Sivola' Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran UR 3/1

01 Jun 24 Hexham Snookered (IRE)T: Hugh Burns Susan & Neve's Special Birthday Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 80/1

18 May 24 Uttoxeter Magical Arthur (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Debbie Kent Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 28/1

11 May 24 Hexham Snookered (IRE)T: Hugh Burns Paxtons For Milwaukee Power Tools. Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 11 ran PU 100/1

11 May 24 Hexham Zwicky (GB)T: Philip Kirby Mick Walsh Open Ditch Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/2

10 May 24 Sedgefield Gandhi Maker (FR)T: Philip Kirby AK Bets Big Prices Big Limits Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 9 ran PU 7/2F

10 May 24 Sedgefield Rathgearan (IRE)T: Chris Grant Download The AK Bets App Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 11th 50/1

08 May 24 Kelso Telemetry (GB)T: Philip Kirby Howden Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 13 ran 10th 18/1

07 May 24 Southwell Devon Skies (GB)T: Philip Kirby Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 125/1

04 May 24 Hexham Powers Dilemma (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Bobby Roberts Memorial Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 14/1

23 Apr 24 Southwell Tommy Time (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Read Harry Cobden's Blog At PlanetSportBet Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran F 7/2J

23 Apr 24 Southwell Sholokhova (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Download The PlanetSportBet App Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 150/1

22 Apr 24 Hexham Gandhi Maker (FR)T: Philip Kirby Jim Scallan Retirement Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

20 Apr 24 Ayr Special Rate (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Cpms Novices' Champion Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 25/1

18 Apr 24 Cheltenham Devon Skies (GB)T: Philip Kirby Join Racing TV Now Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 18 ran 15th 125/1

15 Apr 24 Kelso Zwicky (GB)T: Philip Kirby Go North Cab On Target Final Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 18/1

07 Apr 24 Carlisle Innovated (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Mark Nield Wealth Management Go North Monet's Garden Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 80/1

07 Apr 24 Carlisle Powers Dilemma (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Pauline Phizacklea Memorial Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Dowson's strike rate?: Thomas Dowson has won 30 of 330 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Dowson do best at?: Newcastle by strike rate: 7 wins from 32 rides (21.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Thomas Dowson ride most for?: Philip Kirby, with 142 rides since 2022 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (8.5%).
What is Thomas Dowson's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 328 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.